Exam 13: Nonlinear and Multiple Regression

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A study reported data on y-tensile strength (MPa), x1x _ { 1 } = slab thickness (cm), x2x _ { 2 } = load (kg), x3x _ { 3 } = age at loading (days), and x4x _ { 4 } = time under test (days) resulting from stress tests of n=9 reinforced concrete slabs. The results of applying the BE elimination method of variable selection are summarized in the accompanying tabular format. Explain what occurred at each step of the procedure.  A study reported data on y-tensile strength (MPa),  x _ { 1 }  = slab thickness (cm),  x _ { 2 }  = load (kg),  x _ { 3 }  = age at loading (days), and  x _ { 4 }  = time under test (days) resulting from stress tests of n=9 reinforced concrete slabs. The results of applying the BE elimination method of variable selection are summarized in the accompanying tabular format. Explain what occurred at each step of the procedure.

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At step #1 (in which the model with all 4 predictors was fit), t=.83 was the t ratio smallest in absolute magnitude. The corresponding predictor x3x _ { 3 } was then dropped from the model, and a model with predictors x1,x2 and x4x _ { 1 } , x _ { 2 } \text { and } x _ { 4 } was fit. The t ratio for x4x _ { 4 } , -1.53, was the smallest in absolute magnitude and 1.53<2.00, so the predictor x4x _ { 4 } was deleted. When the model with predictors x1 and x2x _ { 1 } \text { and } x _ { 2 } only was fit, both t ratios considerably exceeded 2 in absolute value, so no further deletion is necessary.

The principle__________selects β^0\hat { \beta } _ { 0 } and β^1\hat { \beta } _ { 1 } to minimize yi(b0+b1xi)\sum \left| y _ { i } - \left( b _ { 0 } + b _ { 1 } x _ {i } \right) \right| .

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MAD (minimize absolute deviations)

The additive exponential and power models, Y=αeβx+εY = α e ^ { \beta _ { x } } + \varepsilon and Y=αxβ+εY = \alpha x ^ { \beta } + \varepsilon are ___________ linear.

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An investigation of the influence of sodium benzoate concentration on the critical minimum pH necessary for the inhibition of Fe yielded the accompanying data, which suggests that expected critical minimum pH is linearly related to the natural logarithm of concentrate: Concentration .01 .025 .1 .95 5.1 5.5 6.1 7.3 a. What is the implied probabilistic model, and what are the estimates of the model parameters? b. What critical minimum pH would you predict for a concentration of 1.0? Obtain a 95% PI for critical minimum pH when concentration is 1.0.

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Quite frequently, residual plots as well as other plots of the data will suggest some difficulties or abnormality in the data. Which of the following statements are not considered difficulties?

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The function p(x)=eβ0+β1x/[1+eβ0+β1x]p ( x ) = e ^ { β _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x } / \left[ 1 + e ^ {β _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x } \right] has been found quite useful in many applications. This function is well known as the ___________function.

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The transformation __________ is used to linearize the reciprocal function y=α+β1xy = \alpha + \beta \cdot \frac { 1 } { x }

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Multiple regression analysis involves building models for relating dependent variable y to __________or more independent variables.

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For the case of two independent variables x1x _ { 1 } and x2x _ { 2 } , which of the following statements are not true?

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A multiple regression model with k predictors will include __________ regression parameters, because β0\beta _ { 0 } will always be included.

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The transformation __________ is used to linearize the function y=α+βlog(x)y = \alpha + \beta \cdot \log ( x )

