Exam 16: Simulation

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Using simulation to perform risk analysis is like playing out many what-if scenarios by randomly generating values for the probabilistic inputs.

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Computer-generated random numbers are normally distributed over the interval from 0 to 1.

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A table of uniformly distributed random numbers should be read

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Computer-generated random numbers are not technically random.

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A quantity that is difficult to measure with certainty is called a

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In order to verify a simulation model

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The process of generating probabilistic inputs and computing the value of the output is called

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The degree of risk is associated with the probability or magnitude of loss.

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The drying rate in an industrial process is dependent on many factors and varies according to the following distribution. The drying rate in an industrial process is dependent on many factors and varies according to the following distribution.     a.Compute the mean drying time. b.Using these random numbers,simulate the drying time for 12 processes.     c.What is the average drying time for the 10 processes you simulated? a.Compute the mean drying time. b.Using these random numbers,simulate the drying time for 12 processes. The drying rate in an industrial process is dependent on many factors and varies according to the following distribution.     a.Compute the mean drying time. b.Using these random numbers,simulate the drying time for 12 processes.     c.What is the average drying time for the 10 processes you simulated? c.What is the average drying time for the 10 processes you simulated?

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Verification is the process of ensuring that the simulation model provides an accurate representation of the real system.

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Simulation models that must take into account how the system changes or evolves over time are referred to as dynamic simulation models.

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The time required to set up lighting for a portrait studio is uniformly distributed between 12 and 20 minutes.Use the following random numbers to generate the setup time for 10 customers. The time required to set up lighting for a portrait studio is uniformly distributed between 12 and 20 minutes.Use the following random numbers to generate the setup time for 10 customers.

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Computer-generated random numbers are normally distributed.

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A discrete-event simulation reviews the status of the system periodically,whether or not an event occurs.

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An airline reservation system first asks customers whether they want to schedule a domestic or an international flight.Sixty-five percent of the reservations are for domestic flights.The time distribution of advance sales is also important,and it is given below. An airline reservation system first asks customers whether they want to schedule a domestic or an international flight.Sixty-five percent of the reservations are for domestic flights.The time distribution of advance sales is also important,and it is given below.     a.Place the appropriate random number ranges in the tables above. b.Set up and perform a simulation for three customers.Determine whether they want a domestic or international flight,and how far in advance the reservation is being made.Use random numbers from this list: .632 .715 .998 .671 .744 .021 a.Place the appropriate random number ranges in the tables above. b.Set up and perform a simulation for three customers.Determine whether they want a domestic or international flight,and how far in advance the reservation is being made.Use random numbers from this list: .632 .715 .998 .671 .744 .021

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In a Monte Carlo simulation,each simulation trial is dependent upon the result of a previous trial.

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For any waiting line system, (Average number of units in waiting line)= (Total waiting time)divided by (Total time of simulation).

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In comparing different policies using simulation,one should use the same set of random numbers whenever possible.

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Which of the following statements is INCORRECT regarding the advantages of simulation?

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Simulation is an excellent technique to use when a situation is too complicated to use standard analytical procedures.

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