Exam 2: Probability Concepts and Applications

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If two events (A,B)are dependent, what is the conditional probability of P(A|B)?

(Short Answer)
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A company is considering producing some new Gameboy electronic games.Based on past records, management believes that there is a 70 percent chance that each of these will be successful and a 30 percent chance of failure.Market research may be used to revise these probabilities.In the past, the successful products were predicted to be successful based on market research 90 percent of the time.However, for products that failed, the market research predicted these would be successes 20 percent of the time.If market research is performed for a new product, what is the probability that the results indicate an unsuccessful market for the product and the product is actually successful?

(Multiple Choice)
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Arrivals in a university advising office during the week of registration are known to follow a Poisson distribution with an average of 4 people arriving each hour. (a)What is the probability that exactly 4 people will arrive in the next hour? (b)What is the probability that exactly 5 people will arrive in the next hour?

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Historical data indicates that only 20% of cable customers are willing to switch companies.If a binomial process is assumed, then in a sample of 20 cable customers, what is the probability that between 2 and 5 (inclusive)customers are willing to switch companies?

(Multiple Choice)
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The Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV)can service customers at a rate of 20 per hour (or 1/3 per minute)when it comes to license renewals.The service time follows an exponential distribution.What is the probability that it will take between 2 and 3 minutes to be served?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose that when the temperature is between 35 and 50 degrees, it has historically rained 40% of the time.Also, historically, the month of April has had a temperature between 35 and 50 degrees on 25 days.You have scheduled a golf tournament for April 12.What is the probability that players will experience rain and a temperature between 35 and 50 degrees?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of these suggests a discrete random variable?

(Multiple Choice)
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A new young executive is perplexed at the number of interruptions that occur due to employee relations.She has decided to track the number of interruptions that occur during each hour of her day.Over the last month, she has determined that between 0 and 3 interruptions occur during any given hour of her day.The data is shown below. A new young executive is perplexed at the number of interruptions that occur due to employee relations.She has decided to track the number of interruptions that occur during each hour of her day.Over the last month, she has determined that between 0 and 3 interruptions occur during any given hour of her day.The data is shown below.    On average, she should expect 0.8 interruptions per hour. On average, she should expect 0.8 interruptions per hour.

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If two events (A,B)are mutually exclusive, what is the probability of event A or event B occurring?

(Short Answer)
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The number of cell phone minutes used by high school seniors follows a normal distribution with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 50.What is the probability that a student uses more than 580 minutes?

(Multiple Choice)
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The number of cell phone minutes used by high school seniors follows a normal distribution with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 50.What is the probability that a student uses fewer than 400 minutes?

(Multiple Choice)
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If two events (A,B)are not mutually exclusive, what is the probability of event A or event B occurring?

(Short Answer)
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A company is considering producing some new Gameboy electronic games.Based on past records, management believes that there is a 70 percent chance that each of these will be successful and a 30 percent chance of failure.Market research may be used to revise these probabilities.In the past, the successful products were predicted to be successful based on market research 90 percent of the time.However, for products that failed, the market research predicted these would be successes 20 percent of the time.If market research is performed for a new product, what is the probability that the results indicate a successful market for the product and the product actually is successful?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following is not true for discrete random variables?

(Multiple Choice)
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A company is considering producing some new Gameboy electronic games.Based on past records, management believes that there is a 70 percent chance that each of these will be successful and a 30 percent chance of failure.Market research may be used to revise these probabilities.In the past, the successful products were predicted to be successful based on market research 90 percent of the time.However, for products that failed, the market research predicted these would be successes 20 percent of the time.If market research is performed for a new product, what is the probability that the results indicate an unsuccessful market for the product and the product is actually unsuccessful?

(Multiple Choice)
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Given the following distribution: Given the following distribution:    The expected value is 3. The expected value is 3.

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If we roll a single die twice, the probability that the sum of the dots showing on the two rolls equals four (4), is 1/6.

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What is the F value associated with α = 0.05, numerator degrees of freedom (df1)equal to 4, and denominator degrees of freedom (df2)equal to 9?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose that 10 sophomores enter a belching contest and that their respective skill levels are approximately the same.Six of the entrants are female and two of those are engineering majors.Three of the men are engineers.What is the probability that the winner will be either a non-engineering major or a male?

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A posterior probability is a revised probability.

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