Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation

SCENARIO 8-9 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "no". -Referring to Scenario 8-9, a confidence interval estimate of the population proportion would only be valid if the distribution of the number of students who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students is normal.

SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report.

SCENARIO 8-5 A sample of salary offers (in thousands of dollars)given to management majors is: 48, 51, 46, 52, 47, 48, 47, 50, 51, and 59.Using this data to obtain a 95% confidence interval resulted in an interval from 47.19 to 52.61. -Referring to Scenario 8-5, it is possible that the mean of the population is not between 47.19 and 52.61.

SCENARIO 8-9 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "no". -Referring to Scenario 8-9, we are 99% confident that between 45.57% and 50.43% of the student population feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

A point estimate consists of a single sample statistic that is used to estimate the true population parameter.

SCENARIO 8-8 The president of a university would like to estimate the proportion of the student population that owns a personal computer.In a sample of 500 students, 417 own a personal computer. -Referring to Scenario 8-8, a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of the student population who own a personal computer is narrower than a 99% confidence interval.

SCENARIO 8-8 The president of a university would like to estimate the proportion of the student population that owns a personal computer.In a sample of 500 students, 417 own a personal computer. -Referring to Scenario 8-8, the parameter of interest is the mean number of students in the population who own a personal computer.

SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, the sampling error of a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report is __________.

SCENARIO 8-3 To become an actuary, it is necessary to pass a series of 10 exams, including the most important one, an exam in probability and statistics.An insurance company wants to estimate the mean score on this exam for actuarial students who have enrolled in a special study program.They take a sample of 8 actuarial students in this program and determine that their scores are: 2, 5, 8, 8, 7, 6, 5, and 7.This sample will be used to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the mean score for actuarial students in the special study program. -Referring to Scenario 8-3, it is possible that the confidence interval obtained will not contain the mean score for all actuarial students in the special study program.

SCENARIO 8-9 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "no". -Referring to Scenario 8-9, it is possible that the 99% confidence interval calculated from the data will not contain the proportion of the student population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

A university dean is interested in determining the proportion of students who receive some sort of financial aid.Rather than examine the records for all students, the dean randomly selects 200 students and finds that 118 of them are receiving financial aid.Use a 90% confidence interval to estimate the true proportion of students who receive financial aid.

SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report.

SCENARIO 8-6 After an extensive advertising campaign, the manager of a company wants to estimate the proportion of potential customers that recognize a new product.She samples 120 potential consumers and finds that 54 recognize this product.She uses this sample information to obtain a 95% confidence interval that goes from 0.36 to 0.54. -Referring to Scenario 8-6, this interval requires the assumption that the distribution of the number of people recognizing the product has a normal distribution.

Holding the width of a confidence interval fixed, increasing the level of confidence can be achieved with a lower sample size.

Which of the following is not true about the Student's t distribution?

SCENARIO 8-10 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey on salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct.In the survey on 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Scenario 8-10, it is possible that the 95% confidence interval calculated from the data will not contain the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report.

SCENARIO 8-11 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months.Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game.The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Scenario 8-11, what is the needed sample size to obtain a 95% confidence interval in estimating the percentage of the targeted young adults who will purchase the new game to within

For a t distribution with 12 degrees of freedom, the area between - 2.6810 and 2.1788 is 0.980.

SCENARIO 8-9 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "no". -Referring to Scenario 8-9, the parameter of interest is the proportion of the student population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

The difference between the sample mean and the population mean is called the sampling error.