Exam 12: Decision-Making Under Conditions of Risk and Uncertainty

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Which of the following is NOT a feature of a probability distribution?

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Which of the following assumptions apply when making decisions on the basis of expected values:

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The following represent a tutor's estimate of the probability of students A, B, C and D failing an examination. Which student does the tutor consider has the best chance of passing the examination?

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The expected value represents:

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Which of the following represent states of nature?

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Figure 12-3 The Lee Company must choose between two mutually exclusive alternatives. With alternative 1 an inferior product will be marketed that is best suited to low levels of demand whereas alternative 2 is a superior product that is best suited to high levels of demand. There are only two possible levels of demand - high and low and the probabilities of each event occurring is 0.5. The predicted profits for each alterative are: Figure 12-3 The Lee Company must choose between two mutually exclusive alternatives. With alternative 1 an inferior product will be marketed that is best suited to low levels of demand whereas alternative 2 is a superior product that is best suited to high levels of demand. There are only two possible levels of demand - high and low and the probabilities of each event occurring is 0.5. The predicted profits for each alterative are:   -Refer to Figure 12-3. Using the data above relating to the Lee Company, which alternative should be selected using the maximin criterion? -Refer to Figure 12-3. Using the data above relating to the Lee Company, which alternative should be selected using the maximin criterion?

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Which of the following best describes objective probabilities?

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Figure 12-3 The Lee Company must choose between two mutually exclusive alternatives. With alternative 1 an inferior product will be marketed that is best suited to low levels of demand whereas alternative 2 is a superior product that is best suited to high levels of demand. There are only two possible levels of demand - high and low and the probabilities of each event occurring is 0.5. The predicted profits for each alterative are: Figure 12-3 The Lee Company must choose between two mutually exclusive alternatives. With alternative 1 an inferior product will be marketed that is best suited to low levels of demand whereas alternative 2 is a superior product that is best suited to high levels of demand. There are only two possible levels of demand - high and low and the probabilities of each event occurring is 0.5. The predicted profits for each alterative are:   -Refer to Figure 12-3. Using the data above relating to the Lee Company, which alternative should be selected using the regret criterion? -Refer to Figure 12-3. Using the data above relating to the Lee Company, which alternative should be selected using the regret criterion?

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Figure 12-1 Joe Bloggs is considering the following three alternatives that are estimated to yield the following potential monetary benefits: Figure 12-1 Joe Bloggs is considering the following three alternatives that are estimated to yield the following potential monetary benefits:   It is estimated that all of the outcomes are equally likely. -Refer to Figure 12-1. Assuming that Joe is a risk averter which alternative is he likely to prefer? It is estimated that all of the outcomes are equally likely. -Refer to Figure 12-1. Assuming that Joe is a risk averter which alternative is he likely to prefer?

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