Exam 19: Decision Analysis

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Below you are given a profit payoff table involving three decision alternatives and three states of nature. Below you are given a profit payoff table involving three decision alternatives and three states of nature.   ​ The probability of occurrence of s<sub>1</sub> is .1 and the probability of occurrence of s<sub>2</sub> is .3. The expected value of the best alternative is ​ The probability of occurrence of s1 is .1 and the probability of occurrence of s2 is .3. The expected value of the best alternative is

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The expected value of information that would tell the decision maker exactly which state of nature is going to occur is the _____ information.

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Below you are given a profit payoff table involving two decision alternatives and three states of nature. Below you are given a profit payoff table involving two decision alternatives and three states of nature.   ​ The probability that s<sub>1</sub> will occur is .2; the probability that s<sub>2</sub> will occur is .6. The expected value of perfect information equals ​ The probability that s1 will occur is .2; the probability that s2 will occur is .6. The expected value of perfect information equals

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Prior probabilities are the probabilities of the states of nature _____ information.

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Below you are given a profit payoff table involving three decision alternatives and three states of nature. Below you are given a profit payoff table involving three decision alternatives and three states of nature.   ​ The probability of occurrence of s<sub>1</sub> is .1 and the probability of occurrence of s<sub>2</sub> is .3. The expected value of perfect information is ​ The probability of occurrence of s1 is .1 and the probability of occurrence of s2 is .3. The expected value of perfect information is

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Nodes indicating points where a decision is made are known as _____ nodes.

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A posterior probability associated with sample information is of the form​

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Application of Bayes' theorem enables us to compute​ the

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