Exam 11: Decision Making
According to the anchoring effect, people
C
Evidence-based management has its roots in evidence-based ________.
medicine
Define analytics and provide an example of how it has been used in decision making.
Analytics concerns finding meaningful patterns in large datasets using conventional statistics, mathematical modeling, and various techniques to represent data visually.In some cases, the revealed patterns show that problems are more well structured than was thought.An example of analytics can be found in the bestselling book Moneyball by Michael Lewis.Lewis recounts how the general manager of the Oakland Athletics major league baseball team used an array of new performance statistics to evaluate players and implement tactics during games.The interesting thing about these analytic applications is that they showed that many intuitive and time-honoured decision rules used by managers (e.g., telling players to steal a base)were statistically incorrect.Using analytics enabled the Athletics to field highly competitive teams while paying comparatively modest salaries.
People in a positive mood tend to evaluate objects, people, and events more positively.
The tendency to ignore or harbor negative attitudes toward ideas from outside one's own organization or project teams is known as the ________ bias.
Robert Leung is the leader of a product development project at Kapster Enterprises.He has spent nearly two years on the project, which is now nine months behind schedule and approximately 50 percent over budget.In the meantime, a competitor has introduced a similar product which is rapidly penetrating the market, thereby reducing the remaining market potential for Kapster.Yet, Robert feels that their product will be superior to the competitor's, and he is preparing a report for his boss to request additional funds in order to complete the development phase and debug the product prototype.He is hoping that his boss will approve the request, since he has supported the project this far.If you were Robert's boss, what problems associated with bounded rationality might you be concerned about?
Which of the following is an example of an ill-structured problem?
Individual decision making generally results in higher quality decisions than group decision making.
Crowdsourcing is best employed when the nature of the problem cannot be clearly stated.
If group pressure leads to reduced mental efficiency, poor reality testing, and lax moral judgments, ________ has probably occurred.
Appointing a devil's advocate might be a way to prevent groupthink from occurring in a decision-making group.
As individuals, the five partners who own a business tend to favour a risky investment.When they meet as a group to discuss the investment, we can expect a less risky course of action to be adopted.
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