Exam 5: Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions

TABLE 5-5 From an inventory of 48 new cars being shipped to local dealerships, corporate reports indicate that 12 have defective radios installed. -Referring to Table 5-5, what is the probability out of the 8 new cars it just received that, when each is tested, at most three of the cars have non-defective radios?

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8, if you decide to choose Design A for 10% of the production lines and Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the coefficient of variation of your investment?

The number of power outages at a nuclear power plant has a Poisson distribution with a mean of 6 outages per year. The probability that there will be between 1 and 3 inclusive power outages in a year is _____.

TABLE 5-7 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution: $\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text { Returns }$ Probability Neighb or hood A Neighb or hood B .25 -\ 22,500 \ 30,500 .40 \ 10,000 \ 25,000 .35 \ 40,500 \ 10,500 -Referring to Table 5-7, if you can invest 30% of your money on the house in neighborhood A and the remaining on the house in neighborhood B, what is the portfolio expected return of your investment?

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8, if you decide to choose Design A for 10% of the production lines and Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the expected profit?

If p remains constant in a binomial distribution, an increase in n will increase the variance.

In a game called Taxation and Evasion, a player rolls a pair of dice. If on any turn the sum is 7, 11, or 12, the player gets audited. Otherwise, she avoids taxes. Suppose a player takes 5 turns at rolling the dice. The probability that she does not get audited is ____.

A campus program evenly enrolls undergraduate and graduate students. If a random sample of 4 students is selected from the program to be interviewed about the introduction of a new fast food outlet on the ground floor of the campus building, what is the probability that all 4 students selected are undergraduate students?

The number of customers arriving at a department store in a 5-minute period has a Poisson distribution.

$\text { TABLE 5-5 }$ From an inventory of 48 new cars being shipped to local dealerships, corporate reports indicate that 12 have defective radios installed. -Referring to Table 5-5, what is the probability out of the 8 new cars it just received that, when each is tested, at most 2 of the cars have defective radios?

TABLE 5-7 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution: $\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text { Returns }$ Probability Neighb or hood A Neighb or hood B .25 -\ 22,500 \ 30,500 .40 \ 10,000 \ 25,000 .35 \ 40,500 \ 10,500 -Referring to Table 5-7, if you can invest half of your money on the house in neighborhood A and the remaining on the house in neighborhood B, what is the portfolio expected return of your investment?

What type of probability distribution will the consulting firm most likely employ to analyze the insurance claims in the following problem? An insurance company has called a consulting firm to determine if the company has an unusually high number of false insurance claims. It is known that the industry proportion for false claims is 3%. The consulting firm has decided to randomly and independently sample 100 of the company's insurance claims. They believe the number of these 100 that are false will yield the information the company desires.

The variance of the sum of two investments will be equal to the sum of the variances of the two investments when the covariance between the investments is zero.

Suppose that past history shows that 60% of college students prefer Brand C cola. A sample of 5 students is to be selected. The variance of the number that prefer brand C is______

If X has a binomial distribution with n = 5 and p = 0.1, then P(X = 2) = _____ .

A national trend predicts that women will account for half of all business travelers in the next 3 years. To attract these women business travelers, hotels are providing more amenities that women particularly like. A recent survey of American hotels found that 70% offer hairdryers in the bathrooms. Consider a random and independent sample of 20 hotels. Find the probability that more than 7 but less than 13 of the hotels in the sample offered hairdryers in the bathrooms.

TABLE 5-6 The quality control manager of Marilyn's Cookies is inspecting a batch of chocolate chip cookies. When the production process is in control, the average number of chocolate chip parts per cookie is 6.0. -Referring to Table 5-6, what is the probability that any particular cookie being inspected has less than 5.0 or more than 8.0 chip parts.

Suppose that past history shows that 60% of college students prefer Brand C cola. A sample of 5 students is to be selected. The probability that exactly 3 prefer brand C is_____

TABLE 5-5 From an inventory of 48 new cars being shipped to local dealerships, corporate reports indicate that 12 have defective radios installed. -Referring to Table 5-5, what is the probability out of the 8 new cars it just received that, when each is tested, exactly two of the cars have non-defective radios?

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8, what is the standard deviation of your profit when Design B is chosen?