Exam 16: Multiple Regression and Correlation

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A multiple regression model has the form Y^\hat { Y } = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2.The coefficient b1 is interpreted as the:

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Professor A statistics professor investigated some of the factors that affect an individual student's final grade in his course.He proposed the multiple regression model y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+ϵy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + \epsilon where: y = final mark (out of 100) x1 = number of lectures skipped x2 = number of late assignments x3 = mid-term test mark (out of 100) The professor recorded the data for 50 randomly selected students.The computer output is shown below. The regression equation is: y^=41.63.18x11.17x2+.63x3\hat { y } = 41.6 - 3.18 x _ { 1 } - 1.17 x _ { 2 } + .63 x _ { 3 } Predictor Coef StDev T Constant 41.6 17.8 2.337 -3.18 1.66 -1.916 -1.17 1.13 -1.035 0.63 0.13 4.846 S=13.74S = 13.74 RSq=30.0%\mathrm { R } - \mathrm { Sq } = 30.0 \% Analysis of Variance Source of Variation df SS MS F Regression 3 3716 1238.667 6.558 Error 46 8688 188.870 Total 49 12404 -Do these data provide enough evidence to conclude at the 5% significance level that the final mark and the number of skipped lectures are linearly related? Test statistic = ____________________ Critical Value = ____________________ Conclusion: ____________________

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Salary Data was collected from 40 employees to develop a regression model to predict the employee's annual salary using their years with the company (Years),their starting salary (Starting),and their Gender (Male = 0,Female = 1).The results from Excel regression analysis are shown below: RegresionSlalinlics Multiple R 0.719714957 R Square 0.516551199 Adjusted R Square 0.476253780 Standard Errar 10515.63461 Dbservations 40  ANOVA \text { ANOVA } of SS MS F Significance F Regression 3 4334682510 1444894170 12.82165585 7.48476-06 Residual 36 4056901131 112691698.1 Total 39 8391583641 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P -value Intercept 27946.57894 4832.438706 5.783121245 1.35464-06 Years 1665.251558 425.0829092 3.917474737 0.000383313 Starting 0.266374185 0.12610443 2.112330112 0.041661598 Gender -3285.541043 5617.145392 -0.584912943 0.56225464 -In testing the null hypothesis that the regression equation is not significant at the 0.05 level,what is the appropriate conclusion?

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Explain each of the terms in the multiple regression model: yi=β0+β1x1i+β2x2i++βkixki+ϵ1y _ { i } = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 i } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 i } + \ldots \ldots + \beta _ { \mathrm { ki } } x _ { \mathrm { ki } } + \epsilon _ { 1 } .

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A multiple regression model has the form: Y^\hat { Y } = 5.25 + 2.5x1 + 4x2.As x2 increases by 1 unit,holding x1 constant,then the value of y will increase by:

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States Concern over the number of car thefts grew into a project to determine the relationship between car thefts by state and these variables: x1 = Police per 10,000 persons,by state x2 = Expenditure by local government for police protection,in thousands,by state x3 = New passenger car registrations,in thousands,by state. Data from 13 states were collected.The MINITAB regression results are: The regression equation is car-thf =25.3+1.28= - 25.3 + 1.28 police +0.0188+ 0.0188 polexp +0.0969+ 0.0969 registr Predictor Coef Stdev t-ratio p Constant -25.29 17.85 -1.42 0.190 police 1.2831 0.9275 1.38 0.200 polexp 0.018827 0.008460 2.23 0.053 registr 0.09686 0.03536 2.74 0.023 s=??Rsq=??%Rsq(adj)=??%s = ? ? \quad \mathrm { R } - s q = ? ? \% \quad \mathrm { R } - s q ( a d j ) = ? ? \% Analysis of Variance SOURCE DF SS MS F p Regression 3 33007 11002 107.14 0.000 Error 9 924 103 Total 12 33932 Correlation between the variables: car-thf police polexp registr car-thf 1.000 police 0.466 1.000 polexp 0.970 0.390 1.000 registr 0.976 0.406 0.958 1.000 -Do the partial regression coefficients have the algebraic sign you might expect?

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In testing the significance of a multiple regression model in which there are three independent variables,the null hypothesis is:

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States Concern over the number of car thefts grew into a project to determine the relationship between car thefts by state and these variables: x1 = Police per 10,000 persons,by state x2 = Expenditure by local government for police protection,in thousands,by state x3 = New passenger car registrations,in thousands,by state. Data from 13 states were collected.The MINITAB regression results are: The regression equation is car-thf =25.3+1.28= - 25.3 + 1.28 police +0.0188+ 0.0188 polexp +0.0969+ 0.0969 registr Predictor Coef Stdev t-ratio p Constant -25.29 17.85 -1.42 0.190 police 1.2831 0.9275 1.38 0.200 polexp 0.018827 0.008460 2.23 0.053 registr 0.09686 0.03536 2.74 0.023 s=??Rsq=??%Rsq(adj)=??%s = ? ? \quad \mathrm { R } - s q = ? ? \% \quad \mathrm { R } - s q ( a d j ) = ? ? \% Analysis of Variance SOURCE DF SS MS F p Regression 3 33007 11002 107.14 0.000 Error 9 924 103 Total 12 33932 Correlation between the variables: car-thf police polexp registr car-thf 1.000 police 0.466 1.000 polexp 0.970 0.390 1.000 registr 0.976 0.406 0.958 1.000 -What,if any,multicollinearity do you detect?

