Exam 9: An Introduction to the Short Run

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The relationship between actual output in an economy, the long-run component, and the short-run component is given as: Long-run trend = Current output + Short-run fluctuations.

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Output fluctuations are defined as:

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Refer to the following figure when answering the next five questions. Figure 9.2: U.S. Output Fluctuations 1960-2012 Refer to the following figure when answering the next five questions. Figure 9.2: U.S. Output Fluctuations 1960-2012    (Source: BEA and CBO, data from Federal Reserve Economic Data, St. Louis Federal Reserve) -Consider Figure 9.2. In 1989, the U.S. economy experienced an economic ________, and current output was about ________ potential output. (Source: BEA and CBO, data from Federal Reserve Economic Data, St. Louis Federal Reserve) -Consider Figure 9.2. In 1989, the U.S. economy experienced an economic ________, and current output was about ________ potential output.

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The short-run model determines ________ and ________.

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Generally speaking, the rate of inflation ________ during a recession.

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If output is above potential, so that Y~t\tilde { Y } _ { t } is positive, the change in the inflation rate will be negative, so inflation will fall over time.

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According to the text, the slope of the Phillips curve in the United States is about ________. Thus, if the change in inflation is 1 percent, the gap would be ________ percent.

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How is a recession "officially'' determined?

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Figure 9.5: Economic Boom versus Recession Figure 9.5: Economic Boom versus Recession   -In Figure 9.5, area b represents an economic boom, and area a is a recession. -In Figure 9.5, area b represents an economic boom, and area a is a recession.

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Refer to the following figure when answering Figure 9.4: U.S. Inflation 1990-2012 Refer to the following figure when answering   Figure 9.4: U.S. Inflation 1990-2012    (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics) -Consider Figure 9.4, which shows the annual inflation rate. According to the Phillips curve, the period from about 2009 to 2010 was a period of: (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics) -Consider Figure 9.4, which shows the annual inflation rate. According to the Phillips curve, the period from about 2009 to 2010 was a period of:

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The short-run model is built on which of the following? i. The economy is constantly being hit by "shocks." ii. Economic policy has no impact on output. iii. There is trade-off between output and inflation.

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Refer to the following figure when answering Figure 9.3: Phillips Curve  Refer to the following figure when answering   Figure 9.3: Phillips Curve   -Consider the Phillips curve at  \tilde { Y } _ { t } = 0  in Figure 9.3. The economy is: -Consider the Phillips curve at Y~t=0\tilde { Y } _ { t } = 0 in Figure 9.3. The economy is:

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Figure 9.6: The Output Gap 1980-2012 Figure 9.6: The Output Gap 1980-2012   (SOURCE: Federal Reserve Economic Data, St. Louis Federal Reserve) -Figure 9.6 above shows the output gap for the years 1980-2012. Using the Phillips curve and Okun's law, discuss the impacts on inflation and unemployment for the years 1997-2000 and 2008-2012. From this analysis, what is the relationship between unemployment and inflation? (SOURCE: Federal Reserve Economic Data, St. Louis Federal Reserve) -Figure 9.6 above shows the output gap for the years 1980-2012. Using the Phillips curve and Okun's law, discuss the impacts on inflation and unemployment for the years 1997-2000 and 2008-2012. From this analysis, what is the relationship between unemployment and inflation?

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If Y~t<0\tilde { Y } _ { t } < 0 , the macroeconomy is:

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According to the Phillips curve presented in the text, a positive macroeconomic shock decreases the rate of inflation.

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If Δπ<0\Delta \pi < 0 , the macroeconomy is:

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In 1979, the inflation rate reached about 14 percent, due in part to ________. The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve under ________ decided to ________ interest rates, sending the economy into a ________.

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What does Okun's law state?

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In 1979, the inflation rate reached about 14 percent. The Federal Reserve ________ interest rates, sending the economy into a(n) ________. When doing so, the Federal Reserve knew this would be the case because of the ________.

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Defining u as the unemployment rate and uˉ\bar { u } as the natural rate of unemployment, Okun's law is given by Y~=2×(uuˉ)\tilde { Y } = 2 \times ( u - \bar { u } ) .

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