Exam 12: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation

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If Sx,y=562.3,V(x)=53.4, and n=20S _ { x, y } = 562.3 , V ( x ) = 53.4 , \text { and } n = 20 then the least squares estimate of the slope coefficient β1\beta _ { 1 } of the true regression line y=β0+β1x is β^1y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x \text { is } \hat { \beta } _ { 1 } = __________.

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In testing H0:β1=0 versus H±:β1±0H _ { 0 } : \beta _ { 1 } = 0 \text { versus } H _ { \pm } : \beta _ { 1 } \pm 0 using a sample of 15 observations, the rejection region for .05 level test is either tt \geq __________ or tt \leq __________.

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2.16, -2.16

Hydrogen content is conjectured to be an important factor in porosity of aluminum alloy castings. The accompanying data on x = content and y = gas porosity for one particular measurement technique have been reported: x .18 .20 .21 .21 .21 .22 .23 y .46 .70 .41 .45 .55 .44 .24 x .23 .24 .24 .25 .28 .30 .37 y .47 .22 .80 .88 .70 .72 .75 MINITAB gives the following output in response to a CORRELATION command: Correlation of Hydrogen and Porosity = 0.449 a. Test at level .05 to see whether the population correlation coefficient differs from 0. b. If a simple linear regression analysis had been carried out, what percentage of observed variation in porosity could be attributed to the model relationship?

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a. Ho:ρ1=0 vs H±:ρ0, Reject Ho if; Reject at level .05H _ { o } : \rho _ { 1 } = 0 \text { vs } H _ { \pm } : \rho \neq 0 \text {, Reject } H _ { o } \text { if; Reject at level } .05 if either tt.025,32=2.179 or t2.179.t=rn21r2=(.449)121(.449)2=1.74t \geq t _ { .025,32 } = 2.179 \text { or } t \leq - 2.179 . t = \frac { r \sqrt { n - 2 } } { \sqrt { 1 - r ^ { 2 } } } = \frac { ( .449 ) \sqrt { 12 } } { 1 - ( .449 ) ^ { 2 } } = 1.74 \text {. } Fail to reject H0/H _ { 0 } / the data
does not suggest that the population correlation coefficient differs from 0.
b. (.449)2=.20( .449 ) ^ { 2 } = .20 so 20 percent of the observed variation in gas porosity can be accounted or by
variation in hydrogen content.

Both the confidence interval for  Both the confidence interval for   , the expected value of Y when  x = x ^ { + } , and prediction interval for a future Y observation to be made when  x = x ^ { + } , are __________ for an  x ^ { + }  near  \bar { x }  than for an  x ^ { + }  far from  \bar { x }  . , the expected value of Y when x=x+x = x ^ { + } , and prediction interval for a future Y observation to be made when x=x+x = x ^ { + } , are __________ for an x+x ^ { + } near xˉ\bar { x } than for an x+x ^ { + } far from xˉ\bar { x } .

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In testing H0:β1=0 versus H±:β10H _ { 0 } : \beta _ { 1 } = 0 \text { versus } H _ { \pm } : \beta _ { 1 } \neq 0 using a sample of 22 observations, the test statistic value is found to be t = -2.528. the approximated P-value of the test is

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Given n pairs of observations (x1y1),(x2y2),,(xn,yn)\left( x _ { 1 } y _ { 1 } \right) , \left( x _ { 2 } y _ { 2 } \right) , \ldots \ldots \ldots , \left( x _ { n } , y _ { n } \right) if large x's are paired with large y's and small x's are paired with small y's, then a __________ relationship between the variables is implied. Similarly, it is natural to speak of x and y having a __________ relationship if large x's are paired with small y's and small x's are paired with large y's.

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When H0:ρ=0H _ { 0 } : \rho = 0 is true, the test statistic T=Rn2/1R2T = R \sqrt { n - 2 } / \sqrt { 1 - R ^ { 2 } } has a t distribution with __________ degrees of Freedom, where n is the sample size.

