Exam 17: Model Building

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A qualitative variable such as gender can be included in regression analysis and is referred to as a dummy variable.

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Regression analysis results in the estimation equation log Y^\hat{ Y } = 3.0 + 0.50 log x1 + 0.35 log x2 following data transformation.Transform this equation to the equivalent exponential model of the form Y^\hat{ Y } = b0x1b1x2b2b _ { 0 } x _ { 1 } ^ { b } 1 x _ { 2 } ^ { b _ { 2 } } .(The base of the logarithm is 10.) Y^\hat{ Y } = ____________________

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Suppose that the estimated regression equation of a College of Business graduates is given by: Y^\hat{ Y } = 20,000 + 2000x + 1500D,where y is the starting salary,x is the grade point average and D is a dummy variable which takes the value of 1 if the student is a finance major and 0 if not.A hotel management major graduate with a 3.5 grade point average would have an average starting salary of:

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A practical way to identify multicollinearity is to generate a standard deviation matrix.

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Economist An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x1)and the interest rate (x2).She proposes the first-order model with interaction y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x1x2+ϵy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } + \epsilon A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. The regression equation is: y=115.6+22.3x1+14.7x21.36x1x2y = 115.6 + 22.3 x _ { 1 } + 14.7 x _ { 2 } - 1.36 x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } Predictor Coef SE Coef T Constant 115.6 78.1 1.480 22.3 7.1 3.141 14.7 6.3 2.333 -1.36 0.52 -2.615 S=20.9RSq=55.4%\mathrm { S } = 20.9 \quad \mathrm { R } - \mathrm { Sq } = 55.4 \% ANAL YSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation DF SS MS F Regression 3 8661 2887.0 6.626 Error 16 6971 435.7 Total 19 15632 -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the interaction term should be retained? Test statistic = ____________________ = ____________________ Critical Value = ____________________ Conclusion: _______________________ Interpretation: __________________________________________________

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In explaining the amount of money spent on children's toys each year,which of the following independent variables is best represented with a dummy variable?

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The coefficient of determination R2 for the third-order polynomial model is always larger than R2 for the second-order polynomial model.

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Economist An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x1)and the interest rate (x2).She proposes the first-order model with interaction y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x1x2+ϵy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } + \epsilon A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. The regression equation is: y=115.6+22.3x1+14.7x21.36x1x2y = 115.6 + 22.3 x _ { 1 } + 14.7 x _ { 2 } - 1.36 x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } Predictor Coef SE Coef T Constant 115.6 78.1 1.480 22.3 7.1 3.141 14.7 6.3 2.333 -1.36 0.52 -2.615 S=20.9RSq=55.4%\mathrm { S } = 20.9 \quad \mathrm { R } - \mathrm { Sq } = 55.4 \% ANAL YSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation DF SS MS F Regression 3 8661 2887.0 6.626 Error 16 6971 435.7 Total 19 15632 -Do these results allow us at the 5% significance level to conclude that the model is useful in predicting the price of gold? Test statistic = ____________________ = ____________________ Critical Value = ____________________ Conclusion: _________________________________ Interpretation: ______________________________________________________

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In regression analysis,qualitative variables are sometimes referred to as:

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The estimated regression equation for a sample of 500 college professors is given by: Y^\hat { Y } = 275 - 3x - 2D,where y is retirement age,x is pre-retirement annual income (in $1000s),and D is a dummy variable that takes the value of 0 for female professors and 1 for male professors.Assume that there is a relationship between y,x and D.What is the average age of retirement for female professors with pre-retirement income of $68,500? ____________________ years

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Stepwise regression is an iterative procedure that:

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When is it desirable to make use of stepwise regression technique?

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The estimated regression equation for a sample of 500 college professors is given by: Y^\hat{ Y } = 275 - 3x - 2D,where y is retirement age,x is pre-retirement annual income (in $1000s),and D is a dummy variable that takes the value of 0 for female professors and 1 for male professors.Assume that there is a relationship between y,x and D.How does the average age at retirement for male professors change for each additional thousand dollars of pre-retirement income? The average age at retirement ____________________ by ____________________ years

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The regression model Y^\hat{ Y } = 160 + 8x1 - 5x2 has been fitted to a set of data.If x2 = 20,what will be the effect on Y^\hat { Y } if x1 increases by 1 unit? Y^\hat { Y } will ____________________ by ____________________

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The model Y^\hat { Y } = b0 + b1x + b2x2 is referred to as a:

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After data transformation,regression analysis results in the estimation equation: log Y^\hat{ Y } = -0.25 + 0.15x.Transform this equation to the equivalent exponential model of the form Y^\hat{ Y } = b0b1x.(The base of the logarithm is 10.) Y^\hat{ Y } = ____________________

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What is multicollinearity?

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In explaining the income earned by college graduates,which of the following independent variables is best represented by a dummy variable?

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The regression model Y^\hat { Y } = 160 + 8x1 - 5x2 has been fitted to a set of data.Comment on whether interaction would appear to exist between x1 and x2? Interaction: ____________________ Comments:

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Interaction between two predictor variables is present when the effect on E(y)of a 1-unit increase in x2x _ { 2 } does not depend on the value of x1x _ { 1 } ,and vice versa.

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