Exam 14: Markov Analysis
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A collection of all state probabilities for a given system at any given period of time is called the
(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following is not an assumption of Markov processes?
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In Markov analysis,initial-state probability values determine equilibrium conditions.
(True/False)
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One of the problems with using the Markov model to study population shifts is that we must assume that the reasons for moving from one state to another remain the same over time.
(True/False)
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The four basic assumptions of Markov analysis are:
1.There are a limited or finite number of possible states.
2.The probability of changing states remains the same over time.
3.A future state is predictable from previous state and transition matrix.
4.The size and makeup of the system are constant during analysis.
(True/False)
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The copy machine in an office is very unreliable.If it was working yesterday,there is an 80% chance it will work today.If it was not working yesterday,there is a 10% chance it will work today.If it is not working today,what is the probability that it will be working 2 days from now?
(Multiple Choice)
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In a(n)________ state,you cannot go to another state in the future.
(Multiple Choice)
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The fax machine in an office is very unreliable.If it was working yesterday,there is an 90% chance it will work today.If it was not working yesterday,there is a 5% chance it will work today.
(a)What is the probability that it is not working today,if it was not working yesterday?
(b)If it was working yesterday,what is the probability that it is working today?
(Essay)
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Over any given month,Hammond Market loses 10% of its customers to Otro Plaza and 20% to Tres Place.Otro Plaza loses 5% to Hammond and 10% to Tres Place.Tres Place loses 5% of its customers to each of the two competitors.At the present time,Hammond Market has 40% of the market,while the others have 30% each.
(a)Next month,what will the market shares be for the three firms?
(b)In two months,what will the market shares be for the three firms?
(Essay)
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Markov analysis assumes that while a member of one state may move to a different state over time,the overall makeup of the system will remain the same.
(True/False)
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There is a 60% chance that a customer without a smart phone will buy one this year.There is a 95% chance that a customer with a smart phone will continue with a smart phone going into the next year.If 30% of target market currently own smart phones,what is the long-run percentage of the target market that will own smart phones?
(Essay)
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For any absorbing state,the probability that a state will remain unchanged in the future is one.
(True/False)
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In Markov analysis,to find the vector of state probabilities for any period,
(Multiple Choice)
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If you are in an absorbing state,you cannot go to another state in the future.
(True/False)
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The matrix that is needed to compute equilibrium conditions when absorbing states are involved is called a(n)
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A Markov process could be used as a model of how a disease progresses from one set of symptoms to another.
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Markov analysis is a technique that deals with the probabilities of future occurrences by
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Creating the fundamental matrix requires a partition of the matrix of transition.
(True/False)
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