Exam 9: Regression Analysis

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An analyst has identified 3 independent variables X1,X2,X3)which might be used to predict Y.He has computed the regression equations using all combinations of the variables and the results are summarized in the following table.Why is the R2 value for the X3 model the same as the R2 value for the X1 and X3 model,but the Adjusted R2 values differ? An analyst has identified 3 independent variables X<sub>1</sub>,X<sub>2</sub>,X<sub>3</sub>)which might be used to predict Y.He has computed the regression equations using all combinations of the variables and the results are summarized in the following table.Why is the R<sup>2</sup><sup> </sup>value for the X<sub>3</sub><sub> </sub>model the same as the R<sup>2</sup><sup> </sup>value for the X<sub>1</sub><sub> </sub>and X<sub>3</sub><sub> </sub>model,but the Adjusted R<sup>2</sup><sup> </sup>values differ?

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Exhibit 9.3 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A researcher is interested in determining how many calories young men consume.She measured the age of the individuals and recorded how much food they ate each day for a month.The average daily consumption was recorded as the dependent variable.She has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results. Exhibit 9.3 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A researcher is interested in determining how many calories young men consume.She measured the age of the individuals and recorded how much food they ate each day for a month.The average daily consumption was recorded as the dependent variable.She has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results.    -Refer to Exhibit 9.3.Test the significance of the model and explain which values you used to reach your conclusions. -Refer to Exhibit 9.3.Test the significance of the model and explain which values you used to reach your conclusions.

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The regression coefficients are significant based on the P-value for the Intercept and X Variable 1.Both of the P-Values are 0.0000.

The terms b0 and b1 are referred to as

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Exhibit 9.6 The partial regression output below applies to the following questions. Exhibit 9.6 The partial regression output below applies to the following questions.    -Refer to Exhibit 9.6.What is the F-statistic value? -Refer to Exhibit 9.6.What is the F-statistic value?

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Based on the following regression output,what conclusion can you reach about ?0? Based on the following regression output,what conclusion can you reach about ?<sub>0</sub>?

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R2 is calculated as

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The regression residuals are computed as

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Project 9.1 ? Test Stand Cost Analysis Estimation Handel Manufacturing produces test stands for various maintenance functions ranging from automobile to jet airline testing stations.For years,their cost estimating function was based on a myriad of historical data fed into a cost analysis model that produced very accurate estimates of both development and support costs for various proposed test stands.James Mudd was a recent hire into the cost analysis shop.Unfortunately,during his first week on the job,James deleted the cost analysis database and failed to maintain a backup of the model.Fortunately,all is not lost.The computer support personnel can come in Monday and retrieve the model using their system backup tapes. Unfortunately,the cost proposals for three new test stand development and deployment projects are due first thing Monday morning.Since James recently left the company,you have been tasked to complete the cost estimate portion of the proposals. After much gnashing of your teeth,you settle down to make the best of what you initially believe is a losing situation.While studying James' files you find historical records on 25 recent test stand development and deployment projects.Rejuvenated,you realize you can succeed in this prematurely perceived doomed situation.All you need to do is analyze this historical data,develop some cost estimating functions using regression,and then use your regression models to develop estimates for the three projects due Monday.The historical data in the files is the following. Test Stand Product Cost Estimation  Project 9.1 ? Test Stand Cost Analysis Estimation Handel Manufacturing produces test stands for various maintenance functions ranging from automobile to jet airline testing stations.For years,their cost estimating function was based on a myriad of historical data fed into a cost analysis model that produced very accurate estimates of both development and support costs for various proposed test stands.James Mudd was a recent hire into the cost analysis shop.Unfortunately,during his first week on the job,James deleted the cost analysis database and failed to maintain a backup of the model.Fortunately,all is not lost.The computer support personnel can come in Monday and retrieve the model using their system backup tapes. Unfortunately,the cost proposals for three new test stand development and deployment projects are due first thing Monday morning.Since James recently left the company,you have been tasked to complete the cost estimate portion of the proposals. After much gnashing of your teeth,you settle down to make the best of what you initially believe is a losing situation.While studying James' files you find historical records on 25 recent test stand development and deployment projects.Rejuvenated,you realize you can succeed in this prematurely perceived doomed situation.All you need to do is analyze this historical data,develop some cost estimating functions using regression,and then use your regression models to develop estimates for the three projects due Monday.The historical data in the files is the following. Test Stand Product Cost Estimation     The data estimates for the three cost proposal due Monday is the following: Estimates for New Lines   \begin{array}{llllllll} &\text { Lines of  } & \text {Reparable } & \text { Primary  } & \text {Deployed } & \text { Estmated  } & \text {Estmated }\\ &\text { Code } & \text {  Items } & \text { Functions  } & \text { Sites }& \text { Sales } & \text { Life } & \text { R\&M }\\ \hline1 & 5000 & 7 & 4 & 400 & 4000 & 7.5 & 0.965857 \\ 2 & 7500 & 5 & 5 & 450 & 4500 & 8.5 & 0.976311 \\ 3 & 34 n 0 & 6 & 3 & 375 & 3750 & 6 & 0.930541 \end{array}     One thing unclear from reading the files was on the form of the cost estimating relationships contained within the lost cost analysis model.You are somewhat sure the regression models were not polynomial in form,but you are not certain of this fact.You are not even sure which variables were included in the model for development cost and which variables were included in the model for support costs.However,you are undaunted because you know you can develop accurate models and produce good cost estimates for each of the proposed projects. Develop appropriate models for development and for support costs.Use these models to develop cost estimates for each of the new lines of test stands.For each of these cost estimates provide 95% confidence intervals for the predicted values. The data estimates for the three cost proposal due Monday is the following: Estimates for New Lines Lines of Reparable Primary Deployed Estmated Estmated Code Items Functions Sites Sales Life R\&M 1 5000 7 4 400 4000 7.5 0.965857 2 7500 5 5 450 4500 8.5 0.976311 3 34n0 6 3 375 3750 6 0.930541 One thing unclear from reading the files was on the form of the cost estimating relationships contained within the lost cost analysis model.You are somewhat sure the regression models were not polynomial in form,but you are not certain of this fact.You are not even sure which variables were included in the model for development cost and which variables were included in the model for support costs.However,you are undaunted because you know you can develop accurate models and produce good cost estimates for each of the proposed projects. Develop appropriate models for development and for support costs.Use these models to develop cost estimates for each of the new lines of test stands.For each of these cost estimates provide 95% confidence intervals for the predicted values.