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Marketing Analyst A marketing analyst is interested in predicting prospective buyer's knowledge about compact disc players.A random sample of 36 buyers was taken,a questionnaire about compact disc players completed,and information about education,income and age was obtained.In estimating the equation,the variables were: y = knowledge about compact disc players x1 = education (years) x2 = age x3 = income (thousands of dollars) The resulting output using MINITAB was: The regression equation is Y=50.2+4.36\times1-0.632\times2-0.068\times3 Predictor Coef Stdev t-ratio Constant 50.168 4.977 10.08 X1 4.3609 0.4064 10.73 X2 -0.63169 0.08172 -7.73 X3 -0.0682 0.1176 -0.58 s=4.615 R-sq =85.0\% R-sq(adj) =83.6\% -Identify the coefficient of multiple determination,R2. Interpret the value.

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A health science-kinesiology program to lose weight collected data from ten students.Sex was coded as 1 = female and 0 = male.The regression equation obtained was given by: Pounds lost = 15.8 + 0.65 time + 6.00 sex.For the same length of time in the program,compare the weight loss of a female to a male.What is your conclusion?

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Professor A statistics professor investigated some of the factors that affect an individual student's final grade in his course.He proposed the multiple regression model y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+ϵy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + \epsilon where: y = final mark (out of 100) x1 = number of lectures skipped x2 = number of late assignments x3 = mid-term test mark (out of 100) The professor recorded the data for 50 randomly selected students.The computer output is shown below. The regression equation is: y^=41.63.18x11.17x2+.63x3\hat { y } = 41.6 - 3.18 x _ { 1 } - 1.17 x _ { 2 } + .63 x _ { 3 } Predictor Coef StDev T Constant 41.6 17.8 2.337 -3.18 1.66 -1.916 -1.17 1.13 -1.035 0.63 0.13 4.846 S=13.74S = 13.74 RSq=30.0%\mathrm { R } - \mathrm { Sq } = 30.0 \% Analysis of Variance Source of Variation df SS MS F Regression 3 3716 1238.667 6.558 Error 46 8688 188.870 Total 49 12404 -Do these data provide enough evidence at the 5% significance level to conclude that the final mark and the number of late assignments are negatively linearly related? Test statistic = ____________________ Critical Value = ____________________ Conclusion: ____________________

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States Concern over the number of car thefts grew into a project to determine the relationship between car thefts by state and these variables: x1 = Police per 10,000 persons,by state x2 = Expenditure by local government for police protection,in thousands,by state x3 = New passenger car registrations,in thousands,by state. Data from 13 states were collected.The MINITAB regression results are: The regression equation is car-thf =25.3+1.28= - 25.3 + 1.28 police +0.0188+ 0.0188 polexp +0.0969+ 0.0969 registr Predictor Coef Stdev t-ratio p Constant -25.29 17.85 -1.42 0.190 police 1.2831 0.9275 1.38 0.200 polexp 0.018827 0.008460 2.23 0.053 registr 0.09686 0.03536 2.74 0.023 s=?? R-sq =??% R-sq(adj) =??%s = ? ? \quad \text { R-sq } = ? ? \% \quad \text { R-sq(adj) } = ? ? \% Analysis of Variance SOURCE DF SS MS F p Regression 3 33007 11002 107.14 0.000 Error 9 924 103 Total 12 33932 Correlation between the variables: car-thf police polexp registr car-thf 1.000 police 0.466 1.000 polexp 0.970 0.390 1.000 registr 0.976 0.406 0.958 1.000 -How much of the variation in thefts is explained by the model?

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A health science-kinesiology program to lose weight collected data from ten students.Sex was coded as 1 = female and 0 = male.The regression equation obtained was given by: Pounds lost = 15.8 + 0.65 time + 6.00 sex What is the estimated weight loss of a female who stayed in the program for 5 time periods?

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For a multiple regression model the following statistics are given: SSE = 40,SST = 200,k = 4,n = 20.Calculate the coefficient of determination adjusted for degrees of freedom.

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Consider the multiple regression equation, Y^\hat { Y } = 80 + 15x1 - 5 x2 + 100x3.Identify the y-intercept and partial regression coefficients: y-intercept: ____________________ x1: ____________________ x2: ____________________ x3: ____________________

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Salary Data was collected from 40 employees to develop a regression model to predict the employee's annual salary using their years with the company (Years),their starting salary (Starting),and their Gender (Male = 0,Female = 1).The results from Excel regression analysis are shown below: RegresionSlalinlics Multiple R 0.719714957 R Square 0.516551199 Adjusted R Square 0.476253780 Standard Errar 10515.63461 Dbservations 40  ANOVA \text { ANOVA } of SS MS F Significance F Regression 3 4334682510 1444894170 12.82165585 7.48476-06 Residual 36 4056901131 112691698.1 Total 39 8391583641 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P -value Intercept 27946.57894 4832.438706 5.783121245 1.35464-06 Years 1665.251558 425.0829092 3.917474737 0.000383313 Starting 0.266374185 0.12610443 2.112330112 0.041661598 Gender -3285.541043 5617.145392 -0.584912943 0.56225464 -What is the regression equation?

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What is multicollinearity?

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For the multiple regression model Y^\hat { Y } = 50 + 25x1 - 10x2 + 8x3,if x2 were to increase by 5,holding x1 and x3 constant,the value of y would:

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