Exam 20: Uncertainty, Risk, and Private Information

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Moral hazard:

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Sellers of used cars may have private information to which buyers are not privy.This knowledge of private information does NOT lead to:

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(Scenario: Flood Area)Use Scenario: Flood Area.Suppose that an insurance company offers you flood insurance.MOST likely,this insurance would require a premium payment: Scenario: Flood Area Suppose that you own a home that is estimated to be worth $250,000.You live in a flood plain;as a result,the probability that you will lose your home to a flood is 30%.

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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Income and Utility for Whitney)Use Table: Income and Utility for Whitney.Whitney's income next year is uncertain: there is a 40% probability she will make $40,000 and a 60% probability she will make $80,000.What certain income leaves Whitney as well off as her uncertain income? -(Table: Income and Utility for Whitney)Use Table: Income and Utility for Whitney.Whitney's income next year is uncertain: there is a 40% probability she will make $40,000 and a 60% probability she will make $80,000.What certain income leaves Whitney as well off as her uncertain income?

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At the end of the 1980s,Lloyd's of London was in severe financial trouble because of:

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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: The Total Utility of Income After College Expenses)Use Table: The Total Utility of Income After College Expenses.The Smith family's expected total utility is _____ utils. -(Table: The Total Utility of Income After College Expenses)Use Table: The Total Utility of Income After College Expenses.The Smith family's expected total utility is _____ utils.

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You are about to have a meeting with your manager about a raise in your salary.You are going to request an increase of $5,000,but you believe the probability of success to be only 25%.You believe there is a 25% probability your boss will counter with a $3,000 raise and a 25% probability that your boss will offer a $1,000 raise.Finally,there is a 25% probability that you will receive no increase in your salary.What is the expected value of the outcome of your meeting?

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For MOST families,the marginal utility of income is:

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Assume that flood insurance premiums are determined in the competitive market.Suppose that devastating floods along the Mississippi River have increased the degree of risk aversion among the insurance investors in this market.The _____ insurance shifts _____,leading to a(n)_____ in equilibrium premiums and a(n)_____ in the quantity of insurance bought and sold.

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In practice,insurance companies faced with adverse selection use _____ to deal with it.

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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Natasha's Total Utility)Use Table: Natasha's Total Utility.Natasha earns $50,000 per year but faces losing $20,000 of it if she is late with her work.If there is a 25% probability that Natasha will be late with her work and her income will equal $30,000,the premium for a fair insurance policy to eliminate the uncertainty in her income would equal: -(Table: Natasha's Total Utility)Use Table: Natasha's Total Utility.Natasha earns $50,000 per year but faces losing $20,000 of it if she is late with her work.If there is a 25% probability that Natasha will be late with her work and her income will equal $30,000,the premium for a fair insurance policy to eliminate the uncertainty in her income would equal:

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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Income and Utility for Tyler)Use Table: Income and Utility for Tyler.The table shows the utility Tyler receives at various income levels,but she does not know what her income will be next year.There is a 40% chance her income will be $20,000,a 40% chance her income will be $30,000,and a 20% chance her income will be $40,000.We know that Tyler is risk-averse because: -(Table: Income and Utility for Tyler)Use Table: Income and Utility for Tyler.The table shows the utility Tyler receives at various income levels,but she does not know what her income will be next year.There is a 40% chance her income will be $20,000,a 40% chance her income will be $30,000,and a 20% chance her income will be $40,000.We know that Tyler is risk-averse because:

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