Exam 10: Demand Forecasting: Building the Foundation for Resource Planning

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Which of the components of time series cannot, by definition, be forecast?

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Which of the following statements is/are true about ERP?

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Discuss the relationship between a retailer's demand forecast accuracy and the lead time associated with replenishing inventory.

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Match these items. -Forecast including trend

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Which of the following statements is NOT true about the financial benefits of effective planning?

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Consumer services have short life cycles, and consumer products have very long ones.

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During the _____ stage of the product life cycle, demand begins to fall because alternatives have begun to appear and take away demand.

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A time series is believed to consist of random fluctuation, as well as seasonality, but no evidence of a trend is present. Which forecasting tool would be most appropriate?

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In trend-adjusted exponential smoothing, the _____ value is used to include the trend component.

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In order to provide a relative measure of the absolute error, one should use the

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The _____ model combines the linear regression approach to forecasting trend with the seasonal indices used to forecast seasonality.

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Product life cycles:

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In 2004, the Board of Control of Public Schools hired a consultant to develop a series of forecasting models to project the future enrollments of each school in the district. After examining the historical data and trends, the consulting firm felt that exponential smoothing would be the most appropriate time series technique for projecting enrollment. An exponential smoothing model was then developed. The Board members determined the alpha level (smoothing constant) for each school based on their gut feeling. The forecast enrollments helped the board set the budget for each school for the upcoming year. Based on the above situation, discuss the pros and cons of using the exponential smoothing technique for this forecasting purpose. How can the model be abused? What could the board do to improve the accuracy of enrollment information?

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The greater the responsiveness of a forecast

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Which of the components of a time series is usually of little importance in demand forecasting?

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______ and _____ approaches measure forecasting bias.

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There is no single planning horizon for a business.

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What smoothing constants are necessary for forecast including trend?

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Match these items. -Simple exponential smoothing

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The most popular measure of absolute error is:

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