Exam 5: Probability: Review of Basic Concepts

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Which of the following statements is not correct?

(Multiple Choice)
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Interest rates The following represent interest rates on 20 U.S.Treasury bond issues with maturity dates in 2000-2001,as listed in Money Magazine: Interest rates The following represent interest rates on 20 U.S.Treasury bond issues with maturity dates in 2000-2001,as listed in Money Magazine:   -Determine the probability that a randomly selected bond will have a rate of interest of less than 13 percent. -Determine the probability that a randomly selected bond will have a rate of interest of less than 13 percent.

(Short Answer)
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If a contingency table shows the sex and classification of undergraduate students (freshman,sophomore,junior,senior)in your statistics class,which of the following is true?

(Multiple Choice)
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You think you have a 95% chance of passing your next business statistics exam.This is an example of which approach to probability?

(Short Answer)
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If inspection finds the item to be defective,what is the revised probability that the item came from machine C?

(Essay)
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Write a word statement for P (B / A).

(Essay)
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Event 1 The prior probabilities of events A1,A2,and A3 are P(A1)= .50,P(A2)= .20 and P(A3)= .30.The conditional probabilities of event B given A1,A2,and A3 are P(B / A1)= .40,P(B / A2)= .50 and P(B / A3)= .30. -Apply Bayes' theorem to compute the posterior probability P(A2 / B).

(Short Answer)
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If P(A)= 0.84,P(B)= 0.76 and P(A or B)= 0.90,then P(A and B)is:

(Multiple Choice)
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Telephone survey A political telephone survey of 360 people asked whether they were in favor or not in favor of a proposed law.Each person was identified as either Republican or Democrat.The results are shown in the following table: Party In Favar Nat in Favar Undecided Tatal Republican 98 54 4\square 192 Democrat 79 29 60 168 Tatal 177 83 100 360 -What is the probability that a randomly selected respondent was a Democrat or not in favor of the proposed law?

(Short Answer)
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The table below gives the probabilities of combinations of religion and political parties in a major U.S.city. Religion Political parties Protestant (A) Catholic (B) Jewish (C) Other (D) Democrat (E) 0.35 0.10 0.03 0.02 Republican (F) 0.27 0.09 0.02 0.01 Independent (G) 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01 -What is the probability that a randomly selected person would be a Republican?

(Multiple Choice)
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Identify the following type of graphic,and describe what it illustrates: Identify the following type of graphic,and describe what it illustrates:

(Essay)
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Explain the relationship between a relative-frequency distribution and a probability distribution for any numerical population.

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Gulf Coast A Gulf Coast travel park has the following accommodations: Number of bedrooms Location 3 Gedranm 4 Gedranm Tatal Beach Frant 17 24 41 Nan Beach Frant 6 210 216 Tatal 23 234 257 -What is the probability of selecting a non beach front site given that the facility had 4 bedrooms?

(Short Answer)
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Event 1 The prior probabilities of events A1,A2,and A3 are P(A1)= .50,P(A2)= .20 and P(A3)= .30.The conditional probabilities of event B given A1,A2,and A3 are P(B / A1)= .40,P(B / A2)= .50 and P(B / A3)= .30. -Ten students from an economics class have formed a study group.Each may or may not attend a study session.Assuming that the members will be making independent decisions on whether or not to attend,how many different possibilities exist for the composition of the study session?

(Short Answer)
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____________________ consider only the possible sets of objects,regardless of the order in which the members of the set are arranged.

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Appliance dealer An appliance dealer calculated the proportion of new dishwashers sold that required various numbers of service calls to correct problems during the warranty period.The records were: No. of service calls Relative frequency 0 0.25 1 0.38 2 0.30 3 0.04 4 0.03 -Let X be the number of service calls during the warranty period for a dishwasher.What is the probability that there will be at most one service call?

(Short Answer)
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Which of the following statements is correct given that the events A and B have nonzero probabilities?

(Multiple Choice)
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Burger Queen Co. The Burger Queen Company has 124 locations along the west coast.The general manager is concerned with the profitability of the locations compared with major menu items sold.The information below shows the number of each menu item selected by profitability of store. Profit Baby Burger MI Mother Burger Father Burger Nachos M4 Tacos Total High Profit RI 250 424 669 342 284 1969 Medium Profit R2 312 369 428 271 200 1580 Low Profit R3 289 242 216 221 238 1206 Total: 851 1035 1313 834 722 4755 -If a menu item is selected at random,what is the probability that the store is a high profit store?

(Short Answer)
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Event Event Event Total DI 75 125 65 35 300 D2 90 105 60 45 300 D3 135 120 75 70 400 Total: 300 325 200 150 1000 -Find P (C1 or D1).

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Two events A and B are said to be independent if:

(Multiple Choice)
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