Exam 5: Uncertainty and Consumer Behavior

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  Figure 5.2.1 -Refer to Figure 5.2.1 above. Which of the two figures describes a risk averse individual? Figure 5.2.1 -Refer to Figure 5.2.1 above. Which of the two figures describes a risk averse individual?

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C

Scenario 5.4: Suppose an individual is considering an investment in which there are exactly three possible outcomes, whose probabilities and payoffs are given below: Scenario 5.4: Suppose an individual is considering an investment in which there are exactly three possible outcomes, whose probabilities and payoffs are given below:    The expected value of the investment is $25. Although all the information is correct, information is missing. -Refer to Scenario 5.4. What is the payoff of outcome C? The expected value of the investment is $25. Although all the information is correct, information is missing. -Refer to Scenario 5.4. What is the payoff of outcome C?

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A

During the most recent recession, many people temporarily lost substantial value in their retirement investment portfolios because most of the assets (including stocks, bonds, and real estate) all declined in value at the same time. In hindsight, what was the problem with these portfolios?

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B

Scenario 5.3: Wanting to invest in the computer games industry, you select Whizbo, Yowzo and Zowiebo as the three best firms. Over the past 10 years, the three firms have had good years and bad years. The following table shows their performance: Scenario 5.3: Wanting to invest in the computer games industry, you select Whizbo, Yowzo and Zowiebo as the three best firms. Over the past 10 years, the three firms have had good years and bad years. The following table shows their performance:    -Refer to Scenario 5.3. Where is the highest expected revenue, based on the 10 years' past performance? -Refer to Scenario 5.3. Where is the highest expected revenue, based on the 10 years' past performance?

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Scenario 5.10: Hillary can invest her family savings in two assets: riskless Treasury bills or a risky vacation home real estate project on an Arkansas river. The expected return on Treasury bills is 4 percent with a standard deviation of zero. The expected return on the real estate project is 30 percent with a standard deviation of 40 percent. -Refer to Scenario 5.10. If Hillary invests 30 percent of her savings in the real estate project and the remainder in Treasury bills, the expected return on her portfolio is:

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Blanca would prefer a certain income of $20,000 to a gamble with a 0.5 probability of $10,000 and a 0.5 probability of $30,000. Based on this information:

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When facing a 50% chance of receiving $50 and a 50% chance of receiving $100, the individual pictured in Figure 5.2.2:

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Bill's utility function takes the form U(I) = exp(I) where I is Bill's income. Based on this utility function, we can see that Bill is:

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The weighted average of all possible outcomes of a project, with the probabilities of the outcomes used as weights, is known as the:

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In Eugene, Oregon, next year there is a 2% chance of an earthquake severe enough to destroy all buildings and personal property. Quincy, who has $3,000,000 in buildings and personal property, has the opportunity to purchase complete earthquake insurance. Which is true?

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The information in the table below describes choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict.Table 5.3 The information in the table below describes choices for a new doctor. The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments, which the individual cannot predict.Table 5.3    -In Table 5.3, the standard deviation is: -In Table 5.3, the standard deviation is:

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Irene's utility of income function is Irene's utility of income function is   Irene is offered the following game of chance. The odds of winning are <sup>1</sup>/<sub>100</sub> and the payoff is 75 times the wager. If she loses, she loses her wager amount. Calculate Irene's expected utility of the game. Irene is offered the following game of chance. The odds of winning are 1/100 and the payoff is 75 times the wager. If she loses, she loses her wager amount. Calculate Irene's expected utility of the game.

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The standard deviation of a two-asset portfolio (with a risky and a non-risky asset) is equal to:

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Consider the following information about job opportunities for new college graduates in Megalopolis:Table 5.1 Consider the following information about job opportunities for new college graduates in Megalopolis:Table 5.1    -Refer to Table 5.1. A risk-neutral individual making a decision solely on the basis of the above information would choose to major in: -Refer to Table 5.1. A risk-neutral individual making a decision solely on the basis of the above information would choose to major in:

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Scenario 5.7: As president and CEO of MegaWorld Industries, Natasha must decide on some very risky alternative investments. Consider the following: Scenario 5.7: As president and CEO of MegaWorld Industries, Natasha must decide on some very risky alternative investments. Consider the following:    -Refer to Scenario 5.7. As a risk-neutral executive, Natasha: -Refer to Scenario 5.7. As a risk-neutral executive, Natasha:

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Individuals who fully insure their house and belongings against fire:

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Any risk-averse individual would always:

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To optimally deter crime, law enforcement authorities should:

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Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . where Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . Each co-worker's budget constraint is Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . where Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . is the risk-free rate of return, Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . is the stock market rate of return, and Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . , Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . and Mel and Christy are co-workers with different risk attitudes. Both have investments in the stock market and hold U.S. Treasury securities (which provide the risk free rate of return). Mel's marginal rate of substitution of return for risk   where   is the individual's portfolio rate of return and σP is the individual's portfolio risk. Christy's   Each co-worker's budget constraint is   where   is the risk-free rate of return,   is the stock market rate of return, and   is the stock market risk. Solve for each co-worker's optimal portfolio rate of return as a function of   ,   and   . .

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Jack is near retirement and worried that if the stock market falls he will not be able to wait to take his funds out, and will have to sell at the bottom of the market. Richard thinks the probability of a stock market downturn is the same, but he is only 40 and could therefore wait for another turnaround. They face the same budget line. Jack's risk/return indifference curve:

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