Exam 12: Simulation

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Simulation models manually generate specific values for the random variables so that the values used reflect what we might observe in practice.

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A quantity that is difficult to measure with certainty is called a

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C

Using simulation models,we are able to explore the sensitivity of various decisions to some of the model's

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A

A discrete-event simulation reviews the status of the system periodically,whether or not an event occurs.

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The process of generating probabilistic inputs and computing the value of the output is called

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Values for the random variables or uncertain variable inputs to a simulation are

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One disadvantage of simulation is that it is limited in the variety of probability distributions that can be used in modeling a system.

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In order to verify a simulation model,

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Simulation analysis requires a model foundation of logical formulas that correctly express the relationships between parameters and decisions to generate outputs of interest.

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Three airlines compete on the route between New York and Los Angeles.Stanton Marketing has performed an analysis of first class business travelers to determine their airline choice.Stanton has modeled this choice as a Markov process and has determined the following transition probabilities: Three airlines compete on the route between New York and Los Angeles.Stanton Marketing has performed an analysis of first class business travelers to determine their airline choice.Stanton has modeled this choice as a Markov process and has determined the following transition probabilities:   ​  Three airlines compete on the route between New York and Los Angeles.Stanton Marketing has performed an analysis of first class business travelers to determine their airline choice.Stanton has modeled this choice as a Markov process and has determined the following transition probabilities:   ​

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Which of the following statements is true regarding the advantages of using simulations?

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The following relationship is valid for any waiting line system: the average number in the waiting line is equal to the total waiting time divided by the total time of simulation.

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Computer-generated random numbers are not technically random,because they are generated through the use of mathematical formulas.

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Verification is the process of ensuring that the simulation model provides an accurate representation of the real system.

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Using simulation to perform risk analysis is like playing out many what-if scenarios by randomly generating values for the probabilistic inputs.

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The process of determining that the computer procedure that performs the simulation calculations is logically correct is called

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On a visit to an amusement park,you pass someone who has just ridden a roller coaster and asks you for directions to the First Aid Station.Realizing that traffic at the First Aid Station would be something to study with simulation,you gather some information.Two EMTs staff the station,and patients wait and go to the first one available.People coming there can be divided into two groups: those who need something minor (e.g.,Tylenol,a Band-Aid)or those who need more help.​ Assume those in the first group constitute 25% of the patients and take five minutes to have their problem solved.Those in the second group need an uncertain amount of time,as given by a probability distribution.Develop a flowchart for this simulation problem.

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A graphical tool that helps describe the logic of the simulation model is a

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Susan Winslow has two alternative routes to travel from her home in Olport to her office in Lewisburg.She can travel on Freeway 5 to Freeway 57 or on Freeway 55 to Freeway 91.The time distributions are as follows: Susan Winslow has two alternative routes to travel from her home in Olport to her office in Lewisburg.She can travel on Freeway 5 to Freeway 57 or on Freeway 55 to Freeway 91.The time distributions are as follows:   ​ Do a five-day simulation of each of the two combinations of routes using the random numbers below.Based on this simulation,which routes should Susan take if her objective is to minimize her total travel time?  ​ Do a five-day simulation of each of the two combinations of routes using the random numbers below.Based on this simulation,which routes should Susan take if her objective is to minimize her total travel time? Susan Winslow has two alternative routes to travel from her home in Olport to her office in Lewisburg.She can travel on Freeway 5 to Freeway 57 or on Freeway 55 to Freeway 91.The time distributions are as follows:   ​ Do a five-day simulation of each of the two combinations of routes using the random numbers below.Based on this simulation,which routes should Susan take if her objective is to minimize her total travel time?

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When events occur at discrete points in time,

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