Exam 11: Judgment, Decision Making, and Types of Thinking

Sean goes to a graphologist, whose analysis of Sean's handwriting indicates that he is introverted. Sean concludes that as an introvert he should not join a social group because he will not likely enjoy it. What is the BEST analysis of Sean's decision?

Haru was tossing a fair coin and had gotten tails four times in a row. He said, "I think I am due to get heads on the next toss." Haru's incorrect judgment is MOST related to:

Lauren got an A on her math test, better than she expected based on her SAT math score of 500 and her C average in math courses overall. She said, "Wow, I am really getting better at math. I think I am a B math student now." Lauren has MOST likely made the thinking error of _____ while judging her math ability.

The law of large numbers maintains or implies that:

Which statement is TRUE about the popular idea about the "hair of the dog that bit you," meaning that having another drink as a good way to cure a hangover?

In the 1980s and 1990s, many people became concerned that Satanic cults were abducting and abusing people, although no good evidence supported this claim. Some clinicians began to conduct workshops warning other clinicians about the dangers of Satanic ritual abuse and explaining how to identify repressed memories of Satanic ritual abuse they might observe. After much media attention, some clinicians began to identify many more cases of repressed memory of Satanic ritual abuse. The MOST likely reason for this great increase is that clinicians were making judgments based on the: