Exam 17: Multiple Regression

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When an additional explanatory variable is introduced into a multiple regression model,the coefficient of determination will never decrease.

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A multiple regression equation has a coefficient of determination of 0.81.Then,the percentage of the variation in y that is explained by the regression equation is 90%.

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The problem of multicollinearity arises when the:

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Test the hypotheses H0: There is no first-order autocorrelation vs.H1: There is positive first-order autocorrelation,given that: Durbin-Watson Statistic d = 1.12,n = 45,k = 5,and α\alpha = 0.05.

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To use the Durbin-Watson test to test for positive first-order autocorrelation,the null hypothesis will be H0: ____________________ (there is/there is no)first-order autocorrelation.

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Student's Final Grade A statistics professor investigated some of the factors that affect an individual student's final grade in her course.She proposed the multiple regression model y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + € ,where y is the final grade (out of 100 points),x1 is the number of lectures skipped,x2 is the number of late assignments,and x3 is the midterm exam score (out of 100).The professor recorded the data for 50 randomly selected students.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y~=41.63.18x11.17x2+.63x3\tilde { y } = 41.6 - 3.18 x _ { 1 } - 1.17 x _ { 2 } + .63 x _ { 3 } Predicter Coef StDsv T Constant 41.6 17.8 2.337 -3.18 1.66 -1.916 -1.17 1.13 -1.035 0.63 0.13 4.846 S=13.74RSq=30.0%S = 13.74 \quad R - S q = 30.0 \% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation Repressian 3 3716 1238.667 6.558 Esrar 46 8688 188.870 Total 49 12404 -{Student's Final Grade Narrative} Interpret the coefficient b3.

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For the following multiple regression model: y~=23x1+4x2+5x3\tilde { y } = 2 - 3 x _ { 1 } + 4 x _ { 2 } + 5 x _ { 3 } ,a unit increase in x1,holding x2 and x3 constant,results in:

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Multicollinearity is present when there is a high degree of correlation between the dependent variable and any of the independent variables.

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When the independent variables are correlated with one another in a multiple regression analysis,this condition is called:

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The Durbin-Watson test allows the statistics practitioner to determine whether there is evidence of first-order autocorrelation.

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A multiple regression model involves 10 independent variables and 30 observations.If we want to test at the 5% significance level whether one of the coefficients is = 0 (vs. \neq 0)the critical value will be:

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Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA  Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT   \begin{array}{l} \text { Regression Statistics }\\ \begin{array} { l l }  \text { Multiple R } & 0.865 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.748 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.726 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 5.195 \\ \text { Observations } & 50 \end{array} \end{array}  ANOVA     \begin{array} { | l | c c c c | }  \hline & \text { Coeff } & \text { St. Error } & \boldsymbol { t }\boldsymbol {Sat } & \boldsymbol { P } \text {-value } \\ \hline \text { Intercept } & - 1.6335 & 5.807 \mathrm { 8 } & - 0.281 & 0 .7798 \\ \text { Family Incame } & 0.4485 & 0.1137 & 3.9545 & 0 .0003 \\ \text { Family Size } & 4.2615 & 0.8062 & 5.286 & 0 .0001 \\ \text { Education } & - 0.6517 & 0.4319 & - 1.509 & 0 .1383 \\ \hline \end{array}  -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} What is the predicted house size for an individual earning an annual income of $40,000,having a family size of 4,and having 13 years of education? Coeff St. Error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.7798 Family Incame 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} What is the predicted house size for an individual earning an annual income of $40,000,having a family size of 4,and having 13 years of education?

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Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA  Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT   \begin{array}{l} \text { Regression Statistics }\\ \begin{array} { l l }  \text { Multiple R } & 0.865 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.748 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.726 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 5.195 \\ \text { Observations } & 50 \end{array} \end{array}  ANOVA     \begin{array} { | l | c c c c | }  \hline & \text { Coeff } & \text { St. Error } & \boldsymbol { t }\boldsymbol {Sat } & \boldsymbol { P } \text {-value } \\ \hline \text { Intercept } & - 1.6335 & 5.807 \mathrm { 8 } & - 0.281 & 0 .7798 \\ \text { Family Incame } & 0.4485 & 0.1137 & 3.9545 & 0 .0003 \\ \text { Family Size } & 4.2615 & 0.8062 & 5.286 & 0 .0001 \\ \text { Education } & - 0.6517 & 0.4319 & - 1.509 & 0 .1383 \\ \hline \end{array}  -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Suppose the builder wants to test whether the coefficient on education is significantly different from 0.What is the value of the relevant t-statistic? Coeff St. Error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.7798 Family Incame 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Suppose the builder wants to test whether the coefficient on education is significantly different from 0.What is the value of the relevant t-statistic?

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Three predictor variables are being considered for use in a linear regression model.Given the correlation matrix below,does it appear that multicollinearity could be a problem? 1.000 0.025 1.000 0.968 0.897 1.000

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From the coefficient of determination,we cannot detect the strength of the relationship between the dependent variable y and any individual independent variable.

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In a multiple regression model,the value of the coefficient of determination has to fall between

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Life Expectancy An actuary wanted to develop a model to predict how long individuals will live.After consulting a number of physicians,she collected the age at death (y),the average number of hours of exercise per week (x1),the cholesterol level (x2),and the number of points that the individual's blood pressure exceeded the recommended value (x3).A random sample of 40 individuals was selected.The computer output of the multiple regression model is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 55.8 + 1.79x1 -0.021x2 -0.061x3 Predicter Coef StDev T Constant 55.8 11.8 4.729 1.79 0.44 4.068 -0.021 0.011 -1.909 -0.016 0.014 -1.143 S=9.47RSq=22.5%S = 9.47 \quad R - S q = 22.5 \% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation Repressian 3 936 312 3.477 Error 36 3230 89.722 Total 39 4166 -{Life Expectancy Narrative} Interpret the coefficient b1.

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A multiple regression model is assessed to be poor if the error sum of squares SSE and the standard error of estimate s ε\varepsilon are both large,the coefficient of determination R2 is close to 0,and the value of the test statistic F is large.

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Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA  Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT   \begin{array}{l} \text { Regression Statistics }\\ \begin{array} { l l }  \text { Multiple R } & 0.865 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.748 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.726 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 5.195 \\ \text { Observations } & 50 \end{array} \end{array}  ANOVA     \begin{array} { | l | c c c c | }  \hline & \text { Coeff } & \text { St. Error } & \boldsymbol { t }\boldsymbol {Sat } & \boldsymbol { P } \text {-value } \\ \hline \text { Intercept } & - 1.6335 & 5.807 \mathrm { 8 } & - 0.281 & 0 .7798 \\ \text { Family Incame } & 0.4485 & 0.1137 & 3.9545 & 0 .0003 \\ \text { Family Size } & 4.2615 & 0.8062 & 5.286 & 0 .0001 \\ \text { Education } & - 0.6517 & 0.4319 & - 1.509 & 0 .1383 \\ \hline \end{array}  -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Which of the following values for the level of significance is the smallest for which all explanatory variables are significant individually:  \alpha  = .01,.05,.10,or .15? Coeff St. Error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.7798 Family Incame 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Which of the following values for the level of significance is the smallest for which all explanatory variables are significant individually: α\alpha = .01,.05,.10,or .15?

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A multiple regression model has the form: y~=5.25+2x1+6x2\tilde { y } = 5.25 + 2 x _ { 1 } + 6 x _ { 2 } .As x2 increases by one unit,holding x1 constant,then the value of y will increase by:

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