Exam 5: Discrete Probability Distributions

In a game called Taxation and Evasion, a player rolls a pair of dice. If on any turn the sum is 7, 11, or 12, the player gets audited. Otherwise, she avoids taxes. Suppose a player takes 5 turns at rolling the dice. The probability that she gets audited at least once is ________.

The expected return of a two-asset portfolio is equal to the product of the weight assigned to the first asset and the expected return of the first asset plus the product of the weight assigned to the second asset and the expected return of the second asset.

The Department of Commerce in a particular state has determined that the number of small businesses that declare bankruptcy per month is approximately a Poisson distribution with a mean of 6.4. Find the probability that exactly 5 bankruptcies occur next month.

An Undergraduate Study Committee of 6 members at a major university is to be formed from a pool of faculty of 18 men and 6 women. If the committee members are chosen randomly, what is the probability that all of the members will be men?

TABLE 5-2 A certain type of new business succeeds 60% of the time. Suppose that 3 such businesses open (where they do not compete with each other, so it is reasonable to believe that their relative successes would be independent). -Referring to Table 5-2, the probability that exactly 1 business succeeds is ________.

Suppose that past history shows that 60% of college students prefer Brand C cola. A sample of 5 students is to be selected. The probability that more than 3 prefer Brand C is ________.

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8, if your investment preference is to maximize your expected profit while exposing yourself to the minimal amount of risk, will you choose a production mix that will consist of 10%, 30%, 50%, 70%, or 90% of your production lines for Design A and the remaining for Design B?

The diameters of 10 randomly selected bolts have a binomial distribution.

TABLE 5-5 From an inventory of 48 new cars being shipped to local dealerships, corporate reports indicate that 12 have defective radios installed. -Referring to Table 5-5, what is the probability out of the 8 new cars it just received that, when each is tested, exactly two of the cars have nondefective radios?

TABLE 5-11 Subscribers to Investment Advice White Letters perform security transactions at the rate of five trades per month. Assume that one of the subscribers performs transactions at this rate and the probability of a transaction for any two months is the same and the number of transactions in one month is independent of the number of transactions in another month. -Referring to Table 5-11, what is probability that fewer than two security transactions will be conducted in one month?

If π remains constant in a binomial distribution, an increase in n will increase the variance.

TABLE 5-7 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution: Returns Probability Neighborhood A Neighborhood B .25 -\ 22,500 \ 30,500 .40 \ 10,000 \ 25,000 .35 \ 40,500 \ 10,500 -Referring to Table 5-7, if you can invest 10% of your money on the house in neighborhood A and the remaining on the house in neighborhood B, what is the portfolio expected return of your investment?

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8, what is the variance of your profit when Design B is chosen?

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8, what is the covariance of the profits from the two different designs?

The connotation "expected value" or "expected gain" from playing roulette at a casino means

TABLE 5-10 An accounting firm in a college town usually recruits employees from two of the universities in town. This year, there are fifteen graduates from University A and five from University B and the firm decides to hire six new employees from the two universities. -Referring to Table 5-10, what is the probability that no more than two of the new employees will be from University B?

TABLE 5-10 An accounting firm in a college town usually recruits employees from two of the universities in town. This year, there are fifteen graduates from University A and five from University B and the firm decides to hire six new employees from the two universities. -Referring to Table 5-10, what is the probability that none of the new employees will be from University B?

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8, what is the total variance of the profit if you increase the shift of your production lines and choose to produce both designs?

TABLE 5-7 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution: Returns Probability Neighborhood A Neighborhood B .25 -\ 22,500 \ 30,500 .40 \ 10,000 \ 25,000 .35 \ 40,500 \ 10,500 -Referring to Table 5-7, what is the variance of the gain in value for the house in neighborhood A?

TABLE 5-3 The following table contains the probability distribution for X = the number of retransmissions necessary to successfully transmit a 1024K data package through a double satellite media. X 0 1 2 3 P(X) 0.35 0.35 0.25 0.05 -Referring to Table 5-3, the probability of at least one retransmission is ________.