Exam 23: Simulation

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One of the disadvantages of simulation is that it

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Simulation can use any probability distribution that the user defines.

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A distribution of service times at a waiting line indicates that service takes 12 minutes 30% of the time and 14 minutes 70% of the time. In preparing this distribution for Monte Carlo analysis, the service time 13 minutes would be represented by the random number range

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Which of the following is a necessity for common EOQ methodology but not simulations?

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A warehouse manager needs to simulate the demand placed on a product that does not fit standard models. The concept being measured is "demand during lead time," where both lead time and daily demand are variable. The historical record for this product suggests the following probability distribution. Convert this distribution into random number intervals. Demand during lead time Probability 100 .02 120 .15 140 .25 160 .15 180 .13 200 .30

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________ is the attempt to duplicate the features, appearance, and characteristics of a real system, usually by means of a computerized model.

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Simulation has numerous applications in modern business, but few of these are in the area of operations.

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Historical records on a certain product indicate the following behavior for demand. The data represent the number days that the business was open during 2019 (note that it is possible to have more than 365 days as there are multiple store locations). Convert these data into random number intervals. Demand Frequency 43 51 44 82 45 111 46 99 47 74

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Sam's hardware store has an order policy of ordering 12 liters of a specific primer whenever 7 liters are on hand (unless there's already an ordered delivery due). The store would like to see how well their policy works. Assume that beginning inventory in period 1 is 10 units, that orders are placed at the end of the week to be received one week later. (In other words, if an order is placed at the end of week one, it is available at the beginning of week 3.) Assume that if inventory is not on hand, it will result in a lost sale. The weekly demand distribution obtained from past sales is found in the table below. Also, use the random numbers that are provided and simulate 10 weeks worth of sales. How many sales are lost? Weekly sales Probability 3 .20 4 .30 5 .20 6 .20 Random numbers for sales: 37, 60, 79, 21, 85, 71, 48, 39, 31, 35

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One of the advantages of simulation is that

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A distribution of service times at a waiting line shows that service takes 6 minutes 40% of the time, 7 minutes 30% of the time, 8 minutes 20% of the time, and 9 minutes 10% of the time. Prepare the probability distribution, the cumulative probability distribution, and the random number intervals for this problem.

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Complete the following table in preparation for a Monte Carlo simulation. The expected demand is 3.52. Demand Probability Cumulative Probability Interval of Random Numbers 0 .1 2 11-23 3 .5 4 86-00

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A distribution of service times at a waiting line indicates that service takes 12 minutes 30% of the time and 14 minutes 70% of the time. Prepare the probability distribution, the cumulative probability distribution, and the random number intervals for this problem. The first six random numbers were 99, 29, 27, 75, 89, and 78. What is the average service time for this simulation run?

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By starting random number intervals at 01, not 00, the top of each range is the cumulative probability.

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A simulation model is designed to arrive at a single specific numerical answer to a given problem.

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Setting up a probability distribution, building a cumulative probability distribution, and generating random numbers are

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Which of the following is not a disadvantage to simulation?

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What is the cumulative probability distribution of the following variable? Tires Sold Probability 0 1 1 2 2 15 3 3 4 25

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From a portion of a probability distribution, you read that P(demand = 0) is 0.05, P(demand = 1) is 0.10, and P(demand = 2) is 0.20. The two-digit random number intervals for this distribution beginning with 01 are

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Simulation is used for several reasons, including

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