Exam 9: Sales Forecasting and Financial Analysis
New product projects need to be considered on how well they fit a firm's strategy for innovation.
True
Sales forecasting is typically the responsibility of a _____ on a new product team.
C
What are some of the considerations to keep in mind when developing a sales forecast?
There are several considerations one must keep in mind when developing a sales forecast. First, a product's potential may be extremely high, but sales may not materialize due to insufficient marketing effort. Advertising may not adequately create awareness, or inadequate distribution may make the product unavailable to much of the market. The A-T-A-R model will help us adjust sales forecasts based on awareness and availability. Second, sales will grow through time if we successfully get customers to try the product and convert many of these customers into repeat purchasers, if they pass along favorable word of mouth to their friends, if greater demand encourages more dealers to stock the product, and so on. After this growth period, sales will eventually stabilize. Thus, we will be interested in developing projections of long-run sales or market shares. Third, we should recognize that our product's sales will depend on our competitors' strategies and programs as well as our own.
Product innovators outside of consumer packaged goods still most often use the simple version of the A-T-A-R model.
With reference to the Bass diffusion model, which of the following best represents the growth in the total number of purchases that is typically based on adoption by innovators?
In addition to the considerations of time and cost, one should also consider product and market newness when selecting the most appropriate forecasting model.
With reference to new product development, the top performing firms tend to rely only on financial criteria.
According to the Hoechst-U.S. scoring model, which of the following is a factor related to the firm's product innovation charter (PIC)?
Adoption of innovation refers to the process by which an innovation is spread within a market, over time and over categories of adopters.
In the new product development process, the product use test is conducted during the _____ phase of the process.
Explain the top-down and bottom-up approaches to strategy development.
Discuss any four ways in which dependence on poor forecasts can be reduced.
Most common forecasting methods are extrapolations and work well on established products.
Which of the following is a problem associated with sales forecasting?
In a bottom-up strategic approach, the firm lays out its strategy first, and then allocates funds across different kinds of projects.
When faced with weak financial estimates, NewPro Inc. sometimes implements its new product ideas on a small scale to see where the solution might lie. Based on this information, we can say that NewPro Inc. is employing _____.
Which of the following is the most straightforward kind of new product forecast to conduct?
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