Exam 13: Introduction to Multiple Regression

Instruction 13.20 You worked as an intern at We Always Win Car Insurance Company last summer. You notice that individual car insurance premium depends very much on the age of the individual, the number of traffic tickets received by the individual and the population density of the city in which the individual lives. You performed a regression analysis in Microsoft Excel and obtained the following information: -Referring to Instruction 13.20,the multiple regression model is significant at a 10% level of significance.

Instruction 13.37 Given below are results from the regression analysis where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Unemploy) and the independent variables are the age of the worker (Age), the number of years of education received (Edu), the number of years at the previous job (Job Yr), a dummy variable for marital status (Married: 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household (Head: 1 = yes, 0 = no) and a dummy variable for management position (Manager: 1 = yes, 0 = no). We shall call this Model 1. Model 1 Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.7035 R Square 0.4949 Adj. R Square 0.4030 Std. Error 18.4861 Observations 40 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 6 11048.6415 1841.4402 5.3885 0.00057 Residual 33 11277.2586 341.7351 Total 39 223325.9 Coeff StdError tStat p value Lower 95\% Upper95\% Intercept 32.6595 23.18302 1.4088 0.1683 -14.5067 79.8257 Age 1.2915 0.3599 3.5883 0.0011 0.5592 2.0238 Edu -1.3537 1.1766 -1.1504 0.2582 -3.7476 1.0402 Job Yr 0.6171 0.5940 1.0389 0.3064 -0.5914 1.8257 Married -5.2189 7.6068 -0.6861 0.4974 -20.6950 10.2571 Head -14.2978 7.6479 -1.8695 0.0704 -29.8575 1.2618 Manager -24.8203 11.6932 -2.1226 0.0414 -48.6102 -1.0303 Model 2 is the regression analysis where the dependent variable is Unemploy and the independent variables are Age and Manager. The results of the regression analysis are given below: Mode 2 Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.6391 R Square 0.4085 Adj. R Square 0.3765 Std. Error 18.8929 Observations 40 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 2 9119.0897 4559.5448 12.7740 0.0000 Residual 37 13206.8103 356.9408 Total 39 22325.9 Coeff StdError t Stat p value Intercept -0.2143 11.5796 -0.0185 0.9853 Age 1.4448 0.3160 4.5717 0.0000 Manager -22.5761 11.3488 -1.9893 0.0541 -Referring to Instruction 13.37 Model 1,what are the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence interval estimate for the effect of a one year increase in education received on the mean number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff after taking into consideration the effect of all the other independent variables?

AU: Question 37 is the same as Question 36. Please check. Instruction 13.12 AU: Please advise if Instruction 13.12 can be renumbered to Instruction 13.11 and further questions renumbered. Or advise whether there shall be new Instruction 13.11 included. The Head of the Accounting Department wanted to see if she could predict the average grade of students using the number of course units (credits) and total university entrance exam scores of each. She takes a sample of students and generates the following Microsoft Excel output: OUTPUT SUMMARY Regression Statistics MultipleR 0.916 R Square 0.839 Adj. R Square 0.732 Std. Error 0.24685 Observations 6 ANOVA df SS MS F Signiff Regression 2 0.95219 0.47610 7.813 0.0646 Residual 3 0.18281 0.06094 Total 5 1.13500 Coeff StdError t Stat p value Intercept 4.593897 1.13374542 4.052 0.0271 GDP -0.247270 0.06268485 -3.945 0.0290 Price 0.001443 0.00101241 1.425 0.2494 Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.12,the Head of Department wants to test H₀: $\beta$ ₁ = $\beta$ ₂ = 0.The critical value of the F test for a level of significance of 0.05 is ___________

Instruction 13.40 An econometrician is interested in evaluating the relation of demand for building materials to mortgage rates in Sydney and Melbourne. He believes that the appropriate model is $Y = 10 + 5 X _ { 1 } + 8 X _ { 2 }$ where = mortgage rate in \% =1 if Sydney, 0 if Melbourne Y= demand in \ 100 per capita -Referring to Instruction 13.40,the fitted model for predicting demand in Sydney is ______.

Instruction 13.38 A weight-loss clinic wants to use regression analysis to build a model for weight-loss of a client (measured in kilograms). Two variables thought to effect weight-loss are client's length of time on the weight loss program and time of session. These variables are described below: $Y =$ Weight-loss (in kilograms) $X _ { 1 } =$ Length of time in weight-loss program (in months) $x _ { 2 } = 1$ if morning session, 0 if not $x _ { 3 } = 1$ if afternoon session, 0 if not (Base level = evening session) Data for 12 clients on a weight-loss program at the clinic were collected and used to fit the interaction model: $Y = \beta 0 + \beta _ { 1 } X _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } X _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } X _ { 3 } + \beta _ { 4 } X _ { 1 } X _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 5 } X _ { 1 } X _ { 3 } + \varepsilon$ Partial output from Microsoft Excel follows: -Referring to Instruction 13.38,what null hypothesis would you test to determine whether the slope of the linear relationship between weight-loss (Y)and time in the program (X₁)varies according to time of session?

