Exam 17: Multiple Regression

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A small value of F indicates that most of the variation in y is explained by the regression equation and that the model is useful.

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For the multiple regression model: y~=75+25x115x2+10x3\tilde { y } = 75 + 25 x _ { 1 } - 15 x _ { 2 } + 10 x _ { 3 } ,if x2 were to increase by 5,holding x1 and x3 constant,the value of y will:

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The range of the values of the Durbin-Watson statistic d is ____________________.

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Multiple regression has four requirements for the error variable.One is that the probability distribution of the error variable is ____________________.

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Life Expectancy An actuary wanted to develop a model to predict how long individuals will live.After consulting a number of physicians,she collected the age at death (y),the average number of hours of exercise per week (x1),the cholesterol level (x2),and the number of points that the individual's blood pressure exceeded the recommended value (x3).A random sample of 40 individuals was selected.The computer output of the multiple regression model is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 55.8 + 1.79x1 -0.021x2 -0.061x3 Predicter Coef StDev T Constant 55.8 11.8 4.729 1.79 0.44 4.068 -0.021 0.011 -1.909 -0.016 0.014 -1.143 S=9.47RSq=22.5%S = 9.47 \quad R - S q = 22.5 \% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation Repressian 3 936 312 3.477 Error 36 3230 89.722 Total 39 4166 -{Life Expectancy Narrative} Interpret the coefficient b2.

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Test the hypotheses: H0: There is no first-order autocorrelation vs.H1: There is negative first-order autocorrelation,given that: Durbin-Watson Statistic d = 1.75,n = 20,k = 2,and α\alpha = 0.01.

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In order to test the significance of a multiple regression model involving 4 independent variables and 25 observations,the numerator and denominator degrees of freedom for the critical value of F are 3 and 21,respectively.

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If the value of the Durbin-Watson statistic d is small (d < 2),this indicates a(n)____________________ (positive/negative)first-order autocorrelation exists.

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A multiple regression model involves 5 independent variables and a sample of 10 data points.If we want to test the validity of the model at the 5% significance level,the critical value is:

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Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA  Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT   \begin{array}{l} \text { Regression Statistics }\\ \begin{array} { l l }  \text { Multiple R } & 0.865 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.748 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.726 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 5.195 \\ \text { Observations } & 50 \end{array} \end{array}  ANOVA     \begin{array} { | l | c c c c | }  \hline & \text { Coeff } & \text { St. Error } & \boldsymbol { t }\boldsymbol {Sat } & \boldsymbol { P } \text {-value } \\ \hline \text { Intercept } & - 1.6335 & 5.807 \mathrm { 8 } & - 0.281 & 0 .7798 \\ \text { Family Incame } & 0.4485 & 0.1137 & 3.9545 & 0 .0003 \\ \text { Family Size } & 4.2615 & 0.8062 & 5.286 & 0 .0001 \\ \text { Education } & - 0.6517 & 0.4319 & - 1.509 & 0 .1383 \\ \hline \end{array}  -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} When the builder used a simple linear regression model with house size as the dependent variable and education as the independent variable,he obtained an R-square value of 23.0%.What additional percentage of the total variation in house size has been explained by including family size and income in the multiple regression? Coeff St. Error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.7798 Family Incame 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} When the builder used a simple linear regression model with house size as the dependent variable and education as the independent variable,he obtained an R-square value of 23.0%.What additional percentage of the total variation in house size has been explained by including family size and income in the multiple regression?

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Student's Final Grade A statistics professor investigated some of the factors that affect an individual student's final grade in her course.She proposed the multiple regression model y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + € ,where y is the final grade (out of 100 points),x1 is the number of lectures skipped,x2 is the number of late assignments,and x3 is the midterm exam score (out of 100).The professor recorded the data for 50 randomly selected students.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y~=41.63.18x11.17x2+.63x3\tilde { y } = 41.6 - 3.18 x _ { 1 } - 1.17 x _ { 2 } + .63 x _ { 3 } Predicter Coef StDsv T Constant 41.6 17.8 2.337 -3.18 1.66 -1.916 -1.17 1.13 -1.035 0.63 0.13 4.846 S=13.74RSq=30.0%S = 13.74 \quad R - S q = 30.0 \% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation Repressian 3 3716 1238.667 6.558 Esrar 46 8688 188.870 Total 49 12404 -{Student's Final Grade Narrative} Interpret the coefficient b2.

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In a multiple regression analysis involving k independent variables and n data points,the number of degrees of freedom associated with the sum of squares for error is:

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In multiple regression analysis,when the response surface (the graphical depiction of the regression equation)hits every single point,the sum of squares for error SSE = 0,the standard error of estimate s ε\varepsilon = 0,and the coefficient of determination R2 = 1.

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An adverse effect of multicollinearity is that the estimated regression coefficients of the independent variables that are correlated tend to have large sampling ____________________.

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There are several clues to the presence of multicollinearity.One clue is when a regression coefficient exhibits the wrong ____________________.

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Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA  Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income,family size,and education of the head of household.House size is measured in hundreds of square feet,income is measured in thousands of dollars,and education is measured in years.A partial computer output is shown below. SUMMARY OUTPUT   \begin{array}{l} \text { Regression Statistics }\\ \begin{array} { l l }  \text { Multiple R } & 0.865 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.748 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.726 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 5.195 \\ \text { Observations } & 50 \end{array} \end{array}  ANOVA     \begin{array} { | l | c c c c | }  \hline & \text { Coeff } & \text { St. Error } & \boldsymbol { t }\boldsymbol {Sat } & \boldsymbol { P } \text {-value } \\ \hline \text { Intercept } & - 1.6335 & 5.807 \mathrm { 8 } & - 0.281 & 0 .7798 \\ \text { Family Incame } & 0.4485 & 0.1137 & 3.9545 & 0 .0003 \\ \text { Family Size } & 4.2615 & 0.8062 & 5.286 & 0 .0001 \\ \text { Education } & - 0.6517 & 0.4319 & - 1.509 & 0 .1383 \\ \hline \end{array}  -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Which of the following values for the level of significance is the smallest for which the regression model as a whole is significant:  \alpha = .00005,.001,.01,and .05? Coeff St. Error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.7798 Family Incame 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Which of the following values for the level of significance is the smallest for which the regression model as a whole is significant: α\alpha = .00005,.001,.01,and .05?

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If the value of the Durbin-Watson statistic d is large (d > 2),this indicates a(n)____________________ (positive/negative)first-order autocorrelation exists.

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When an explanatory variable is dropped from a multiple regression model,the adjusted coefficient of determination can increase.

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A multiple regression model is assessed to be good if the error sum of squares SSE and the standard error of estimate s ε\varepsilon are both small,the coefficient of determination R2 is close to 1,and the value of the test statistic F is large.

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There are several clues to the presence of multicollinearity.One clue is when an independent variable is added or deleted,the regression coefficients for the other variables ____________________.

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