Exam 22: Simulation

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Explain the difference between random numbers and random number intervals.

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Random numbers are a series of digits that have been selected by a totally random process. Random number intervals are numbers used to represent each possible value or outcome in a computer simulation. During simulation, a particular random number is matched against the random number intervals to determine the value for the element being modeled that particular time.

The number of tires sold at a car garage varies randomly between 0 and 4 each hour, with equally probability for each possible outcome. What set of random numbers (on the 01-100 scale) would tire sales of 2 be assigned?

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C

In most real-world inventory problems, lead time and demand vary in ways that make simulation a necessity because mathematical modeling is extremely difficult.

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Which of the following are advantages of simulation? I. time compression II. "what-if?" questions are possible III. flexibility IV. repetitive approach V. input must be user generated

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By starting random number intervals at 01, not 00, the top of each range is the cumulative probability.

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The effects of operations management policies over many months or years can be obtained by computer simulation in a short time. What is this phenomenon called?

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________ is the attempt to duplicate the features, appearance, and characteristics of a real system, usually via a computerized model.

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Simulation is the attempt to duplicate the features, appearance, and characteristics of a real system, usually by means of a computerized model.

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One of the disadvantages of simulation is that it:

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Complete the following table in preparation for a Monte Carlo simulation. Complete the following table in preparation for a Monte Carlo simulation.

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Despite the powerful simulation software available today, good simulation models can take a long time to develop.

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A(n) ________ is the accumulation of individual probabilities of a distribution.

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The ________ method is a simulation technique that uses random elements when chance exists in their behavior.

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The Las Vegas method is a simulation technique that uses random elements when chance exists in their behavior.

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"Time compression" and the ability to pose "what-if?" questions are elements of:

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What are the advantages and disadvantages of simulation models?

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Simulation is used for several reasons, including which of the following?

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Explain what is meant by the concept of "time compression" in simulation modeling.

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Complete the following table in preparation for a Monte Carlo simulation. The expected demand is 3.21. Complete the following table in preparation for a Monte Carlo simulation. The expected demand is 3.21.

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A warehouse manager needs to simulate the demand placed on a product that does not fit standard models. The concept being measured is "demand during lead time," where both lead time and daily demand are variable. The historical record for this product suggests the following probability distribution. Convert this distribution into random number intervals. A warehouse manager needs to simulate the demand placed on a product that does not fit standard models. The concept being measured is demand during lead time, where both lead time and daily demand are variable. The historical record for this product suggests the following probability distribution. Convert this distribution into random number intervals.

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