Exam 5: Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions

A national trend predicts that women will account for half of all business travelers in the next 3 years. To attract these women business travelers, hotels are providing more amenities that women particularly like. A recent survey of American hotels found that 70% offer hairdryers in the bathrooms. Consider a random and independent sample of 20 hotels. Find the probability that at least 9 of the hotels in the sample do not offer hairdryers in the bathrooms.

TABLE 5-7 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution: $\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text { Returns }$ Prob ability Neighb or hood A Neighb or hood B .25 -\ 22,500 \ 30,500 .40 \ 10,000 \ 25,000 .35 \ 40,500 \ 10,500 -Referring to Table 5-7, if your investment preference is to minimize the amount of risk that you have to take and do not care at all about the expected return, will you choose a portfolio that will consist of 10%, 30%, 50%, 70%, or 90% of your money on the house in neighborhood A and the remaining on the house in neighborhood B?

TABLE 5-7 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution: $\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text { Returns }$ Probability Neighb or hood A Neighb or hood B .25 -\ 22,500 \ 30,500 .40 \ 10,000 \ 25,000 .35 \ 40,500 \ 10,500 -Referring to Table 5-7, what is the total variance of value gain if you invest in both houses?

TABLE 5-8 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Table 5-8 if you decide to choose Design A for 90% of the production lines and Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the risk of your investment?

TABLE 5-5 From an inventory of 48 new cars being shipped to local dealerships, corporate reports indicate that 12 have defective radios installed. -Referring to Table 5-5, what is the probability out of the 8 new cars it just received that, when each is tested, no more than half of the cars have defective radios?

If X has a binomial distribution with n = 4 and p = 0.3, then P(X > 1) = _____ .

Thirty-six of the staff of 80 teachers at a local intermediate school are certified in Cardio-Pulmonary Resuscitation (CPR). In 180 days of school, about how many days can we expect that the teacher on bus duty will likely be certified in CPR?

TABLE 5-4 The following table contains the probability distribution for X = the number of traffic accidents reported in a day in Corvallis, Oregon. 0 1 2 3 4 5 P() 0.10 0.20 0.45 0.15 0.05 0.05 -Referring to Table 5-4, the variance of the number of accidents is____ .

The Poisson distribution can be used to model a continuous random variable.

The portfolio expected return of two investments

If the outcomes of a random variable follow a Poisson distribution, then their

TABLE 5-7 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution: $\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text { Returns }$ Prob ability Neighb or hood A Neighb or hood B .25 -\ 22,500 \ 30,500 .40 \ 10,000 \ 25,000 .35 \ 40,500 \ 10,500 -Referring to Table 5-7, what is the expected value gain for the house in neighborhood A?

In a game called Taxation and Evasion, a player rolls a pair of dice. If on any turn the sum is 7, 11, or 12, the player gets audited. Otherwise, she avoids taxes. Suppose a player takes 5 turns at rolling the dice. The probability that she gets audited no more than 2 times is_____

The covariance between two investments is equal to the sum of the variances of the investments.