Exam 16: Multiple Regression

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For each x term in the multiple regression equation, the corresponding β\beta is referred to as a partial regression coefficient or slope of the independent variable.

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In a regression model involving 30 observations, the following estimated regression model was obtained: y^\hat { y } = 60 + 2.8x1 + 1.2 x2 - x3. For this model, total variation in y = SST = 800 and SSE = 200. The value of the F-statistic for testing the validity of this model is:

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In regression analysis, we judge the magnitude of the standard error of estimate relative to the values of the dependent variable, and particularly to the mean of y.

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An economist wanted to develop a multiple regression model to enable him to predict the annual family expenditure on clothes. After some consideration, he developed the multiple regression model: y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+εy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + \varepsilon . Where: y = annual family clothes expenditure (in $1000s) x1x _ { 1 } = annual household income (in $1000s) x2x _ { 2 } = number of family members x3x _ { 3 } = number of children under 10 years of age The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS ŷ = 1.74+0.091x1+0.93x2+0.26x31.74 + 0.091 x _ { 1 } + 0.93 x _ { 2 } + 0.26 x _ { 3 } Predictor Coef StDev Constant 1.74 0.630 2.762 0.091 0.025 3.640 0.93 0.290 3.207 0.26 0.180 1.444 se = 2.06, R2 = 59.6%. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation SS MS F Regression 3 288 96 22.647 Error 46 195 4.239 Total 49 483 What is the coefficient of determination? What does this statistic tell you?

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In multiple regression, the problem of multicollinearity affects the t-tests of the individual coefficients as well as the F-test in the analysis of variance for regression, since the F-test combines these t-tests into a single test.

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A multiple regression model has the form ? = 24 - 0.001x1 + 3x2. As x1 increases by 1 unit, holding x2x _ { 2 } constant, the value of y is estimated to decrease by 0.001units, on average.

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In a multiple regression analysis involving 40 observations and 5 independent variables, total variation in y = SST = 350 and SSE = 50. The coefficient of determination is:

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In multiple regression, when the response surface (the graphical depiction of the regression equation) hits every single point, the sum of squares for error SSE = 0, the standard error of estimate SεS _ { \varepsilon } = 0, and the coefficient of determination R2R ^ { 2 } = 1.

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In multiple regression analysis involving 9 independent variables and 110 observations, the critical value of t for testing individual coefficients in the model will have:

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In order to test the significance of a multiple regression model involving 4 independent variables and 25 observations, the number of degrees of freedom for the numerator and denominator, respectively, for the critical value of F are 4 and 20, respectively.

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In order to test the validity of a multiple regression model involving 4 independent variables and 35 observations, the numbers of degrees of freedom for the numerator and denominator, respectively, for the critical value of F are:

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In multiple regression, the Durbin-Watson test is used to determine if there is autocorrelation in the regression model

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Which of the following is not true when we add an independent variable to a multiple regression model?

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To test the validity of a multiple regression model involving 2 independent variables, the null hypothesis is that:

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An actuary wanted to develop a model to predict how long individuals will live. After consulting a number of physicians, she collected the age at death (y), the average number of hours of exercise per week ( x1x _ { 1 } ), the cholesterol level ( x2x _ { 2 } ), and the number of points by which the individual's blood pressure exceeded the recommended value ( x3x _ { 3 } ). A random sample of 40 individuals was selected. The computer output of the multiple regression model is shown below: THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS ŷ = 55.8+1.79x10.021x20.016x355.8 + 1.79 x _ { 1 } - 0.021 x _ { 2 } - 0.016 x _ { 3 } Predictor Coef StDev Constant 55.8 11.8 4.729 1.79 0.44 4.068 -0.021 0.011 -1.909 -0.016 0.014 -1.143 se = 9.47 R2 = 22.5%. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation SS MS F Regression 3 936 312 3.477 Error 36 3230 89.722 Total 39 4166 What is the coefficient of determination? What does this statistic tell you?

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Pop-up coffee vendors have been popular in the city of Adelaide in 2013. A vendor is interested in knowing how temperature (in degrees Celsius) and number of different pastries and biscuits offered to customers impacts daily hot coffee sales revenue (in $00's). A random sample of 6 days was taken, with the daily hot coffee sales revenue and the corresponding temperature and number of different pastries and biscuits offered on that day, noted. Excel output for a multiple linear regression is given below: Coffee sales revenue Temperature Pastries/biscuits 6.5 25 7 10 17 13 5.5 30 5 4.5 35 6 3.5 40 3 28 9 15 SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistios Multiple R 0.87 R Square 0.75 Adjusted R Square 0.59 Standard Error 5.95 Observations 6.00 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 2.00 322.14 161.07 4.55 0.12 Residual 3.00 106.20 35.40 Total 5.00 428.33 Coeffients Standard Error tStat P-value Lower 95\% Upper 95\% Intercept 18.68 37.88 0.49 0.66 -101.88 139.24 Temperature -0.50 0.83 -0.60 0.59 -3.15 2.15 Pastries/biscuits 0.49 2.02 0.24 0.82 -5.94 6.92 Interpret the intercept. Does this make sense?

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In a multiple regression model, the probability distribution of the error variable is assumed to be:

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In a multiple regression problem involving 24 observations and three independent variables, the estimated regression equation is y^\hat { y } = 72 + 3.2x1 + 1.5 x2 - x3. For this model, SST = 800 and SSE = 245. The value of the F-statistic for testing the significance of this model is 15.102.

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In a multiple regression, a large value of the test statistic F indicates that most of the variation in y is explained by the regression equation, and that the model is useful; while a small value of F indicates that most of the variation in y is unexplained by the regression equation, and that the model is useless.

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In multiple regression, the standard error of estimate is defined by Sε=SSE/(nk)S _ { \varepsilon } = \sqrt { SSE / ( n - k ) } , where n is the sample size and k is the number of independent variables.

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