Exam 5: Utility Game Theory

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Generally,the analyst must make pairwise comparisons of the decision strategies in an attempt to identify dominated strategies.

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To select a strategy in a two-person,zero-sum game,Player A follows a ______ procedure and Player B follows a ______ procedure.

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D

For a game with an optimal pure strategy,which of the following statements is false?

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A dominated strategy will never be selected by the player.

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When the utility function for a risk-neutral decision maker is graphed (with monetary value on the horizontal axis and utility on the vertical axis),the function appears as

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Determine decision strategies based on expected value and on expected utility for this decision tree.Use the utility function Payoff Indifference Probability 500 1.00 350 .89 300 .84 180 .60 100 .43 40 .20 20 .13 0 0  Determine decision strategies based on expected value and on expected utility for this decision tree.Use the utility function   \begin{array} { c c }  \text { Payoff } & \text { Indifference Probability } \\ 500 & 1.00 \\ 350 & .89 \\ 300 & .84 \\ 180 & .60 \\ 100 & .43 \\ 40 & .20 \\ 20 & .13 \\ 0 & 0 \end{array}

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Burger Prince Restaurant is considering the purchase of a $100,000 fire insurance policy.The fire statistics indicate that in a given year the probability of property damage in a fire is as follows: Fire Damage \ 100,000 \ 75,000 \ 50,000 \ 25,000 \ 10,000 \ 0 Probability .006 .002 .004 .003 .005 .980 a.If Burger Prince was risk neutral,how much would they be willing to pay for fire insurance? b.If Burger Prince has the utility values given below,approximately how much would they be willing to pay for fire insurance? Loss \ 100,000 \ 75,000 \ 50,000 \ 25,000 \ 10,000 \ 5,000 \ 0 Utility 0 30 60 85 95 99 100

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A game has a pure strategy solution when both players' single-best strategies are the same.

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Expected utility is a particularly useful tool when payoffs stay in a range considered reasonable by the decision maker.

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A decision maker who is considered to be a risk taker is faced with this set of probabilities and payoffs For the lottery p(80)+ (1 − p)(−50),this decision maker has assessed the following indifference probabilities  A decision maker who is considered to be a risk taker is faced with this set of probabilities and payoffs For the lottery p(80)+ (1 − p)(−50),this decision maker has assessed the following indifference probabilities    Rank the decision alternatives on the basis of expected value and on the basis of expected utility.   \begin{array} { r c }  \text { Payoff } & \text { Probability } \\ 50 & .60 \\ 20 & .35 \\ 10 & .25 \\ 5 & .22 \\ 0 & .20 \\ - 10 & .18 \\ - 25 & .10 \end{array} Rank the decision alternatives on the basis of expected value and on the basis of expected utility. Payoff Probability 50 .60 20 .35 10 .25 5 .22 0 .20 -10 .18 -25 .10

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If a game larger than 2 X 2 requires a mixed strategy,we attempt to reduce the size of the game by

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If the maximin and minimax values are not equal in a two-person zero-sum game,

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Draw the utility curves for three types of decision makers,label carefully,and explain the concepts of increasing and decreasing marginal returns for money.​

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When and why should a utility approach be followed?​

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The decision alternative with the best expected monetary value will always be the most desirable decision.

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If it is optimal for both players in a two-person,zero-sum game to select one strategy and stay with that strategy regardless of what the other player does,the game

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With a mixed strategy,the optimal solution for each player is to randomly select among two or more of the alternative strategies.

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To assign utilities,consider the best and worst payoffs in the entire decision situation.

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The utility function for a risk avoider typically shows a diminishing marginal return for money.

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A decision maker has chosen .4 as the probability for which he cannot choose between a certain loss of 10,000 and the lottery p(−25000)+ (1 − p)(5000).If the utility of −25,000 is 0 and of 5000 is 1,then the utility of −10,000 is

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