Exam 5: Probability: Review of Basic Concepts

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If P(A)= 0.5 and P(B)= 0.80,then P(A or B)must be 0.95.

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Interest rates The following represent interest rates on 20 U.S.Treasury bond issues with maturity dates in 2000-2001,as listed in Money Magazine: Interest rates The following represent interest rates on 20 U.S.Treasury bond issues with maturity dates in 2000-2001,as listed in Money Magazine:   -Determine the probability that a randomly selected bond will have a rate of interest between 11 and 12 percent. -Determine the probability that a randomly selected bond will have a rate of interest between 11 and 12 percent.

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Portfolio Composition An investment firm has classified its clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table: Partfolin Compasition Cender Ennds Stacks Galanced Mala 0.18 0.20 0.25 Female 0.12 0.05 0.20 One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. -Express each of the following events in words: A)A or B B)A and B C)A and Bˉ\bar { B } D) Aˉ\bar { A } or Bˉ\bar { B }

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What is the subjective approach to probability?

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Gender The physical science degrees conferred by a school between 1992 and 1995 were broken down as follows: Gender Major Male Female Total Physics 25 25 50 Chemistry 60 40 100 Geology 30 20 50 Total 115 85 200 Suppose a person is selected at random from these graduates.Consider the following events: M: The person is a male. F: The person is a female. P: The person graduated in physics. C: The person graduated in chemistry. G: The person graduated in geology. -Find P(C / F).

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Gender The physical science degrees conferred by a school between 1992 and 1995 were broken down as follows: Gender Major Male Female Total Physics 25 25 50 Chemistry 60 40 100 Geology 30 20 50 Total 115 85 200 Suppose a person is selected at random from these graduates.Consider the following events: M: The person is a male. F: The person is a female. P: The person graduated in physics. C: The person graduated in chemistry. G: The person graduated in geology. Complete the formula: P(M / P)= P(P and M)/ ____________________.

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College The table below indicates the number of majors found in a college of business: College The table below indicates the number of majors found in a college of business:   -What is the probability that a randomly selected student is either a computer science major or a marketing major? -What is the probability that a randomly selected student is either a computer science major or a marketing major?

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Gender The physical science degrees conferred by a school between 1992 and 1995 were broken down as follows: Gender Major Male Female Total Physics 25 25 50 Chemistry 60 40 100 Geology 30 20 50 Total 115 85 200 Suppose a person is selected at random from these graduates.Consider the following events: M: The person is a male. F: The person is a female. P: The person graduated in physics. C: The person graduated in chemistry. G: The person graduated in geology. -Find P(M and P).

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The table below gives the probabilities of combinations of religion and political parties in a major U.S.city. Religion Political parties Protestant (A) Catholic (B) Jewish (C) Other (D) Democrat (E) 0.35 0.10 0.03 0.02 Republican (F) 0.27 0.09 0.02 0.01 Independent (G) 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01 -Which two of the following pairs of events intersect?

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Odds The odds in favor of an event are the number of successes divided by the number of failures.The probability of this event occurring is the number of successes divided by the sum of the number of successes and the number of failures.The number of successes is five and the number of failures is four. Find the probability of failure.

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An example of the classical approach to probability would be:

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Portfolio Composition An investment firm has classified its clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table: Partfolin Compasition Cender Ennds Stacks Galanced Mala 0.18 0.20 0.25 Female 0.12 0.05 0.20 One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. -There are 12 players on a basketball team and 5 of those players start the game.How many different starting lineups are possible?

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College The table below indicates the number of majors found in a college of business: College The table below indicates the number of majors found in a college of business:   -What is the probability that a randomly selected student is an accounting major? -What is the probability that a randomly selected student is an accounting major?

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If the odds in favor of an event happening are A:B,what is the probability being expressed?

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If P(A)= 0.25 and P(B)= 0.60,then P(A and B)is:

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Overtime hours A personnel manager is reviewing number of overtime hours worked by employees in her plant.She has compiled the following data: Number. of Overtime Hours Worked No. of Employees (Frequency) Probability P(x) 0 12 0.128 3 18 0.191 4 10 0.106 5 13 0.138 6 15 0.160 7 12 0.128 8 14 0.149 Total 94 1.000 For a randomly selected employee let X be the number of overtime hours worked,and define the following events: A = employee who works no overtime. B = employee who works at least 7 hours overtime. C = employee who works at most 4 hours overtime. -Determine the probability of event A.

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In advertising a mountain cabin near Keystone,Colorado,a property owner can specify (1)whether or not pets are permitted,(2)whether the rent is based on off-season,during summer season,or during the Dec.-Jan.peak skiing season,(3)whether or not children under 12 are allowed,and (4)whether the minimum stay is for 4,7,or 10 days.How many different versions of the ad can be generated?

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Basketball Team A basketball team at a university is composed of ten players.The team is made up of players who play either guard,forward,or center position.Four of the ten are guards; four of the ten are forwards; and two of the ten are centers.The numbers of the players are 1,2,3,4,for the guards; 5,6,7,8 for the forwards; and 9 and 10 for the centers.The starting five are numbered 1,3,5,7,and 9.Let a player be selected at random from the ten.Define the following events: A = player selected has a number from 1 to 8. B = player selected is a guard. C = player selected is a forward. D = player selected is a starter. E = player selected is a center. -P(D and E)is equal to:

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Plan to buy Intentions of consumers regarding future automobile purchases and the financial capability of the consumers are given below: Plan to buy Qualify for Financing Within 6 months () 6 months or longer () No (C) Yes (D) 0.30 0.20 0.10 No (E) 0.10 0.10 0.20 -For a randomly selected consumer,find the following probability: P(A and D).

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In the board game called TRIVIAL PURSUIT,a single die is used to determine the number of spaces a player is allowed to move.A player is currently positioned 3 spaces from a space where a correct answer will earn a "pie" and 4 spaces from a space where "roll again" is the option.Assuming a fair die,what is the probability the player will get to answer a question for a "pie" or get to "roll again"?

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