Exam 20: Uncertainty, Risk, and Private Information

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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty)Use Table: Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 30%,that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 50%,and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%.Given this information,Norman's expected income is: -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty)Use Table: Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 30%,that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 50%,and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%.Given this information,Norman's expected income is:

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As a result of frequent flooding,the insurance market has noted a positive correlation between flooding and the amount of insurance monies paid out for such floods.Moreover,the probability of such flooding has been increasing.As a result,homeowners in flood plains will find that flood insurance:

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Through insurance and other devices,the modern economy offers many ways for individuals to reduce their exposure to risk.

(True/False)
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(Scenario: Diversification)Use Scenario: Diversification.If Morris invests half of his money in the sunglass company and half in the rain poncho company,what is his expected gain or loss? Scenario: Diversification Morris is considering investing $10,000 in a sunglass company or a rain poncho company.If it is a rainy year and he invests only in the sunglass company,he will lose $5,000.However,if it is a rainy year and he invests only in the rain poncho company,he will earn $10,000.If it is a sunny year and he invests only in the sunglass company,he will earn $10,000;if he invests only in the rain poncho company,he will lose $5,000 in a sunny year.There is a 50% chance of a sunny year and a 50% chance of a rainy year.

(Multiple Choice)
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The marginal utility of income for a risk-averse individual will be:

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty)Use Table: Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 30%,that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 50%,and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%.Given this information,Norman's expected total utility is _____ utils. -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty)Use Table: Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 30%,that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 50%,and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%.Given this information,Norman's expected total utility is _____ utils.

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Income and Utility for Rahim)Use Table: Income and Utility for Rahim.Rahim's expected utility from income is _____ utils. -(Table: Income and Utility for Rahim)Use Table: Income and Utility for Rahim.Rahim's expected utility from income is _____ utils.

(Multiple Choice)
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(Scenario: Diversification)Use Scenario: Diversification.If Morris invests all of his money in the sunglass company,what is his expected gain or loss? Scenario: Diversification Morris is considering investing $10,000 in a sunglass company or a rain poncho company.If it is a rainy year and he invests only in the sunglass company,he will lose $5,000.However,if it is a rainy year and he invests only in the rain poncho company,he will earn $10,000.If it is a sunny year and he invests only in the sunglass company,he will earn $10,000;if he invests only in the rain poncho company,he will lose $5,000 in a sunny year.There is a 50% chance of a sunny year and a 50% chance of a rainy year.

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose that the wealth of buyers in the insurance market falls.We would expect insurance premiums to _____ as the _____ curve shifts _____.

(Multiple Choice)
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Risk-averse individuals will always buy insurance,regardless of the premiums charged.

(True/False)
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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Natasha's Total Utility)Use Table: Natasha's Total Utility.Natasha earns $50,000 per year but faces losing $20,000 of it if she is late with her work.If there is a 25% probability that Natasha will be late with her work and her income will then equal $30,000,her expected income is: -(Table: Natasha's Total Utility)Use Table: Natasha's Total Utility.Natasha earns $50,000 per year but faces losing $20,000 of it if she is late with her work.If there is a 25% probability that Natasha will be late with her work and her income will then equal $30,000,her expected income is:

(Multiple Choice)
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Which pair of events is likely to be positively correlated?

(Multiple Choice)
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A life insurance company will often require an applicant to submit to a brief physical exam to assess that person's basic level of health.This practice is a form of _____ to lessen the problem of _____.

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Income and Utility for Rahim)Use Table: Income and Utility for Rahim.The expected value of Rahim's income is: -(Table: Income and Utility for Rahim)Use Table: Income and Utility for Rahim.The expected value of Rahim's income is:

(Multiple Choice)
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Which statement is TRUE if the insurance market is efficient?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Natasha's Total Utility)Use Table: Natasha's Total Utility.Natasha earns $50,000 per year but faces losing $20,000 of it if she is late with her work.If there is a 25% probability that Natasha will be late with her work and her income will equal $30,000,To guarantee an income of $50,000,Natasha would be willing to pay _____ for insurance. -(Table: Natasha's Total Utility)Use Table: Natasha's Total Utility.Natasha earns $50,000 per year but faces losing $20,000 of it if she is late with her work.If there is a 25% probability that Natasha will be late with her work and her income will equal $30,000,To guarantee an income of $50,000,Natasha would be willing to pay _____ for insurance.

(Multiple Choice)
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In a particular insurance market,there is a decrease in the degree of risk aversion among buyers.Holding everything else constant,the equilibrium premium will _____ and the equilibrium quantity of insurance will _____.

(Multiple Choice)
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Individuals differ in risk aversion because of:

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer question: Use the following to answer question:   -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty)Use Table: Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 50%,that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%,and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%.Given this information,Norman,as a utility maximizer: -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty)Use Table: Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 50%,that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%,and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%.Given this information,Norman,as a utility maximizer:

(Multiple Choice)
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The problem of adverse selection:

(Multiple Choice)
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