Exam 35: The Short-Run Trade-Off Between Inflation and Unemployment

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For centuries economists have puzzled over the relationship between a nation's money supply and its economic prosperity. In 1752, __________ suggested that if the money supply is increased when an economy is below full employment, spending will increase, which in turn creates economic expansion.

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What did Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps predict would happen if policymakers tried to move the economy upward along the Phillips curve? Did the behaviour of the economy in the late 1960s and the 1970s prove them wrong?

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Friedman and Phelps predicted that, over time, people would come to expect higher inflation, so the short-run Phillips curve would shift right. When this happened, unemployment would go back to its natural rate, but inflation would be higher. The behaviour of the economy in the late 1960s and the 1970's was consistent with their theory since inflation rose but unemployment did not remain low.

A decrease in the price of foreign oil

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A sudden monetary contraction moves the economy up a short-run Phillips curve, reducing unemployment and increasing inflation.

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Explain how the effects of a shift in the aggregate demand curve consistent with the Phillips curve.

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The pattern of employment and inflation observed during the 1970s appeared to confirm the view of Phelps and Friedman that

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The Phillips curve is an extension of the model of aggregate supply and aggregate demand because, in the short run, an increase in aggregate demand increases prices and

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If people have rational expectations, an announced monetary contraction by the central bank that is credible could reduce inflation with little or no increase in unemployment.

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When actual inflation exceeds expected inflation,

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If a central bank decreases the money supply, then

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An increase in aggregate demand temporarily reduces unemployment, but after people raise their expectations of inflation, unemployment returns to the natural rate.

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Which of the following would tend to shorten recessions associated with the use of anti-inflation policies?

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If a country's policy makers were to continuously use expansionary monetary policy in an attempt to hold unemployment below the natural rate, the long-run result would be

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If people have rational expectations, a monetary policy contraction that is announced and is credible could

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Suppose that an economy is currently experiencing 10 per cent unemployment and 15 per cent inflation. If, in the process of bringing inflation down by 2 per cent real GDP falls by 4 per cent, the sacrifice ratio is

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Which of the following would shift the long-run Phillips curve to the right?

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If people expect less inflation in the future, then the

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Which of the following will reduce the price level and increase real output in the long run?

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Why does a downward-sloping Phillips curve imply a positive sacrifice ratio?

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In the long run, the unemployment rate is independent of inflation and the Phillips curve is vertical at the natural rate of unemployment.

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