Exam 15: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation

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What is spurious correlation? Provide a real or hypothetical example where two variables might exhibit such a relationship.

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For a given data set of (x,y)values,an infinite number of possible regression equations can be fitted to the corresponding scatter diagram,and each equation will have a unique combination of values for the y-intercept b0 and the slope b1.However,only one equation will be the "best fit" as defined by the least-squares criterion.

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Maintenance Costs Data was collected to investigate the relationship between the age and annual maintenance costs for a one particular car.The table below shows the costs over the life of a seven-year old car. Year Annual Maintenance Casts 1 \ 150 2 \ 210 3 \ 450 4 \ 490 5 \ 510 6 \ 1590 7 \ 160 -In testing the hypotheses H0:β1=0H _ { 0 } : \beta _ { 1 } = 0 vs. H1:β10\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : \beta _ { 1 } \neq 0 ,what is the value of the test statistic?

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Test the null hypothesis that the true population coefficient of correlation equals zero using the 0.05 significance level.

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Salesperson The general manager of a chain of furniture stores believes that experience is the most important factor in determining the level of success of a salesperson.To examine this belief she records last month's sales (in $1,000s)and the years of experience of 10 randomly selected salespeople.These data are listed below. Ealesperson Years of Experience Eales 1 0 7 2 2 9 3 10 20 4 3 15 5 8 18 0 5 14 7 12 20 8 7 17 9 20 30 10 15 25 -Determine the standard error of estimate. 5y.x5 _ { y . x } = ____________________ Describe what this statistic tells you about the regression line.

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If the total variation in y values is 200,and the variation explained by regression line is 180,then the coefficient of determination is equal to ____________________.

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If the coefficient of correlation is either ____________________ or ____________________,then the regression line will actually include all of the data points and the line will be a perfect fit.

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The assumption of equal standard deviations about the regression line is called _________________________.

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A scatter diagram includes the data points: (x = 2,y = 5), (x = 4,y = 12), (x = 6,y = 20), (x = 8,y = 28),and (x = 10,y = 30). Two regression lines are proposed: (1) y^\hat { y } = -.6 + 3x (2) y^\hat { y } = -1 + 5 x Using the least squares criterion,which of these regression lines is the better fit to the data? Why?

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GPA The following table shows the grade point average (GPA)for 5 students along with their entrance exam scores for MBA programs (GMAT).Develop a model that would predict the GPA of a student based on their GMAT score. Student CPA GMAT 1 3.5 6.7 2 3.1 5.4 3 3.2 4.8 4 4.0 7.0 5 3.6 5.9 6 3.2 5.2 7 3.7 7.2 -Construct a 95% prediction interval for an individual y value when x = 6.5.

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In the sample regression line y^=b0+b1x\hat { y } = b _ { 0 } + b _ { 1 } x the term b0 is the y-intercept; this is the value of y where the line intersects the y-axis whenever x = 0.

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Household The following data was collected by a particular company to determine if a relationship exists between the number of people in a household and weekly food expenditures. Househald Number in Hausehald Weakly Fadd Expenses 1 2 \ 95 2 3 \ 137 3 5 \ 165 4 2 \ 105 5 4 \ 227 6 4 \ 240 7 5 \ 185 -Calculate the coefficient of determination and interpret the results.

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GPA The following table shows the grade point average (GPA)for 5 students along with their entrance exam scores for MBA programs (GMAT).Develop a model that would predict the GPA of a student based on their GMAT score. Student CPA GMAT 1 3.5 6.7 2 3.1 5.4 3 3.2 4.8 4 4.0 7.0 5 3.6 5.9 6 3.2 5.2 7 3.7 7.2 -Determine the standard error of estimate.

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A regression analysis between sales (in $1000)and advertising (in $)resulted in the following least squares line: y^\hat{y} = 80,000 + 5x.This implies that an:

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Consider the following data values of variables x and y 5 4 3 6 9 8 10 7 10 5 2 3 1  Consider the following data values of variables x and y   \begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | }  \hline \mathbf { x } & 5 & 4 & 3 & 6 & 9 & 8 & 10 \\ \hline \mathbf { y } & 7 & \mathbf { g } & 10 & 5 & 2 & 3 & 1 \\ \hline \end{array}    What does the scatter diagram tell you about the relationship between x and y? What does the scatter diagram tell you about the relationship between x and y?

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In the sample regression line, y^=b0+b1x\hat { y } = b _ { 0 } + b _ { 1 } x what does the cap (^)over the y indicate?

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Unemployed The data below are for the number of unemployed persons (in millions)and the federal unemployment insurance payments (in billions of dollars)for the years 1978 - 1985.Some economists state that these two variables are positively related. Year Federal Unemployment Insurance Payments 11.8 10.7 18.0 19.7 23.7 31.5 18.4 16.8 Number of Unemployed Persons 6.2 6.1 7.6 8.3 10.7 10.7 8.5 8.3 -Calculate the estimated standard deviation of the slope.

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Unemployed The data below are for the number of unemployed persons (in millions)and the federal unemployment insurance payments (in billions of dollars)for the years 1978 - 1985.Some economists state that these two variables are positively related. Year Federal Unemployment Insurance Payments 11.8 10.7 18.0 19.7 23.7 31.5 18.4 16.8 Number of Unemployed Persons 6.2 6.1 7.6 8.3 10.7 10.7 8.5 8.3 -Use these data to develop a scatter diagram for these data.

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Household The following data was collected by a particular company to determine if a relationship exists between the number of people in a household and weekly food expenditures. Househald Number in Hausehald Weakly Fadd Expenses 1 2 \ 95 2 3 \ 137 3 5 \ 165 4 2 \ 105 5 4 \ 227 6 4 \ 240 7 5 \ 185 -Construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean weekly food expense when the number in household equals 3.

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Simple linear regression requires that the scales of measurement be expressed in either:

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