Exam 7: Unemployment, Inflation, and Long-Run Growth
Is the CPI the best measure of inflation?
The "best" measure of inflation for a given application depends on the intended use of the data. The CPI is generally the best measure for adjusting payments to consumers when the intent is to allow consumers to purchase, at today's prices, a market basket of goods and services equivalent to one that they could purchase in an earlier period.
Explain why some economists argue that counting discouraged workers as unemployed gives a better picture of the unemployment situation. How would the magnitude of the unemployment rate change if discouraged workers were counted as unemployed?
Some argue that discouraged workers should be included because they would take jobs if a job became available. If discouraged workers were included, the unemployment rate would increase.
Suppose you want to earn a 7% rate of return on a one-year loan you are about to make and the expected inflation rate for the duration of the loan is 5%. How much interest should be charged? Secondly, suppose that your forecasts are 2% below the actual level. What would happen to your real rate of return? What if you overestimated inflation by 2%.
You would need to assess an interest rate of 12% to earn 7%. The 5% is simply an inflation premium. However, if you underestimate inflation by 2% your real rate of return will only be 5% not 7%. Likewise, if you overestimate the inflation rate you will be in the happy circumstance of earning a 9% rate of return (12% - 3%).
Lenders and borrowers expect the inflation rate to equal the actual inflation rate. The consumer price index is 110 in year 1 and 126.5 in year 2. If the interest rate charged by Richie Rich in year 2 is 40%, what is Rich's real interest rate?
Identify the following events as either increasing or decreasing the natural rate of unemployment.


What are the administrative costs and inefficiencies associated with inflation?
Explain how an unanticipated increase in inflation would affect creditors and debtors.
The CPI does not include investment items, such as stocks, bonds, real estate, and life insurance? What reason would the BLS have for not counting these items?
Explain how it might be possible for the unemployment rate to drop inspite of a severe recession.
For each of the following, indicate if the person would be classified as employed, unemployed, or not in the labor force (a) a 70-year-old man who left his job to help his daughter in her business for 10 hours a week, (b) a 20-year-old college student who is out of school for the summer and is looking for a job, (c) a 30-year-old woman with a Ph.D. in history who has not been able to find a teaching position and is driving a cab 30 hours a week, and (d) a 40-year-old steel worker who isn't working and has given up searching for a job.
What changes might take place to reduce the number of discouraged workers?
Assume a population of 3,000,000 people, 500,000 people employed and 1,500,000 in the labor force. Calculate the unemployment rate.
Explain the costs of unemployment. Be sure to include both the economic and noneconomic costs.
Why might a certain amout of frictional unemployment improve the efficiency of labor markets?
Below are different groups of people in society. Explain how each one of them would fair under unanticipated inflation.
Social Security recipient
Welfare beneficiary
Union worker
Landlord
Savers
Why is anticipated inflation less of a problem than unanticipated inflation?
Explain why some unemployment is inevitable. How can unemployment actually benefit the economy?
What might happen to the official unemployment rate if unemployment compensation were eliminated? Explain your answer.
During a press conference, the Secretary of Employment notes that the unemployment rate is 7.0%. As a political opponent, how might you criticize this figure as an underestimate? In rebuttal, how might the Secretary argue that the reported rate is an overestimate of unemployment?
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