Exam 15: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation

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The vertical spread of the data points about the regression line is measured by the y-intercept.

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The manager of a fast food restaurant wants to determine how sales in a given week are related to the number of discount vouchers (#) printed in the local newspaper during the week. The number of vouchers and sales ($000s) from 10 randomly selected weeks is given below with the predicted sales. Calculate the residuals. Observation Sales Predicted Sales Residuals 1 12.8 13.4147 -0.6147 2 15.4 14.8000 0.6000 3 13.9 13.8765 0.0235 4 11.2 12.9529 -1.7529 5 18.7 20.3412 -1.6412 6 17.9 16.1853 1.7147 7 16.8 15.2618 1.5382 8 15.9 14.3382 1.5618 9 11.5 12.9529 -1.4529 10 13.9 13.8765 0.0235 Plot the residuals against the predicted values of y. Does the variance appear to be constant?

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A statistician investigating the relationship between the amount of precipitation (in inches) and the number of car accidents gathered data for 10 randomly selected days. The results are presented below. Day Precipitation Number of accidents 1 0.05 5 2 0.12 6 3 0.05 2 4 0.08 4 5 0.10 8 6 0.35 14 7 0.15 7 8 0.30 13 9 0.10 7 10 0.20 10 Calculate the Spearman rank correlation coefficient, and test to determine at the 5% significance level whether we can infer that a linear relationship exists between the number of accidents and the amount of precipitation.

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A financier whose specialty is investing in movie productions has observed that, in general, movies with 'big-name' stars seem to generate more revenue than those movies whose stars are less well known. To examine his belief, he records the gross revenue and the payment (in $ million) given to the two highest-paid performers in the movie for 10 recently released movies. Movie Cost of two highest- paid performers (\ ) Gross revenue (\ ) 1 5.3 48 2 7.2 65 3 1.3 18 4 1.8 20 5 3.5 31 6 2.6 26 7 8.0 73 8 2.4 23 9 4.5 39 10 6.7 58 Use the predicted and actual values of y to calculate the residuals.

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The standard error of estimate, S?S _ { ? } , is a measure of:

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A medical statistician wanted to examine the relationship between the amount of sunshine (x) and incidence of skin cancer (y). As an experiment he found the number of skin cancers detected per 100 000 of population and the average daily sunshine in eight country towns around NSW. These data are shown below. Average daily sunshine (hours) 5 7 6 7 8 6 4 3 Skin cancer per 100000 7 11 9 12 15 10 7 5 Calculate the standard error of estimate, and describe what this statistic tells you about the regression line.

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If the coefficient of correlation is 0.80, the percentage of the variation in y that is explained by the variation in x is:

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A financier whose specialty is investing in movie productions has observed that, in general, movies with 'big-name' stars seem to generate more revenue than those movies whose stars are less well known. To examine his belief, he records the gross revenue and the payment (in $ million) given to the two highest-paid performers in the movie for 10 recently released movies. Movie Cost of two highest- paid performers (\ ) Gross revenue (\ ) 1 5.3 48 2 7.2 65 3 1.3 18 4 1.8 20 5 3.5 31 6 2.6 26 7 8.0 73 8 2.4 23 9 4.5 39 10 6.7 58 Predict with 95% confidence the average gross revenue of a movie whose top two stars earn $5.0 million.

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If the standard error of estimate SεS _ { \varepsilon } = 20 and n = 8, then the sum of squares for error, SSE, is 2400.

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In a regression problem, if the coefficient of determination is 0.95, this means that:

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When the variance, σε2\sigma _ { \varepsilon } ^ { 2 } , of the error variable ε\varepsilon is a constant no matter what the value of x is, this condition is called:

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Plot the residuals against the predicted values of y. Does the variance appear to be constant?

