Exam 12: Simple Linear Regression

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SCENARIO 12-3 The director of cooperative education at a state college wants to examine the effect of cooperative education job experience on marketability in the work place.She takes a random sample of 4 students.For these 4, she finds out how many times each had a cooperative education job and how many job offers they received upon graduation.These data are presented in the table below. Student Coop Jobs Job Offer 1 1 4 2 2 6 3 1 3 4 0 1 -Referring to Scenario 12-3, the least squares estimate of the slope is _.

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SCENARIO 12-4 The managers of a brokerage firm are interested in finding out if the number of new clients a broker brings into the firm affects the sales generated by the broker.They sample 12 brokers and determine the number of new clients they have enrolled in the last year and their sales amounts in thousands of dollars.These data are presented in the table that follows. Broker Clients Sales 1 27 52 2 11 37 3 42 64 4 33 55 5 15 29 6 15 34 7 25 58 8 36 59 9 28 44 10 30 48 11 17 31 12 22 38 -Referring to Scenario 12-4, the managers of the brokerage firm wanted to test the hypothesis that the population slope was equal to 0.At a level of significance of 0.01, the decision that should bemade implies that(there is a or there is no) linear dependent relationship between theindependent and dependent variables.

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SCENARIO 12-4 The managers of a brokerage firm are interested in finding out if the number of new clients a broker brings into the firm affects the sales generated by the broker.They sample 12 brokers and determine the number of new clients they have enrolled in the last year and their sales amounts in thousands of dollars.These data are presented in the table that follows. Broker Clients Sales 1 27 52 2 11 37 3 42 64 4 33 55 5 15 29 6 15 34 7 25 58 8 36 59 9 28 44 10 30 48 11 17 31 12 22 38 -Referring to Scenario 12-4, the managers of the brokerage firm wanted to test the hypothesis thatthe population slope was equal to 0.The denominator of the test statistic is s bb 1.The value of s1 bb in this sample is _.

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SCENARIO 12-2 A candy bar manufacturer is interested in trying to estimate how sales are influenced by the price of their product.To do this, the company randomly chooses 6 small cities and offers the candy bar at different prices.Using candy bar sales as the dependent variable, the company will conduct a simple linear regression on the data below:  City  Price($) Sales  River Falls 1.30100 Hudson 1.6090 Ellsworth 1.8090 Prescott 2.0040 Rock Elm 2.4038 Stillwater 2.9032\begin{array}{llr}\text { City }&\text { Price(\$)}&\text { Sales }\\\text { River Falls } & 1.30 & 100 \\\text { Hudson } & 1.60 & 90 \\\text { Ellsworth } & 1.80 & 90 \\\text { Prescott } & 2.00 & 40 \\\text { Rock Elm } & 2.40 & 38 \\\text { Stillwater } & 2.90 & 32\end{array} -Referring to Scenario 12-2, what is the percentage of the total variation in candy bar sales explained by the regression model?

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SCENARIO 12-5 The managing partner of an advertising agency believes that his company's sales are related to the industry sales.He uses Microsoft Excel to analyze the last 4 years of quarterly data with the following results: Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.802 R Square 0.643 Adjusted R Square 0.618 Standard Error Syv 0.9234 Observations 16 ANOVA df SS MS F Sig.F Regression 1 21.497 21.497 25.27 0.000 Error 14 11.912 0.851 Total 15 33.409 Predictor Coef StdError t Stat P-value Intercept 3.962 1.440 2.75 0.016 Industry 0.040451 0.008048 5.03 0.000  Durbin-Watson Statistic 1.59\text { Durbin-Watson Statistic } \quad 1.59 -Referring to Scenario 12-5, the prediction for a quarter in which X = 120 is Y = _.

