Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation

The t distribution is used to develop a confidence interval estimate of the population proportion when the population standard deviation is unknown.

TABLE 8-11 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-11, a 95% confidence interval will contain 95% of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report.

TABLE 8-8 The president of a university would like to estimate the proportion of the student population that owns a personal computer. In a sample of 500 students, 417 own a personal computer. -Referring to Table 8-8, we are 99% confident that the mean number of the student population who own a personal computer is between 0.7911 and 0.8769.

TABLE 8-11 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-11, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report.

TABLE 8-4 The actual voltages of power packs labeled as 12 volts are as follows: 11.77, 11.90, 11.64, 11.84, 12.13, 11.99, and 11.77. -Referring to Table 8-4, it is possible that the 99% confidence interval calculated from the data will not contain the mean voltage for the entire population.

The t distribution

TABLE 8-4 The actual voltages of power packs labeled as 12 volts are as follows: 11.77, 11.90, 11.64, 11.84, 12.13, 11.99, and 11.77. -Referring to Table 8-4, the critical value for a 99% confidence interval for this sample is ________.

TABLE 8-6 After an extensive advertising campaign, the manager of a company wants to estimate the proportion of potential customers that recognize a new product. She samples 120 potential consumers and finds that 54 recognize this product. She uses this sample information to obtain a 95% confidence interval that goes from 0.36 to 0.54. -The head of a computer science department is interested in estimating the proportion of students entering the department who will choose the new computer engineering option. Suppose there is no information about the proportion of students who might choose the option. What size sample should the department head take if she wants to be 95% confident that the estimate is within 0.10 of the true proportion?

TABLE 8-11 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-11, we are 95% confident that between 51.16% and 64.84% of managers in the population have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report.

Sampling error equals half the width of a confidence interval.

TABLE 8-4 The actual voltages of power packs labeled as 12 volts are as follows: 11.77, 11.90, 11.64, 11.84, 12.13, 11.99, and 11.77. -Referring to Table 8-4, a 90% confidence interval calculated from the same data would be narrower than a 99% confidence interval.

TABLE 8-5 A sample of salary offers (in thousands of dollars) given to management majors is: 48, 51, 46, 52, 47, 48, 47, 50, 51, and 59. Using this data to obtain a 95% confidence interval resulted in an interval from 47.19 to 52.61. -Referring to Table 8-5, 95% of the time, the sample mean salary offer to management majors will fall between 47.19 and 52.61.

TABLE 8-12 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-12, the report contains all the essential components for an ethical reporting of poll results.

The difference between the sample size and the population size is called the sampling error.

TABLE 8-2 A quality control engineer is interested in the mean length of sheet insulation being cut automatically by machine. The desired mean length of the insulation is 12 feet. It is known that the standard deviation in the cutting length is 0.15 feet. A sample of 70 cut sheets yields a mean length of 12.14 feet. This sample will be used to obtain a 99% confidence interval for the mean length cut by machine. -Referring to Table 8-2, the confidence interval goes from ________ to ________.

The confidence interval estimate of the population mean is constructed around the sample mean.

TABLE 8-12 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-12, 1,500 is the size of the

Holding the width of a confidence interval fixed, increasing the level of confidence can be achieved with a lower sample size.

TABLE 8-12 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-12, what is the needed sample size to obtain a 95% confidence interval in estimating the percentage of the targeted young adults who will purchase the new game to within ±5% if you do not have the information on the 49% in the interviews who said that they would purchase the new game?

TABLE 8-12 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-12, you are 99% confidence that the percentage of the targeted young adults who will purchase the new game is somewhere between 46% and 52%.