The slopes in a multiple regression model are called net regression coefficients.

AU: Question 37 is the same as Question 36. Please check. Instruction 13.12 AU: Please advise if Instruction 13.12 can be renumbered to Instruction 13.11 and further questions renumbered. Or advise whether there shall be new Instruction 13.11 included. The Head of the Accounting Department wanted to see if she could predict the average grade of students using the number of course units (credits) and total university entrance exam scores of each. She takes a sample of students and generates the following Microsoft Excel output: OUTPUT SUMMARY Regression Statistics MultipleR 0.916 R Square 0.839 Adj. R Square 0.732 Std. Error 0.24685 Observations 6 ANOVA df SS MS F Signiff Regression 2 0.95219 0.47610 7.813 0.0646 Residual 3 0.18281 0.06094 Total 5 1.13500 Coeff StdError t Stat p value Intercept 4.593897 1.13374542 4.052 0.0271 GDP -0.247270 0.06268485 -3.945 0.0290 Price 0.001443 0.00101241 1.425 0.2494 Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.12,the Head of Department wants to test H₀: $\beta$ ₁ = $\beta$ ₂ = 0.The p-value of the test is ___________.

In a multiple regression problem involving two independent variables,if b₁ is computed to be +2.0,it means that

Instruction 13.2 A lecturer in industrial relations believes that an individual's wage rate at a factory (Y) depends on his performance rating (X₁) and the number of economics courses the employee successfully completed at university (X₂). The lecturer randomly selects six workers and collects the following information: Employee Y(\ ) X1 X2 1 10 3 0 2 12 1 5 3 15 8 1 4 17 5 8 5 20 7 12 6 25 10 9 -Referring to Instruction 13.2,suppose an employee had never taken an economics course and managed to score a 5 on his performance rating.What is his estimated expected wage rate?

Instruction 13.19 You decide to predict petrol prices in different cities and towns in Australia for your term project. Your dependent variable is price of petrol per litre and your explanatory variables are per capita income, the number of firms that manufacture automobile parts in and around the city, the number of new business starts in the last year, population density of the city, percentage of local taxes on petrol and the number of people using public transportation. You collected data of 32 cities and obtained a regression sum of squares SSR = 122.8821. Your computed value of standard error of the estimate is 1.9549. -Referring to Instruction 13.19,the value of adjusted r² is

Instruction 13.31 A microeconomist wants to determine how corporate sales are influenced by capital and wage spending by companies. She proceeds to randomly select 26 large corporations and record information in millions of dollars. The Microsoft Excel output below shows results of this multiple regression. Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.31,what is the p-value for testing whether Wages have a positive impact on corporate sales?

Instruction 13.31 A microeconomist wants to determine how corporate sales are influenced by capital and wage spending by companies. She proceeds to randomly select 26 large corporations and record information in millions of dollars. The Microsoft Excel output below shows results of this multiple regression. Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.31,what is the p-value for Capital?

Instruction 13.7 You worked as an intern at We Always Win Car Insurance Company last summer. You notice that individual car insurance premium depends very much on the age of the individual, the number of traffic tickets received by the individual and the population density of the city in which the individual lives. You performed a regression analysis in Microsoft Excel and obtained the following information: Regression Analysis MultipleR 0.63 R Square 0.40 Adj. R Square 0.23 Standard Error 50.00 Observations 15.00 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 3 5994.24 2.40 0.12 Residual 11 27496.82 Total 45479.54 Coeff StdError t Stat p-value Lower 99.0\% Upper 99.0\% Intercept 123.80 48.71 2.54 0.03 -27.47 275.07 AGE 0.82 0.87 -0.95 0.36 -3.51 1.87 TICKETS 11.25 10.66 1.99 0.07 -11.86 54.37 DENSITY -3.14 6.46 -0.49 0.64 -23.19 16.91 -Referring to Instruction 13.7,the proportion of the total variability in insurance premiums that can be explained by AGE,TICKETS and DENSITY is ______.

Instruction 13.16 A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size (House) is influenced by family income (Income), family size (Size) and education of the head of household (School). House size is measured in hundreds of square metres, income is measured in thousands of dollars and education is in years. The builder randomly selected 50 families and ran the multiple regression. Microsoft Excel output is provided below: OUTPUT SUMMARY Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R Square 0.748 Adj. R Square 0.726 Std. Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA df SS MS F Signiff Regression 3605.7736 901.4434 0.0001 Residual 1214.2264 26.9828 Total 49 4820.0000 Coeff StdError t Stat p value Intercept -1.6335 5.8078 -0.281 0.7798 Income 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 School -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.16,what are the regression degrees of freedom that are missing from the output?