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SCENARIO 12-12 The manager of the purchasing department of a large saving and loan organization would like to develop a model to predict the amount of time (measured in hours) it takes to record a loan application.Data are collected from a sample of 30 days, and the number of applications recorded and completion time in hours is recorded.Below is the regression output: Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.9447 R Square 0.8924 Adjusted R 0.8886 Square Standard 0.3342 Error Observations 30 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 25.9438 25.9438 232.2200 4.3946-15 Residual 28 3.1282 0.1117 Total 29 29.072 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95\% Upper 95\% Intercept 0.4024 0.1236 3.2559 0.0030 0.1492 0.6555 Applications 0.0126 0.0008 15.2388 0.0000 0.0109 0.0143 Recorded 12-46 Simple Linear Regression  SCENARIO 12-12 The manager of the purchasing department of a large saving and loan organization would like to develop a model to predict the amount of time (measured in hours) it takes to record a loan application.Data are collected from a sample of 30 days, and the number of applications recorded and completion time in hours is recorded.Below is the regression output:  \begin{array}{l} \begin{array} { l r }  \hline  { \text { Regression Statistics } } \\ \hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.9447 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.8924 \\ \text { Adjusted R } & 0.8886 \\ \text { Square } & \\ \text { Standard } & 0.3342 \\ \text { Error } & \\ \text { Observations } & 30 \\ \hline \end{array}\\ \text { ANOVA }\\ \begin{array} { l r r r r r }  \hline & { \text { df } } & { \text { SS } } & { \text { MS } } & \text { F } & \text { Significance } F \\ \hline \text { Regression } & 1 & 25.9438 & 25.9438 & 232.2200 & 4.3946 \mathrm { E } - 15 \\ \text { Residual } & 28 & 3.1282 & 0.1117 & & \\ \text { Total } & 29 & 29.072 & & & \\ \hline \end{array}\\ \begin{array} { l r r r r r r }  \hline & \text { Coefficients } & \text { Standard Error } & t \text { Stat } & \text { P-value } & \text { Lower 95\% } & \text { Upper 95\% } \\ \hline \text { Intercept } & 0.4024 & 0.1236 & 3.2559 & 0.0030 & 0.1492 & 0.6555 \\ \text { Applications } & 0.0126 & 0.0008 & 15.2388 & 0.0000 & 0.0109 & 0.0143 \\ \text { Recorded } & & & & & & \\ \hline \end{array} \end{array}  12-46 Simple Linear Regression   Simple Linear Regression 12-47 -Referring to Scenario 12-12, predict the amount of time it would take to process 150 invoices. Simple Linear Regression 12-47 -Referring to Scenario 12-12, predict the amount of time it would take to process 150 invoices.

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Assuming a linear relationship between X and Y, if the coefficient of correlation (r) equals- 0.30,

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SCENARIO 12-10 The management of a chain electronic store would like to develop a model for predicting the weekly sales (in thousands of dollars) for individual stores based on the number of customers who made purchases.A random sample of 12 stores yields the following results: Customers Sales (Thousands of Dollars) 907 11.20 926 11.05 713 8.21 741 9.21 780 9.42 898 10.08 510 6.73 529 7.02 460 6.12 872 9.52 650 7.53 603 7.25 -Referring to Scenario 12-10, the mean weekly sales will increase by an estimated$10 for each additional purchasing customer.

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SCENARIO 12-1 A large national bank charges local companies for using their services.A bank official reported the results of a regression analysis designed to predict the bank's charges (Y) -- measured in dollars per month -- for services rendered to local companies.One independent variable used to predict service charges to a company is the company's sales revenue (X) -- measured in millions of dollars.Data for 21 companies who use the bank's services were used to fit the model: Yi=β0+β1Xi+εiY _ { i } = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } X _ { i } + \varepsilon _ { i } Theresultsofthesimplelinearregressionareprovidedbelow. Iˉ=2,700+20X,SZX=65, two-tail p value =0.034 (for testing β1 ) \bar { I } = - 2,700 + 20 X , S _ { Z X } = 65 \text {, two-tail } p \text { value } = 0.034 \text { (for testing } \beta _ { 1 } \text { ) } -Referring to Scenario 12-1, interpret the estimate of σ\sigma , the standard deviation of the random error term (standard error of the estimate) in the model.

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