Exam 5: Uncertainty and Consumer Behavior

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John Brown's utility of income function is U = log(I+1), where I represents income. From this information you can say that

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Calculate the expected value of the following game. If you win the game, your wealth will increase by 100,000,000 times your wager. If you lose, you lose your wager amount. The probability of winning is Calculate the expected value of the following game. If you win the game, your wealth will increase by 100,000,000 times your wager. If you lose, you lose your wager amount. The probability of winning is    . .

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Scenario 5.4: Suppose an individual is considering an investment in which there are exactly three possible outcomes, whose probabilities and pay-offs are given below: Scenario 5.4: Suppose an individual is considering an investment in which there are exactly three possible outcomes, whose probabilities and pay-offs are given below:    The expected value of the investment is $25. Although all the information is correct, information is missing. -Refer to Scenario 5.4. What is the probability of outcome B? The expected value of the investment is $25. Although all the information is correct, information is missing. -Refer to Scenario 5.4. What is the probability of outcome B?

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A farmer lives on a flat plain next to a river. In addition to the farm, which is worth $F, the farmer owns financial assets worth $A. The river bursts its banks and floods the plain with probability P, destroying the farm. If the farmer is risk averse, then the willingness to pay for flood insurance unambiguously falls when

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Consider the following statements when answering this question; I. The allocation of a risk averse investor's portfolio between a risk free asset and a risky asset never changes if the rate of return on both assets increases by the same amount. II. Given the choice between investing in a risk free asset or a risky asset with higher expected returns, the utility maximizing portfolio of a risk neutral or risk loving investor would never include the risk free asset.

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To optimally deter crime, law enforcement authorities should:

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Marsha owns a boat that is harbored on the east coast of the United States. Currently, there is a hurricane that is approaching her harbor. If the hurricane strikes her harbor, her wealth will be diminished by the value of her boat, as it will be destroyed. The value of her boat is $250,000. It would cost Marsha $15,000 to move the boat to a harbor out of the path of the hurricane. Marsha's utility of wealth function is U(w) = Marsha owns a boat that is harbored on the east coast of the United States. Currently, there is a hurricane that is approaching her harbor. If the hurricane strikes her harbor, her wealth will be diminished by the value of her boat, as it will be destroyed. The value of her boat is $250,000. It would cost Marsha $15,000 to move the boat to a harbor out of the path of the hurricane. Marsha's utility of wealth function is U(w) =    . Marsha's current wealth is $3 million including the value of the boat. Past evidence has influenced Marsha to believe that the hurricane will likely miss her harbor, and so she plans not to move her boat. Suppose the probability the hurricane will strike Marsha's harbor is 0.7. Calculate Marsha's expected utility given that she will not move her boat. Calculate Marsha's expected utility if she moves her boat. Which of the two options gives Marsha the highest expected utility? . Marsha's current wealth is $3 million including the value of the boat. Past evidence has influenced Marsha to believe that the hurricane will likely miss her harbor, and so she plans not to move her boat. Suppose the probability the hurricane will strike Marsha's harbor is 0.7. Calculate Marsha's expected utility given that she will not move her boat. Calculate Marsha's expected utility if she moves her boat. Which of the two options gives Marsha the highest expected utility?

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A risk-averse individual prefers

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The information in the table below describes choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict.Table 5.3 The information in the table below describes choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict.Table 5.3    -Refer to Table 5.3. The expected returns are highest for the physician who -Refer to Table 5.3. The expected returns are highest for the physician who

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Calculate the expected value of the following game. If you win the game, your wealth will increase by 36 times your wager. If you lose, you lose your wager amount. The probability of winning is 1/38 Calculate the variance of the game.

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Scenario 5.6: Consider the information in the table below, describing choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict. Scenario 5.6: Consider the information in the table below, describing choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict.    -Refer to Scenario 5.6. The utility of expected income from research is -Refer to Scenario 5.6. The utility of expected income from research is

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Scenario 5.2: Randy and Samantha are shopping for new cars (one each). Randy expects to pay $15,000 with 1/5 probability and $20,000 with 4/5 probability. Samantha expects to pay $12,000 with 1/4 probability and $20,000 with 3/4 probability. -Refer to Scenario 5.2. Which of the following is true?

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Table 5.4 Table 5.4    -Refer to Table 5.4. If at Job B the $20 outcome occurs with probability .2, and the $50 outcome occurs with probability .8, then the standard deviation of payoffs at Job B is nearest which value? -Refer to Table 5.4. If at Job B the $20 outcome occurs with probability .2, and the $50 outcome occurs with probability .8, then the standard deviation of payoffs at Job B is nearest which value?

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Steve has received a stock tip from Monica. Monica has told him that XYZ Corp. will increase in value by 100%. Steve believes that Monica has a 25% chance of being correct. If Monica is incorrect, Steve expects the value of XYZ Corp. will fall by 50%. What is Steve's expected utility from buying $1,000 worth of XYZ Corp. stock? Steve's utility of income is U(I) = 50I. Should Steve purchase the stock?

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The weighted average of all possible outcomes of a project, with the probabilities of the outcomes used as weights, is known as the

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The expected value is a measure of

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What is an informational cascade?

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The information in the table below describes choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict.Table 5.3 The information in the table below describes choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict.Table 5.3    -Refer to Table 5.3. In order to weigh which of the job choices is riskiest, an individual should look at -Refer to Table 5.3. In order to weigh which of the job choices is riskiest, an individual should look at

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Which of the following actions may be explained by the law of small numbers?

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Some high-end retail stores that distribute mail-order catalogs will prominently offer some very high priced goods for sale (for example, a luxury sports car with gold-plated interior trim) in addition to their regular line of merchandise. Behavioral economists argue that the stores do not really plan to sell these goods, but they use these items to provide the customers with a high reference point for the prices of the other goods in the catalog. This practice is an example of:

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