Exam 3: Demand Creation and Predictive Planning

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In the moving average,being slow is acceptable if there is a gradual trend with some variability in successive values.

(True/False)
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Formal methods can be used to evaluate how well different forecasting techniques are doing.

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If P/OM know-how is not properly represented,then strategic planning is operating at a limited level.

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If a moving average trend is gradual,either up or down,and if fluctuations around the average are common,then having fewer periods of time in the set is better than having too many.

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_____ is a stream of numbers that represent different values over time.

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History forecasting is forecasted only on a semiannual,quarterly,or monthly basis.

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_____ can be used to evaluate how well different forecasting techniques are doing.

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Delphi is a forecasting method that relies on expert estimation of past events.

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Assume that in 2008 the quarterly demands were 10,30,20,and 40.This gives a yearly demand of 100 units.Further,assume that in 2009 the annual demand is expected to increase to 120 units.Then,the first quarter (1ˢᵗ Q) forecast adjustments would be

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Forecasting cannot be done without mathematics.

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_____ is the sum of all the error terms and is useful when overestimation errors cancel out underestimation errors.

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_____ is the result of dividing each absolute error term by its respective actual demand term.

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Weighted moving averages cannot track strong trends more accurately than unweighted moving averages.

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_____ makes use of the least-square method to estimate the value of future outcomes,yt₊K,if a leading factor xt can be found.

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