Exam 7: Demand Forecasting in a Supply Chain
Exam 1: Understanding the Supply Chain76 Questions
Exam 2: Supply Chain Performance: Achieving Strategic Fit and Scope75 Questions
Exam 3: Supply Chain Drivers and Metrics69 Questions
Exam 4: Designing Distribution Networks and Applications to e-Business75 Questions
Exam 5: Network Design in the Supply Chain75 Questions
Exam 6: Designing Global Supply Chain Networks75 Questions
Exam 7: Demand Forecasting in a Supply Chain73 Questions
Exam 8: Aggregate Planning in a Supply Chain76 Questions
Exam 9: Sales and Operations Planning: Planning Supply and Demand in a Supply Chain77 Questions
Exam 10: Coordination in a Supply Chain76 Questions
Exam 11: Managing Economies of Scale in the Supply Chain: Cycle Inventory75 Questions
Exam 12: Managing Uncertainty in a Supply Chain: Safety Inventory80 Questions
Exam 13: Determining the Optimal Level of Product Availability79 Questions
Exam 14: Transportation in a Supply Chain75 Questions
Exam 15: Sourcing Decisions in a Supply Chain77 Questions
Exam 16: Pricing and Revenue Management in a Supply Chain87 Questions
Exam 17: Sustainability and the Supply Chain75 Questions
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Use this table to answer the following question:
Period Demand 1 173 2 177 3 180 4 151 5 168 6 184 7 198 8 191 9 167 10 177
-Calculate the MSE for this Table if the forecasts for periods 1-10 are in order, 176.6, 174.2, 176.1, 178.7, 160.4, 165.4, 177.7, 191.1, 191.0, and 175.2.
(Multiple Choice)
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For pull processes, a manager must forecast what customer demand will be in order to plan the level of available capacity and inventory.
(True/False)
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The measure of forecast error where the absolute amount of error of each forecast is averaged is
(Multiple Choice)
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Long-term forecasts have a larger standard deviation of error relative to the mean than short-term forecasts.
(True/False)
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Long-term forecasts are usually less accurate than short-term forecasts because
(Multiple Choice)
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Marshmallow Madness
Historical demand for Peeps is as displayed in the table.
Month Demand January 11 February 18 March 31 April 39 May 44 June 53 July 67 August 82 September 96
-What is the level component of Holt's model for period 0?
(Multiple Choice)
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The additive form of the systematic component of demand is shown as
(Multiple Choice)
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The mixed form of the systematic component of demand is shown as
(Multiple Choice)
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Forecasts should include both the expected value of the forecast and a measure of forecast error.
(True/False)
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The trend corrected exponential smoothing (Holt's Model) forecast method is appropriate when
(Multiple Choice)
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When all stages of a supply chain produce a collaborative forecast, it tends to be
(Multiple Choice)
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The forecast of demand forms the basis for all strategic and planning decisions in a supply chain.
(True/False)
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For push processes, a manager must forecast what customer demand will be in order to
(Multiple Choice)
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Mature products with stable demand are usually the most difficult to forecast.
(True/False)
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Which forecasting methods are the simplest to implement and can serve as a good starting point for a demand forecast?
(Multiple Choice)
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The goal of any forecasting method is to predict the systematic component of demand and estimate the random component.
(True/False)
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Aggregate forecasts are usually more accurate than disaggregate forecasts, as they tend to have a smaller standard deviation of error relative to the mean.
(True/False)
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Which of the following is a commonly used measure for measuring forecast error?
(Multiple Choice)
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