Exam 16: Simulation

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Using simulation to perform risk analysis is like playing out many what-if scenarios by randomly generating values for the probabilistic inputs.

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Computer-generated random numbers are normally distributed over the interval from 0 to 1.

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To use Excel to generate a normally distributed random variable,you must know the mean and standard deviation of the distribution and have a random number between 0 and 1.

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A simulation model provides a convenient experimental laboratory for the real system.

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A discrete-event simulation reviews the status of the system periodically,whether or not an event occurs.

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If customer 2 has a service time of 1.6,and if customer 3 has an interarrival time of 1.1 and a service time of 2.3,when will customer 3's service be completed?

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Simulation is to be used to study customer waiting patterns at several branches of an organization.Acknowledging that arrivals and service times follow different distributions over the branches,of what use is the development of a general simulation model?

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Simulation

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Validation determines that the computer procedure is operating as it is intended to operate.

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Seventy-five percent of calls arriving at a help line can be handled by the person who answers the phone,but the remaining 25% of them will need to be referred to someone else.Assume that every call requires one minute of attention by the person who answers the phone (either to answer the question or to figure out how the referral should be handled).Calls that are referred need an additional amount of time,as given in the table below. Time Required Probability 3 minutes .25 5 minutes .35 10 minutes .40 Callers are served on a first come,first served basis,and are put on hold until the line is free.Use the random numbers to simulate what happens to 10 callers.(Use the random numbers in order - from left to right,first row first - as you need them.)What percentage of your callers needs to be referred? Of those who had to be referred,what is the average referral time? .82 .39 .16 .79 .56 .62 .13 .04 .42 .81 .85 .32 .64 .90 .73 .02 .76 .03 .86 .67

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The time required to set up lighting for a portrait studio is uniformly distributed between 12 and 20 minutes.Use the following random numbers to generate the setup time for 10 customers. .27 .53 .06 .92 .16 .74 .06 .29 .82 .23

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Using the spreadsheet below,give the cell address which would have the formula shown. Using the spreadsheet below,give the cell address which would have the formula shown.    Using the spreadsheet below,give the cell address which would have the formula shown.

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The word uniform in the term uniform random numbers means

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How are both analysts and managers involved in the validation process?

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In order to verify a simulation model

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Why would one want to use a general purpose programming language rather than a spreadsheet to develop a simulation?

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Which of the following statements is incorrect regarding the disadvantages of simulation?

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For any waiting line system,(Average number of units in waiting line)= (Total waiting time)divided by (Total time of simulation).

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Arrivals to a truck repair facility have an interarrival time that is uniformly distributed between 20 and 50 minutes.Service times are normally distributed with mean 30 minutes and standard deviation 10 minutes.Develop a spreadsheet model to simulate the arrival of 100 trucks.Collect information on the time the repair facility is idle and on the average waiting time for trucks.

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The process of determining that the computer procedure that performs the simulation calculations is logically correct is called

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