Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation

SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople working a second job on company time.

SCENARIO 8-7 A hotel chain wants to estimate the mean number of rooms rented daily in a given month.The population of rooms rented daily is assumed to be normally distributed for each month with a standard deviation of 240 rooms.During February, a sample of 25 days has a sample mean of 370 rooms. -Referring to Scenario 8-7, a 99% confidence interval for the mean number of rooms rented daily in a given month is from to .

A race car driver tested his car for time from 0 to 60 mph, and for 20 tests obtained a mean of 4.85 seconds with a standard deviation of 1.47 seconds.A 95% confidence interval for the 0 to 60 mean time is 4.52 seconds to 5.18 seconds.

When determining the sample size necessary for estimating the true population mean, which factor isnot considered when sampling with replacement?

SCENARIO 8-9 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "no". -Referring to Scenario 8-9, the sampling error of a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of student population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students is .

As an aid to the establishment of personnel requirements, the director of a hospital wishes to estimate the mean number of people who are admitted to the emergency room during a 24-hour period.The director randomly selects 64 different 24-hour periods and determines the number of admissions foreach.For this sample, $\bar { X } = 396$ and S = 100.Using the sample standard deviation as an estimate forthe population standard deviation, what size sample should the director choose if she wishes to estimate the mean number of admissions per 24-hour period to within 1 admission with 99% reliability?

SCENARIO 8-3 To become an actuary, it is necessary to pass a series of 10 exams, including the most important one, an exam in probability and statistics.An insurance company wants to estimate the mean score on this exam for actuarial students who have enrolled in a special study program.They take a sample of 8 actuarial students in this program and determine that their scores are: 2, 5, 8, 8, 7, 6, 5, and 7.This sample will be used to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the mean score for actuarial students in the special study program. -Referring to Scenario 8-3, a 90% confidence interval for the mean score of actuarial students in the special program is from to .

Other things being equal, as the confidence level for a confidence interval increases, the width of the interval increases.

SCENARIO 8-11 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months.Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game.The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Scenario 8-11, the report contains all the essential components for an ethical reporting of poll results.

SCENARIO 8-6 After an extensive advertising campaign, the manager of a company wants to estimate the proportion of potential customers that recognize a new product.She samples 120 potential consumers and finds that 54 recognize this product.She uses this sample information to obtain a 95% confidence interval that goes from 0.36 to 0.54. -Referring to Scenario 8-6, the parameter of interest to the manager is the proportion of potential customers in this sample that recognize the new product.

SCENARIO 8-9 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "no". -Referring to Scenario 8-9, the parameter of interest is the total number of students in the population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

Which of the following is not true about the Student's t distribution?

SCENARIO 8-5 A sample of salary offers (in thousands of dollars) given to management majors is: 48, 51, 46, 52, 47, 48, 47, 50, 51, and 59.Using this data to obtain a 95% confidence interval resulted in an interval from 47.19 to 52.61. -Referring to Scenario 8-5, 95% of the salary offers are between 47.19 and 52.61.

SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report.

SCENARIO 8-9 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "no". -Referring to Scenario 8-9, the parameter of interest is the proportion of the student population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

SCENARIO 8-3 To become an actuary, it is necessary to pass a series of 10 exams, including the most important one, an exam in probability and statistics.An insurance company wants to estimate the mean score on this exam for actuarial students who have enrolled in a special study program.They take a sample of 8 actuarial students in this program and determine that their scores are: 2, 5, 8, 8, 7, 6, 5, and 7.This sample will be used to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the mean score for actuarial students in the special study program. -Referring to Scenario 8-3, the mean of the sample is , while the standard deviation of the sample is .

The difference between the sample size and the population size is called the sampling error.

The county clerk wants to estimate the proportion of voters who will need special election facilities.No information is available from past data.The clerk wants to construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion which extends at most 0.07 to either side of the sample proportion.How large a sample must be taken to assure these conditions are met?

Suppose a 95% confidence interval for $\mu$ turns out to be (1,000, 2,100).To make more useful inferences from the data, it is desired to reduce the width of the confidence interval.Which of the following will result in a reduced interval width?

SCENARIO 8-2 A quality control engineer is interested in the mean length of sheet insulation being cut automatically by machine.The desired mean length of the insulation is 12 feet.It is known that the standard deviation in the cutting length is 0.15 feet.A sample of 70 cut sheets yields a mean length of 12.14 feet.This sample will be used to obtain a 99% confidence interval for the mean length cut by machine. -Referring to Scenario 8-2, the confidence interval is valid only if the lengths cut are normally distributed.