Exam 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

SCENARIO 9-10 A manufacturer produces light bulbs that have a mean life of at least 500 hours when the production process is working properly.Based on past experience, the population standard deviation is 50 hours and the light bulb life is normally distributed.The operations manager stops the production process if there is evidence that the population mean light bulb life is below 500 hours. -Referring to Scenario 9-10, if you select a sample of 100 light bulbs and are willing to have a level of significance of 0.01, the probability of the operations manager failing to stop the process if the population mean bulb life is 490 hours is _____.

SCENARIO 9-3 An appliance manufacturer claims to have developed a compact microwave oven that consumes a mean of no more than 250 W.From previous studies, it is believed that power consumption for microwave ovens is normally distributed with a population standard deviation of 15 W.A consumer group has decided to try to discover if the claim appears true.They take a sample of 20 microwave ovens and find that they consume a mean of 257.3 W. -Referring to Scenario 9-3, the p-value of the test is ________.

The power of a test is measured by its capability of

If a researcher rejects a false null hypothesis, she has made a _______decision.

SCENARIO 9-10 A manufacturer produces light bulbs that have a mean life of at least 500 hours when the production process is working properly.Based on past experience, the population standard deviation is 50 hours and the light bulb life is normally distributed.The operations manager stops the production process if there is evidence that the population mean light bulb life is below 500 hours. -Referring to Scenario 9-10, if you select a sample of 100 light bulbs and are willing to have a level of significance of 0.01, the probability of the operations manager not stopping the process if the population mean bulb life is 510 hours is _____.

Suppose we wish to test What will result if we conclude that the mean is greater than 47 when its true value is really 52?

The marketing manager for an automobile manufacturer is interested in determining the proportion of new compact-car owners who would have purchased a GPS navigation system if it had been available for an additional cost of $300.The manager believes from previous information that the proportion is 0.30.Suppose that a survey of 200 new compact-car owners is selected and 79 indicate that they would have purchased the GPS navigation system.If you were to conduct a test to determine whether there is evidence that the proportion is different from 0.30, which test would you use?

A pizza chain is considering opening a new store in an area that currently does not have any such stores.The chain will open if there is evidence that more than 5,000 of the 20,000 households in the area have a favorable view of its brain.It conducts a telephone poll of 300 randomly selected households in the area and finds that 96 have a favorable view.The pizza chain's conclusion from the hypothesis test using a 5% level of significance is:

SCENARIO 9-3 An appliance manufacturer claims to have developed a compact microwave oven that consumes a mean of no more than 250 W.From previous studies, it is believed that power consumption for microwave ovens is normally distributed with a population standard deviation of 15 W.A consumer group has decided to try to discover if the claim appears true.They take a sample of 20 microwave ovens and find that they consume a mean of 257.3 W. -Referring to Scenario 9-3, the null hypothesis will be rejected at 1% level of significance.

SCENARIO 9-8 One of the biggest issues facing e-retailers is the ability to turn browsers into buyers.This is measured by the conversion rate, the percentage of browsers who buy something in their visit to a site.The conversion rate for a company's website was 10.1%.The website at the company was redesigned in an attempt to increase its conversion rates.A sample of 200 browsers at the redesigned site was selected.Suppose that 24 browsers made a purchase.The company officials would like to know if there is evidence of an increase in conversion rate at the 5% level of significance. -Referring to Scenario 9-8, the largest level of significance at which the null hypothesis will not be rejected is ______.

For a given sample size n, if the level of significance is decreased, the power of the test

The symbol for the confidence coefficient of a statistical test is

SCENARIO 9-9 The president of a university claimed that the entering class this year appeared to be larger than the entering class from previous years but their mean SAT score is lower than previous years.He took a sample of 20 of this year's entering students and found that their mean SAT score is 1,501 with a standard deviation of 53.The university's record indicates that the mean SAT score for entering students from previous years is 1,520.He wants to find out if his claim is supported by the evidence at a 5% level of significance. -Referring to Scenario 9-9, if these data were used to perform a two-tail test, the p-value would be 0.1254.

SCENARIO 9-6 The quality control engineer for a furniture manufacturer is interested in the mean amount of force in pounds necessary to produce cracks in stressed oak furniture.She performs a two-tail test of the null hypothesis that the mean for the stressed oak furniture is 650 pounds.The calculated value of the Z test statistic is a positive number that leads to a p-value of 0.080 for the test. -Referring to Scenario 9-6, suppose the engineer had decided that the alternative hypothesis to test was that the mean was greater than 650 pounds.Then if the test is performed with a level of significance of 0.05, the null hypothesis would be rejected.

Which of the following would be an appropriate null hypothesis?

If a researcher rejects a true null hypothesis, she has made a _______error.

SCENARIO 9-7 A major home improvement store conducted its biggest brand recognition campaign in the company's history.A series of new television advertisements featuring well-known entertainers and sports figures were launched.A key metric for the success of television advertisements is the proportion of viewers who "like the ads a lot".A study of 1,189 adults who viewed the ads reported that 230 indicated that they "like the ads a lot." The percentage of a typical television advertisement receiving the "like the ads a lot" score is believed to be 22%.Company officials wanted to know if there is evidence that the series of television advertisements are less successful than the typical ad (i.e.if there is evidence that the population proportion of "like the ads a lot" for the company's ads is less than 0.22)at a 0.01 level of significance. -Referring to Scenario 9-7, state the null hypothesis for this study.

A manager of the credit department for an oil company would like to determine whether the mean monthly balance of credit card holders is equal to $75.An auditor selects a random sample of 100 accounts and finds that the mean owed is $83.40 with a sample standard deviation of $23.65.If you were to conduct a test to determine whether the auditor should conclude that there is evidence that the mean balance is different from $75, which test would you use?

SCENARIO 9-4 A drug company is considering marketing a new local anesthetic.The effective time of the anesthetic the drug company is currently producing has a normal distribution with a mean of 7.4 minutes with a standard deviation of 1.2 minutes.The chemistry of the new anesthetic is such that the effective time should be normally distributed with the same standard deviation, but the mean effective time may be lower.If it is lower, the drug company will market the new anesthetic; otherwise, they will continue to produce the older one.A sample of size 36 results in a sample mean of 7.1.A hypothesis test will be done to help make the decision. -Referring to Scenario 9-4, the appropriate hypotheses are:

SCENARIO 9-1 Microsoft Excel was used on a set of data involving the number of defective items found in a random sample of 46 cases of light bulbs produced during a morning shift at a plant.A manager wants to know if the mean number of defective bulbs per case is greater than 20 during the morning shift.She will make her decision using a test with a level of significance of 0.10.The following information was extracted from the Microsoft Excel output for the sample of 46 cases: n = 46; Arithmetic Mean = 28.00; Standard Deviation = 25.92; Standard Error = 3.82; Null Hypothesis: T Test Statistic = 2.09; One-Tail Test Upper Critical Value = 1.3006; p-value = 0.021; Decision = Reject. -Referring to Scenario 9-1, the null hypothesis would be rejected if a 5% probability of committing a Type I error is allowed.