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The error sum of squares term is used as a criterion for determining b0 and b1 because

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What is the correct range for R2 values?

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In time series regression analysis

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Which of the following best describes the relationship between cost and accuracy in forecasting?

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Exhibit 9.1 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A company has built a regression model to predict the number of labor hours Yi)required to process a batch of parts Xi).It has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results. Exhibit 9.1 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A company has built a regression model to predict the number of labor hours Y<sub>i</sub>)required to process a batch of parts X<sub>i</sub>).It has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results.    -Refer to Exhibit 9.1.Interpret the meaning of R Square in cell B3 of the spreadsheet. -Refer to Exhibit 9.1.Interpret the meaning of R Square in cell B3 of the spreadsheet.

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Exhibit 9.2 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A paint manufacturer is interested in knowing how much pressure in pounds per square inch,PSI)builds up inside aerosol cans at various temperatures degrees Fahrenheit).It has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results. Exhibit 9.2 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A paint manufacturer is interested in knowing how much pressure in pounds per square inch,PSI)builds up inside aerosol cans at various temperatures degrees Fahrenheit).It has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results.    -Refer to Exhibit 9.2.Predict the mean pressure for a temperature of 120 degrees. -Refer to Exhibit 9.2.Predict the mean pressure for a temperature of 120 degrees.

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The adjusted R2 statistic

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Exhibit 9.3 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A researcher is interested in determining how many calories young men consume.She measured the age of the individuals and recorded how much food they ate each day for a month.The average daily consumption was recorded as the dependent variable.She has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results. Exhibit 9.3 The following questions are based on the problem description and spreadsheet below. A researcher is interested in determining how many calories young men consume.She measured the age of the individuals and recorded how much food they ate each day for a month.The average daily consumption was recorded as the dependent variable.She has developed the following Excel spreadsheet of the results.    -Refer to Exhibit 9.3.Predict the mean number of calories consumed by a 19 year old man. -Refer to Exhibit 9.3.Predict the mean number of calories consumed by a 19 year old man.

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Which of the following cannot be negative?

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A persistent upward or downward movement of data is called

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Assume you have chosen to use all three variables in your model.Test the significance of the model and explain which values you used to reach your conclusion. Assume you have chosen to use all three variables in your model.Test the significance of the model and explain which values you used to reach your conclusion.

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Why do we create a scatter plot of the data in regression analysis?

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