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A study reports the accompanying data on discharge amount ( q, in m3/secq , \text { in } m ^ { 3 } / \mathrm { sec } ), flow area ( a, in m2a , \text { in } m ^ { 2 } ), and slope of the water surface (b, in m/m) obtained at a number of floodplain stations. The study proposed a multiplicative power model Q=αaβbyQ = \alpha a ^ { \beta } b ^ { y} \in . q 17.6 23.8 5.7 3.0 7.5 a 8.4 31.6 5.7 1.0 3.3 b .0048 .0073 .0037 .0412 .0413 q 89.2 60.9 27.5 13.2 12.2 a 41.1 26.2 16.4 6.7 9.7 b .0063 .0061 .0036 .0039 .0025 a. Use an appropriate transformation to make the model linear and then estimate the regression parameters for the transformed model. Finally, estimate α,β, and γ\alpha , \beta \text {, and } \gamma (the parameters of the original model). What would be your prediction of discharge amount when flow area is 10 and slope is .01? b. Without actually doing any analysis, how would you fit a multiplicative exponential model  A study reports the accompanying data on discharge amount (  q , \text { in } m ^ { 3 } / \mathrm { sec }  ), flow area (  a , \text { in } m ^ { 2 }  ), and slope of the water surface (b, in m/m) obtained at a number of floodplain stations. The study proposed a multiplicative power model  Q = \alpha a ^ { \beta } b ^ { y} \in  .  \begin{array} { c c c c c c }  \hline q & 17.6 & 23.8 & 5.7 & 3.0 & 7.5 \\ \hline a & 8.4 & 31.6 & 5.7 & 1.0 & 3.3 \\ \hline b & .0048 & .0073 & .0037 & .0412 & .0413 \\ \hline & & & & & \\ \hline q & 89.2 & 60.9 & 27.5 & 13.2 & 12.2 \\ \hline a & 41.1 & 26.2 & 16.4 & 6.7 & 9.7 \\ \hline b & .0063 & .0061 & .0036 & .0039 & .0025 \\ \hline \end{array}   a. Use an appropriate transformation to make the model linear and then estimate the regression parameters for the transformed model. Finally, estimate  \alpha , \beta \text {, and } \gamma   (the parameters of the original model). What would be your prediction of discharge amount when flow area is 10 and slope is .01?  b. Without actually doing any analysis, how would you fit a multiplicative exponential model    ?  c. After the transformation to linearity in part (a), a 95% CI for the value of the transformed regression function when a = 3.3 and b = .0046 was obtained from computer output as (.217, 1.755). Obtain a 95% CI for  \alpha a ^ { \mathcal { \beta } } b ^ { y }   when a = 3.3 and b = .0046. ? c. After the transformation to linearity in part (a), a 95% CI for the value of the transformed regression function when a = 3.3 and b = .0046 was obtained from computer output as (.217, 1.755). Obtain a 95% CI for αaβby\alpha a ^ { \mathcal { \beta } } b ^ { y } when a = 3.3 and b = .0046.

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Which of the following statements are true?

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The coefficient of multiple determination R is

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A trucking company considered a multiple regression model for relating the dependent variable y=total daily travel time for one of its drivers (hours) to the predictors x1x _ { 1 } =distance traveled (miles) and x2x _ { 2 } the number of deliveries made. Suppose that the model equation is Y=.800+.062x1+.900x2+εY = - .800 + .062 x _ { 1 } + .900 x _ { 2 } + \varepsilon a. What is the mean value of travel time when distance traveled is 50 miles and three deliveries are made? b. How would interpret β1=.060\beta _ { 1 } = .060 \text {, } the coefficient of the predictor x1x _ { 1 } ? What is the interpretation of β2=.900?\beta _ { 2 } = .900 ? c. If σ=.5\sigma = .5 hour, what is the probability that travel time will be at most 6 hours when three deliveries are made and the distance traveled is 50 miles?

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If the value of the coefficient of multiple determination R2R ^ { 2 } is .80 for a quadratic regression model, and that n = 11, then the adjusted R2R ^ { 2 } value is

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In the accompanying table, we give the smallest SSE for each number of predictors k (k = 1,2,3,4) for a regression problem in which y=cumulative heat of hardening in cement, x1x _ { 1 } =% tricalcium aluminate, x2x _ { 2 } = % tricalcium silicate, x3x _ { 3 } = % aluminum ferrate, and x4x _ { 4 } = % dicalcium silicate.  In the accompanying table, we give the smallest SSE for each number of predictors k (k = 1,2,3,4) for a regression problem in which y=cumulative heat of hardening in cement,  x _ { 1 }  =% tricalcium aluminate,  x _ { 2 }  = % tricalcium silicate,  x _ { 3 }  = % aluminum ferrate, and  x _ { 4 }  = % dicalcium silicate.   In addition, n=13, and SST=2715.16.  a. Use the criteria discussed in the text to recommend the use of a particular regression model. b. Would forward selection result in the best two-predictor model? Explain. In addition, n=13, and SST=2715.16. a. Use the criteria discussed in the text to recommend the use of a particular regression model. b. Would forward selection result in the best two-predictor model? Explain.

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If SSEkS S E _ {k } is the error sum of squares computed from a model with k predictors and n observations, then the mean squared error for the model is MSEkM S E_{k} = __________/__________.

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The kth -degree polynomial regression model equation is Y=β0+β1x+β2x2++βkxk+εY = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \beta _ { 2 } x ^ { 2 } + \cdots \cdots + \beta _ {k} x ^ { k } + \varepsilon , where ε\varepsilon is a normally distributed random variable with μz\mu _ { z } = ___________ and σz2\sigma _ { z } ^ { 2 } = ___________

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Answer the following questions. a. Could a linear regression result in residuals 25, -25, 7, 19, -6, 11, and 17? Why or why not? b. Could a linear regression result in residuals 25, -25, 7, 19, -6, -10, and 4 corresponding to x values 4, -3, 9, 13, -13, -19, and 26? Why or why not?

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