Exam 20: Decision Making Online

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Look at the utility function graphed below and select the type of decision maker that corresponds to the graph.

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A medical doctor is involved in a $1 million malpractice suit.He can either settle out of court for $250,000 or go to court.If he goes to court and loses, he must pay $825,000 plus $175,000 in court costs.If he wins in court the plaintiffs pay the court costs.Identify the outcomes of this decision-making problem.

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SCENARIO 20-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature. SCENARIO 20-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature.   where:   -Referring to Scenario 20-1, the opportunity loss for A2 when S1 occurs is where: SCENARIO 20-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature.   where:   -Referring to Scenario 20-1, the opportunity loss for A2 when S1 occurs is -Referring to Scenario 20-1, the opportunity loss for A2 when S1 occurs is

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In portfolio analysis, the _______ is the reciprocal of the return to risk ratio.

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SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.   Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2, the EVPI is Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2, the EVPI is

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The curve for the will show a rapid increase in utility for initial amounts of money followed by a gradual leveling off for increasing dollar amounts.

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A medical doctor is involved in a $1 million malpractice suit.He can either settle out of court for $250,000 or go to court.If he goes to court and loses, he must pay $825,000 plus $175,000 in court costs.If he wins in court the plaintiffs pay the court costs.Identify the actions of this decision-making problem.

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Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100, 200, or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2, 0.4, and 0.4 are the probabilities for the sale of 100, 200, or 400 dozen roses, respectively, then the optimal EMV for buying roses is

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SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.   Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2, the expected profit under certainty (EPUC )is Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2, the expected profit under certainty (EPUC )is

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Look at the utility function graphed below and select the type of decision maker that corresponds to the graph.

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SCENARIO 20-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam with scores out of 100 possible points.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course, he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy. SCENARIO 20-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam with scores out of 100 possible points.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course, he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.   -Referring to Scenario 20-6, the optimal strategy using the coefficient of variation criterion is to study 8 hours per week on average for the exam. -Referring to Scenario 20-6, the optimal strategy using the coefficient of variation criterion is to study 8 hours per week on average for the exam.

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SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.   Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2, the return to risk ratio for Action B is Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2, the return to risk ratio for Action B is

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SCENARIO 20-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. SCENARIO 20-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events.   Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2, Event 2 is 0.5, and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Scenario 20-5, what is the opportunity loss for Action A with Event 1? Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2, Event 2 is 0.5, and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Scenario 20-5, what is the opportunity loss for Action A with Event 1?

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For a potential investment of $5,000, a portfolio has an EMV of $1,000 and a standard deviation of $100.What is the coefficient of variation?

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The risk seeker's curve represents the utility of one who enjoys taking risks.Therefore, the slope of the utility curve becomes for large dollar amounts.

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A tabular presentation that shows the outcome for each decision alternative under the various states of nature is called:

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Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100, 200, or 400 dozen roses.The payoff for buying 200 dozen roses and selling 100 dozen roses at the full price is

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Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100, 200, or 400 dozen roses.The opportunity loss for buying 400 dozen roses and selling 200 dozen roses at the full price is

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The risk- _______ curve represents the expected monetary value approach.

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Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100, 200, or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2, 0.4, and 0.4 are the probabilities for the sale of 100, 200, or 400 dozen roses, respectively, then the EVPI for buying roses is

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