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In the simple linear regression model Y = β0+β1x+ε\beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \varepsilon the quantity E is a random variable, assumed to be normally distributed with E( ε \varepsilon ) = 0, and V( ε \varepsilon ) = σ2\sigma ^ { 2 } . The estimated standard error of β^1\hat { \beta } _ { 1 } (the least squares estimated of β1\beta _ { 1 } ), denoted by  In the simple linear regression model Y =  \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \varepsilon  the quantity E is a random variable, assumed to be normally distributed with E(   \varepsilon    ) = 0, and V(   \varepsilon    ) =  \sigma ^ { 2 }  . The estimated standard error of  \hat { \beta } _ { 1 }  (the least squares estimated of  \beta _ { 1 }  ), denoted by   , is __________ divided by __________, where  s = \sqrt { S S E ( n - 2 ) } \text { and } S _ { xx } = \sum \left( x _ { i } - \bar {x} \right) ^ { 2 }  . , is __________ divided by __________, where s=SSE(n2) and Sxx=(xixˉ)2s = \sqrt { S S E ( n - 2 ) } \text { and } S _ { xx } = \sum \left( x _ { i } - \bar {x} \right) ^ { 2 } .

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A 100(1 - α\alpha ) % confidence interval for the slope β1\beta _ { 1 } of the true regression line is β^1±\hat { \beta } _ { 1 } \pm __________ \cdot  A 100(1 -  \alpha  ) % confidence interval for the slope  \beta _ { 1 }  of the true regression line is  \hat { \beta } _ { 1 } \pm  __________  \cdot    . .

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If y = -2x - 8, then the y-intercept is __________.

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Which of the following statements are not true?

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The quantity ε \varepsilon in the simple linear regression model Y=β0+β1x+εY = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \varepsilon is a random variable, assumed to be normally distributed with E(ε)=0 and V(ε)=σ2E ( \varepsilon ) = 0 \text { and } V ( \varepsilon ) = \sigma ^ { 2 } The estimated standard deviation σ^\hat { \sigma } is given by

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The validity of joint or simultaneous confidence intervals for the expected value of Y when x=x1+,x2+,.,xk+x = x _ { 1 } ^ { + } , x _ { 2 } ^ { + } , \ldots . , x _ { k } ^ { +} rests on a probability result called the __________ inequality, so the joint confidence intervals are referred to as __________ intervals.

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The vertical deviations y1y^1,y2y^2,,yny^ny _ { 1 } - \hat { y } _ { 1 } , y _ { 2 } - \hat { y } _ { 2 } , \ldots \ldots , y _ { n } - \hat { y } _ { n } from the estimated regression line are referred to as the __________.

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Which of the following statements are not true?

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The value of the sample correlation coefficient r is always between __________ and __________.

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In simple linear regression analysis, if the residual sum of squares is zero, then the coefficient of determination r2r ^ { 2 } must be

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Suppose the expected cost of a production run is related to the size of the run by the equation y = 4000 + 10x. Let Y denote an observation on the cost of a run. If the variable size and cost are related according to the simple linear regression model, could it be the case that P(Y>5500 when x=100)=.05 and P(Y>6500 when x=200)=.10 ? P ( Y > 5500 \text { when } x = 100 ) = .05 \text { and } P ( Y > 6500 \text { when } x = 200 ) = .10 \text { ? } Explain.

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A scatter plot, along with the least squares line, of x = rainfall volume (m3)\left( \mathrm { m } ^ { 3 } \right) and y = runoff volume (m3)\left( \mathrm { m } ^ { 3 } \right) for a particular location were given. The accompanying values were read from the plot. x 5 12 14 17 23 30 40 47 y 4 10 13 15 15 25 27 46 x 55 67 72 81 96 112 127 y 38 46 53 70 82 99 100 a. Does a scatter plot of the data support the use of the simple linear regression model? b. Calculate point estimates of the slope and intercept of the population regression line. c. Calculate a point estimate of the true average runoff volume when rainfall volume is 50. d. Calculate a point estimate of the standard deviation σ\sigma e. What proportion of the observed variation in runoff volume can be attributed to the simple linear regression relationship between runoff and rainfall?

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A study reports on an investigation of methods for age determination based on tooth characteristics. With x = percentage of root with transparent dentine and y = age (years), consider the following representative data for anterior teeth: x 15 19 31 39 41 44 47 48 55 64 y 23 52 65 55 32 60 78 59 61 60 a. Calculate a 95% CI for the expected change in age associated with a 1% increase in transparent dentine content. What does the interval suggest about usefulness of the model? b. Carry out a test of model utility based on the P-

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