Exam 10: Demand Forecasting: Building the Foundation for Resource Planning

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Match these items. -Product life cycle

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Match these items. -Mean forecast error

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The forecasting technique that allows managers to use external quantitative data for forecasting is referred to as:

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Use of time-series as the basis of demand forecasting requires an understanding of the ______ of the time series.

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In simple exponential smoothing, if the alpha was one, the forecast would be equal to the last period's forecast.

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A positive MFE indicates that the forecast tends to be too ____. On the other hand, a negative number is an indication that the forecast is too___.

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A good guide to follow regarding planning horizons is

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The weekly demand for French fries at a local restaurant during the past six weeks has been. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Demand 600 550 560 730 500 555 Forecast the demand for week 7 using a five-period moving average. a. Forecast the demand for week 7 using a three-period weighted moving average. Use the following weights to obtain your forecast: W1=.5, W2=.3, W3=.2. b. Forecast the demand for week 7 using exponential smoothing. Use an avalue of .2 and assume that the forecast for week 6 was 500 units.

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The development of a multiplicative model for forecasting seasonality and trend together includes

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Match these items. -Seasonality and trend

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A tracking signal is used

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Match these items. -Expert opinion

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In what stage of the product life are costs reduced through standardization?

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Match these items. -Forecast bias

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This period's demand was 146 units, even though it was forecast to be 132. Use simple exponential smoothing with an alpha of .3 to forecast demand for next period.

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Match these items. -Time series

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The quarterly demands for a popular model of backpacking tent are provided below: Fall: 112 Winter: 80 Spring: 210 Summer: 164 Compute the seasonal indices for each quarter.

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Planning benefits have a direct impact on profit margin and return on assets.

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A method for measuring forecast bias that requires the error to be summed periodically as each new forecast, actual demand, and error become available is referred to as:

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The minimum-planning horizon is determined by the lead-time associated with obtaining resources necessary to meet objectives.

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