Exam 4: Basic Probability

If P(A or B) = 1.0, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.

TABLE 4-3 A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken. Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults. 120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken. 55 of the children preferred hamburger. -Referring to Table 4-3, assume we know that a person prefers chicken. The probability that this individual is an adult is ________.

TABLE 4-8 According to the record of the registrar's office at a state university, 35% of the students are freshman, 25% are sophomore, 16% are junior and the rest are senior. Among the freshmen, sophomores, juniors and seniors, the portion of students who live in the dormitory are, respectively, 80%, 60%, 30% and 20%. -Referring to Table 4-8, if a randomly selected student lives in the dormitory, what is the probability that the student is not a freshman?

TABLE 4-6 At a Texas college, 60% of the students are from the southern part of the state, 30% are from the northern part of the state, and the remaining 10% are from out-of-state. All students must take and pass an Entry Level Math (ELM) test. 60% of the southerners have passed the ELM, 70% of the northerners have passed the ELM, and 90% of the out-of-staters have passed the ELM. -Referring to Table 4-6, if a randomly selected student is not from southern Texas, the probability the student has not passed the ELM is ________.

The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background (college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married). Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates. The probability that an employee of the company is married and has a college degree is

Eleven freshmen are to be assigned to eleven empty rooms in a student dormitory. Each room is considered unique so that it matters who is being assigned to which room. How many different ways can those eleven freshmen be allocated?

A new model car from Ford Motor Company offers a keyless entry system that utilizes a four-letter code. How many different possible combinations are there for the code?

A debate team of 4 is to be chosen from a class of 35. There are two twin brothers in the class. How many possible ways can the team be formed which will include only one of the twin brothers?

If two equally likely events A and B are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that event A occurs?

The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25. The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be 0.74. The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89. The probability that both house sales and interest rates will increase during the next 6 months is

A debate team of 4 is to be chosen from a class of 35. There are two twin brothers in the class. How many possible ways can the team be formed which will include both of the twin brothers?

TABLE 4-4 Suppose that patrons of a restaurant were asked whether they preferred water or whether they preferred soda. 70% said that they preferred water. 60% of the patrons were male. 80% of the males preferred water. -Referring to Table 4-4, the probability a randomly selected patron is a female is ________.

TABLE 4-1 Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose main focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers. A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving. Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed. Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident. The numbers are shown below: -Referring to Table 4-1, given that 3 vehicles were involved, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol?

TABLE 4-5 In a meat packaging plant, Machine A accounts for 60% of the plant's output, while Machine B accounts for 40% of the plant's output. In total, 4% of the packages are improperly sealed. Also, 3% of the packages are from Machine A and are improperly sealed. -Referring to Table 4-5, if a package is selected at random, the probability that it will be properly sealed is ________.

TABLE 4-12 Jake woke up late in the morning on the day that he has to go to school to take an important test. He can either take the shuttle bus which is usually running late 20% of the time or ride his unreliable motorcycle which breaks down 40% of the time. He decides to toss a fair coin to make his choice. -Referring to Table 4-12, if Jake, in fact, gets to the test on time, what is the probability that he rode his bike?

TABLE 4-6 At a Texas college, 60% of the students are from the southern part of the state, 30% are from the northern part of the state, and the remaining 10% are from out-of-state. All students must take and pass an Entry Level Math (ELM) test. 60% of the southerners have passed the ELM, 70% of the northerners have passed the ELM, and 90% of the out-of-staters have passed the ELM. -Referring to Table 4-6, if a randomly selected student has passed the ELM, the probability the student is from out-of-state is ________.

If either A or B must occur they are called mutually exclusive.

A company has 2 machines that produce widgets. An older machine produces 23% defective widgets, while the new machine produces only 8% defective widgets. In addition, the new machine produces 3 times as many widgets as the older machine does. Given a randomly chosen widget was tested and found to be defective, what is the probability it was produced by the new machine?

The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25. The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be 0.74. The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89. The probability that house sales will increase but interest rates will not during the next 6 months is

Four freshmen are to be assigned to eleven empty rooms in a student dormitory. All the rooms are considered as homogenous so that it does not matter who is being assigned to which room. How many different ways can those 4 freshmen be assigned?