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An economist wanted to analyse the relationship between the speed of a car (x) in kilometres per hour (kmph) and its fuel consumption (y) in kilometres per litre (kmpl). In an experiment, a car was operated at several different speeds and for each speed the fuel consumption was measured. The data obtained are shown below. Speed (mph) 25 35 45 50 60 65 70 Fuel consumtion (mpg) 40 39 37 33 30 27 25 a. Find the least squares regression line. b. Calculate the standard error of estimate, and describe what this statistic tells you about the regression line. c. Do these data provide sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to infer that a linear relationship exists between higher speeds and lower fuel consumption? d. Predict with 99% confidence the fuel consumption of a car traveling at 55 kmph.

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Pop-up coffee vendors have been popular in the city of Adelaide in 2013. A vendor is interested in knowing how temperature (in degrees Celsius) impacts daily hot coffee sales revenue (in $00's). A random sample of 6 days was taken, with the daily hot coffee sales revenue and the corresponding temperature of that day noted. Excel output given below. Coffee sales revenue Temperature 6.50 25 10.00 17 5.50 30 4.50 35 3.50 40 28.00 9 SUMMARY OUTPUT RegressionStatistios Multiple R 0.8644 RSquare 0.7472 Adjusted RSquare 0.6840 Standard Error 5.2027 Observations 6 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 320.0617 320.0617 11.8244 0.0263 Residual 4 108.2716 27.0679 Total 5 4283333 Coefficient StandardError tStat P-value Lover 95\% Upper 95\% Intercept 27.7179 5.6629 4.8946 0.0081 11.9952 43.4406 Temperature -0.6943 0.2019 -3.4387 0.0263 -1.2549 -0.1337 Test the hypothesis that the population intercept is positive, at the 5% level of significance.

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Given that cov(x,y) = 10, sy2s _ { y } ^ { 2 } = 15, Sx2S _ { x } ^ { 2 } = 8 and n = 12, the value of the standard error of estimate, SεS _ { \varepsilon } , is 2.75.

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A medical statistician wanted to examine the relationship between the amount of sunshine (x) and incidence of skin cancer (y). As an experiment he found the number of skin cancers detected per 100 000 of population and the average daily sunshine in eight country towns around NSW. These data are shown below. Average daily sunshine (hours) 5 7 6 7 8 6 4 3 Skin cancer per 100000 7 11 9 12 15 10 7 5 Calculate the coefficient of determination and interpret it.

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The quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees - the higher the degrees API, the higher the quality. The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field, who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel. Oil degrees API Price per barrel (in \ ) 27.0 12.02 28.5 12.04 30.8 12.32 31.3 12.27 31.9 12.49 34.5 12.70 34.0 12.80 34.7 13.00 37.0 13.00 41.0 13.17 41.0 13.19 38.8 13.22 39.3 13.27 A partial computer output follows. Descriptive Statistics Variable Mean StDev SE Mean Degrees 13 34.60 4.613 1.280 Frice 13 12.730 0.457 0.127 Covariances Degrees Price Degrees 21.281667 Price 2.026750 0.208833 Regression Analysis Fredictor Coef StDev Constant 9.4349 0.2867 32.91 0.000 Degrees 0.095235 0.008220 11.59 0.000 S = 0.1314 R-Sq = 92.46% R-Sq(adj) = 91.7% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS Regression 1 2.3162 2.3162 134.24 0.000 Residual Error 11 0.1898 0.0173 Total 12 2.5060 Conduct a test of the population slope to determine at the 5% significance level whether a linear relationship exists between the quality of oil and price per barrel.

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A regression analysis between sales (in $1000) and advertising (in $100) yielded the least squares line y^\hat { y } = 75 +6x. This implies that if $800 is spent on advertising, then the predicted amount of sales (in dollars) is:

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A regression analysis between height y (in cm) and age x (in years) of 2 to 10 years old boys yielded the least squares line y^\hat { y } = 87 + 6.5x. This implies that by each additional year height is expected to:

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If the coefficient of determination is 81%, and the linear regression model has a negative slope, what is the value of the coefficient of correlation?

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