Instruction 13.35 The education department's regional executive officer wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a Grade 6 proficiency test. She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing), daily average of the percentage of students attending class (% Attendance), average teacher salary in dollars (Salaries) and instructional spending per pupil in dollars (Spending) of 47 schools in the state. Following is the multiple regression output with Y = % Passing as the dependent variable, X₁ = % Attendance, X₂ = Salaries and X₃ = Spending: -Referring to Instruction 13.35,what is the p-value of the test statistics when testing whether daily mean of the percentage of students attending class has any effect on percentage of students passing the proficiency test,taking into account the effect of all the other independent variables?

Instruction 13.37 Given below are results from the regression analysis where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Unemploy) and the independent variables are the age of the worker (Age), the number of years of education received (Edu), the number of years at the previous job (Job Yr), a dummy variable for marital status (Married: 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household (Head: 1 = yes, 0 = no) and a dummy variable for management position (Manager: 1 = yes, 0 = no). We shall call this Model 1. Model 1 Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.7035 R Square 0.4949 Adj. R Square 0.4030 Std. Error 18.4861 Observations 40 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 6 11048.6415 1841.4402 5.3885 0.00057 Residual 33 11277.2586 341.7351 Total 39 223325.9 Coeff StdError tStat p value Lower 95\% Upper95\% Intercept 32.6595 23.18302 1.4088 0.1683 -14.5067 79.8257 Age 1.2915 0.3599 3.5883 0.0011 0.5592 2.0238 Edu -1.3537 1.1766 -1.1504 0.2582 -3.7476 1.0402 Job Yr 0.6171 0.5940 1.0389 0.3064 -0.5914 1.8257 Married -5.2189 7.6068 -0.6861 0.4974 -20.6950 10.2571 Head -14.2978 7.6479 -1.8695 0.0704 -29.8575 1.2618 Manager -24.8203 11.6932 -2.1226 0.0414 -48.6102 -1.0303 Model 2 is the regression analysis where the dependent variable is Unemploy and the independent variables are Age and Manager. The results of the regression analysis are given below: Mode 2 Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.6391 R Square 0.4085 Adj. R Square 0.3765 Std. Error 18.8929 Observations 40 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 2 9119.0897 4559.5448 12.7740 0.0000 Residual 37 13206.8103 356.9408 Total 39 22325.9 Coeff StdError t Stat p value Intercept -0.2143 11.5796 -0.0185 0.9853 Age 1.4448 0.3160 4.5717 0.0000 Manager -22.5761 11.3488 -1.9893 0.0541 -Referring to Instruction 13.37 Model 1,what is the value of the test statistic to determine whether there is a significant relationship between the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff and the entire set of explanatory variables?

Instruction 13.24 A financial analyst wanted to examine the relationship between salary (in $1,000) and four variables: age (X₁ = Age), experience in the field (X₂ = Exper), number of degrees (X₃ = Degrees) and number of previous jobs in the field (X₄ = Prevjobs). He took a sample of 20 employees and obtained the following Microsoft Excel output: Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.24,the analyst wants to use a t test to test for the significance of the coefficient of X₃.The p-value of the test is_____.

Instruction 13.31 A microeconomist wants to determine how corporate sales are influenced by capital and wage spending by companies. She proceeds to randomly select 26 large corporations and record information in millions of dollars. The Microsoft Excel output below shows results of this multiple regression. Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.31,what is the p-value for testing whether Capital has a positive influence on corporate sales?

Instruction 13.22 The education department's regional executive officer wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a Grade 6 proficiency test. She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing), daily average of the percentage of students attending class (% Attendance), average teacher salary in dollars (Salaries) and instructional spending per pupil in dollars (Spending) of 47 schools in the state. Following is the multiple regression output with Y = % Passing as the dependent variable, X₁ = % Attendance, X₂ = Salaries and X₃ = Spending: -Referring to Instruction 13.22,you can conclude that instructional spending per pupil has no impact on mean percentage of students passing the proficiency test at a 5% level of significance using the 95% confidence interval estimate for β₃.

Instruction 13.13 A financial analyst wanted to examine the relationship between salary (in $1,000) and four variables: age (X₁ = Age), experience in the field (X₂ = Exper), number of degrees (X₃ = Degrees) and number of previous jobs in the field (X₄ = Prevjobs). He took a sample of 20 employees and obtained the following Microsoft Excel output: $\text { OUTPUT }$ SUMMARY Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.992 R Square 0.984 Adj. R Square 0.979 Std. Error 2.26743 Observations 20 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 4 4609.83164 1152.45791 224.160 0.0001 Residual 15 77.11836 5.14122 Total 19 4686.95000 Coeff Std Error t Stat p value Intercept -9.611198 2.77988638 -3.457 0.0035 Age 1.327695 0.11491930 11.553 0.0001 Exper -0.106705 0.14265559 -0.748 0.4660 Degrees 7.311332 0.80324187 9.102 0.0001 Prevjobs -0.504168 0.44771573 -1.126 0.2778 Note: Adj. R Square = Adjusted R Square; Std. Error = Standard Error -Referring to Instruction 13.13,the predicted salary for a 35-year-old person with 10 years of experience,3 degrees and 1 previous job is ___________.