Exam 19: Computer-Intensive Methods

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What is the common situation in which we would use simulation methods to analyze our data?

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Consider the two data sets shown. Imagine that we are interested if the mean of the second population is larger than the mean of the first population and we wish to test this using the bootstrap procedure. We will use a one-tailed approach with the alternative hypothesis being a situation in which the mean of the second population exceeds the first. ​ Samples A B 5 9 6 8 8 7 4 5 7 9 3 8 9 5 1 5 5 7 2 8 a.Calculate the difference in means between the two data sets. Is this consistent with the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis? b.Perform a single bootstrap and calculate the difference between the means of the two groups. Use the first set of digits from π below as a method to generate the appropriate random numbers for each group (treat zeroes as a 10) and then sequentially choose the appropriate number of bootstrap values from each sample, starting with the first sample. Clearly show which values you use and how (i.e., show your work). c.Is the difference in means from part (b) consistent with the null or alternative hypothesis? d.What would our conclusion be if we performed 99 more replicates and they showed the same general pattern (i.e., the sign of the difference) as in part (c)? π = 31415926535897932384626433

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a. The difference in means between the two data sets is:
Mean of A = (5+6+8+4+7+3+9+1+5+2)/10 = 5.0
Mean of B = (9+8+7+5+9+8+5+5+7+8)/10 = 7.1
Difference = 7.1 - 5.0 = 2.1

This is consistent with the alternative hypothesis, as the mean of the second population (B) is larger than the mean of the first population (A).

b. Using the first set of digits from π, we have:
A: 3, 1, 4, 1, 5, 9, 2, 6, 5, 3
B: 5, 8, 9, 7, 9, 3, 2, 8, 4, 6

Bootstrap sample:
A: 3, 1, 4, 1, 5, 9, 2, 6, 5, 3
B: 5, 8, 9, 7, 9, 3, 2, 8, 4, 6

Mean of A = (3+1+4+1+5+9+2+6+5+3)/10 = 4.0
Mean of B = (5+8+9+7+9+3+2+8+4+6)/10 = 6.1
Difference = 6.1 - 4.0 = 2.1

c. The difference in means from part (b) is consistent with the alternative hypothesis, as the mean of the second population (B) is still larger than the mean of the first population (A).

d. If 99 more replicates showed the same general pattern as in part (c), consistently showing that the mean of the second population is larger than the mean of the first population, then we would conclude that there is strong evidence to support the alternative hypothesis that the mean of the second population exceeds the first.

When doing a simulation, after you assume the null hypothesis is true, what is the key value that you calculate over and over?

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To generate a bootstrap standard error of an estimate, there are four steps. Which of these is not one of them?

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When we do a simulation, the distribution of test statistic values is used to calculate a P-value for our original value.

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The bootstrapping procedure is used to approximate which of the following distributions based on the data in the sample?

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Bootstrapping is most commonly used to estimate the mean of a population.

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Bootstrapping can be used to calculate the standard error of almost any estimate.

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Consider the two data sets shown. Imagine that we are interested if the mean of the second population is larger than the mean of the first population and we wish to test this using the bootstrap procedure. We will use a one-tailed approach with the alternative hypothesis being a situation in which the mean of the second population exceeds the first. ​ Samples A B 5 9 6 8 8 7 4 5 7 9 3 13 9 5 1 5 5 2 2 8 a.Calculate the difference in means between the two data sets. Is this consistent with the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis? b.Perform a single bootstrap and calculate the difference between the means of the two groups. Use the first set of digits from π below as a method to generate the appropriate random numbers for each group (treat zeroes as a 10) and then sequentially choose the appropriate number of bootstrap values from each sample, starting with the first sample. Clearly show which values you use and how (i.e., show your work). c.Is the difference in means from part (b) consistent with the null or alternative hypothesis? d.What would our conclusion be if we performed 99 more replicates and they showed the same general pattern (i.e., the sign of the difference) as in part (c)? π = 31415926535897932384626433

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To generate a bootstrap standard error of an estimate, there are four steps. Which of these is not one of them?

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Simulation involves sampling the original data set with replacement to create new data sets that are analyzed.

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To generate a bootstrap standard error of an estimate, there are four steps. Which of these is not one of them?

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When we do a simulation, we typically sample from the population many times and calculate the test statistic each time.

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When deciding if we can use the bootstrapping procedure, which of the following is a requirement of our data?

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Bootstrapping involves sampling the original population many times to create new data sets that are analyzed.

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When doing a simulation study, we calculate a test statistic over and over to create a distribution of values for comparison to our original test statistic value.

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The first step in a simulation analysis is to create a theoretical population with values matching a null hypothesis.

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The null distribution is best described as which of the following?

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When performing a bootstrap, some values from the original data set may get chosen far more than others in a replicate.

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When doing a simulation study, if any of our test statistic values are more extreme than the original value, then we would not reject the null hypothesis.

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