Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation

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SCENARIO 8-8 The president of a university would like to estimate the proportion of the student population that owns a personal computer.In a sample of 500 students, 417 own a personal computer. -Referring to Scenario 8-8, a 99% confidence interval will contain 99% of the student population who own a personal computer.

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Holding the level of confidence fixed, increasing the sample size will lead to a wider confidence interval.

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A population parameter is used to estimate a confidence interval.

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As an aid to the establishment of personnel requirements, the director of a hospital wishes to estimate the mean number of people who are admitted to the emergency room during a 24-hour period.The director randomly selects 64 different 24-hour periods and determines the number of admissions foreach.For this sample, Xˉ=396\bar { X } = 396 and S = 100.Estimate the mean number of admissions per 24-hourperiod with a 95% confidence interval.

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SCENARIO 8-12 The Three Brothers Energy Drink Company bottles and distributes a popular drink for athletes and exercise enthusiasts.Because of its marketing successes the company has installed an additional filling machine and the managers are eager to use it in daily operations.The machine is set to fill bottles at 16 oz. However, we know there is inherent machine variability and quality control has determined through testing a mean of 16.2 oz.and a standard deviation of 0.3 oz.using a 100 bottle sample. -Refer to Scenario 8-12.In calculating a 90% confidence interval for the population what would be the sampling error?

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SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer.

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SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, the sampling error of a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report is _.

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In forming a 90% confidence interval for a population mean from a sample size of 22, the number of degrees of freedom from the t distribution equals 22.

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SCENARIO 8-8 The president of a university would like to estimate the proportion of the student population that owns a personal computer.In a sample of 500 students, 417 own a personal computer. -Referring to Scenario 8-8, we are 99% confident that between 79.11% and 87.69% of the student population own a personal computer.

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The confidence interval estimate of the population proportion is constructed around the sample proportion.

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SCENARIO 8-11 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months.Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game.The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Scenario 8-11, 1,500 is the size of the

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SCENARIO 8-5 A sample of salary offers (in thousands of dollars) given to management majors is: 48, 51, 46, 52, 47, 48, 47, 50, 51, and 59.Using this data to obtain a 95% confidence interval resulted in an interval from 47.19 to 52.61. -Referring to Scenario 8-5, 95% of the sample means will fall between 47.19 and52.61.

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SCENARIO 8-6 After an extensive advertising campaign, the manager of a company wants to estimate the proportion of potential customers that recognize a new product.She samples 120 potential consumers and finds that 54 recognize this product.She uses this sample information to obtain a 95% confidence interval that goes from 0.36 to 0.54. -Referring to Scenario 8-6, 95% of the people will recognize the product between36% and 54% of the time.

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The sampling error can either be positive or negative.

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SCENARIO 8-11 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months.Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game.The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Scenario 8-11, the sampling error is 3%.

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SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report.

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When determining the sample size for a proportion for a given level of confidence and sampling error, the closer to 0.50 that π\pi is estimated to be, the sample size required .

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The width of a confidence interval equals twice the sampling error.

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Other things being equal, the confidence interval for the mean will be wider for 95%confidence than for 90% confidence.

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SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, the sampling error of a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople working a second job on company time is _.

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