Exam 3: Demand Creation and Predictive Planning

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Employ weights of 0.4,0.3,and 0.3 to obtain a weighted moving average for April,May and June.Calculate the error terms. Employ weights of 0.4,0.3,and 0.3 to obtain a weighted moving average for April,May and June.Calculate the error terms.

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To calculate _____,take the sum of the absolute measures of the errors and divide that sum by the number of observations.

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The coefficient of determination is the square of the corelation coefficient.

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Time series data also can reflect erratic bursts called pulses.

(True/False)
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Assume that in 2008 the quarterly demands were 10,30,20,and 40.This gives a yearly demand of 100 units.Further,assume that in 2009 the annual demand is expected to increase to 120 units.Then,the model for the second quarter (2ⁿᵈ Q) forecast adjustments would be

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_____ is the process of moving from observed data to the projected values of future points.

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When actual demand is greater than the forecast,there is a forecasting _____.

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How far to go back in calculating moving averages depends on the recency of events that tend to determine the future. "Very recent" means more values;"not so recent" means few values.

(True/False)
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A way to make forecasts more responsible to the most recent actual occurrences is to use weighted moving averages.

(True/False)
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Illustrating the distinction between strategies and tactics helps to further define strategy: This entails doing "things" right (tactical choice) before doing the right "thing" (strategic choice)!

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Not all forecasting errors are based on comparing the actual demand for a time period with the forecast demand for that same period.

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When is regression analysis recommended?

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During the growth stage the input-output relationship reaches equilibrium.

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When the direction and magnitude of the trend is inconclusive and the pattern is not consistent,then the fewer the number of periods in the set,the better.

(True/False)
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What are decision trees and how do they aid decision making?

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_____ is the comprehensive and overall planning for the organization's future.

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Increased competition has led to higher levels of market volatility.

(True/False)
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Much time and talent is needed to conceptualize the product,design its specifics,organize the process for making it,cost it out,pilot test it,and so forth.When the product is accepted,it is released for production and marketing.All of this takes place in the _____ stage.

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It is not necessary for various forecasters in an organization to pool or share their forecasts and information.

(True/False)
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_____ allow(s) P/OM to excel at capacity planning and production scheduling for mature manufactured products and services.

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